Sugar is packed in 5-pound bags. An inspector suspects the bags may not contain 5 pounds. A sample of 50 bags produces a mean of 4.6 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.7 pound. a... Sugar is packed in 5-pound bags. An inspector suspects the bags may not contain 5 pounds. A sample of 50 bags produces a mean of 4.6 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.7 pound. a) Is there enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds as stated, at alpha = 0.05? b) Find the 95% confidence interval of the true mean.

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Understand the Problem

The question involves a statistical hypothesis test to determine if a sample provides enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds, as well as finding the 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the bags.

Answer

a) Yes; b) $(4.404, 4.796)$
Answer for screen readers

a) There is enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds.

b) The 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the bags is $(4.404, 4.796)$.

Steps to Solve

  1. State the Hypotheses

    The null hypothesis $H_0$: The mean weight of the bags is 5 pounds, $\mu = 5$.
    The alternative hypothesis $H_a$: The mean weight of the bags is not 5 pounds, $\mu \neq 5$.

  2. Calculate the Test Statistic

    Use the formula for the test statistic (z-score) for a sample mean:

    $$ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} $$

    where:

    • $\bar{x} = 4.6$ (sample mean)
    • $\mu_0 = 5$ (hypothesized mean)
    • $\sigma = 0.7$ (standard deviation)
    • $n = 50$ (sample size)

    Plugging in the numbers:

    $$ z = \frac{4.6 - 5}{\frac{0.7}{\sqrt{50}}} $$

  3. Calculate the Z-score

    First, calculate the denominator:

    $$ \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{50}} \approx 0.099 $$

    Now substitute back into the z-score formula:

    $$ z = \frac{-0.4}{0.099} \approx -4.04 $$

  4. Determine the Critical Value

    For a two-tailed test with $\alpha = 0.05$, the critical z-values are approximately $\pm 1.96$.

  5. Decision Rule

    If the absolute value of the calculated z-score is greater than the critical value, we reject the null hypothesis.

  6. Make a Conclusion

    Since $|-4.04| > 1.96$, we reject the null hypothesis. Therefore, there is enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds.

  7. Calculate the Confidence Interval

    The formula for the confidence interval is:

    $$ \bar{x} \pm z_{\alpha/2} \times \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} $$

    Using the critical value $z_{\alpha/2} \approx 1.96$:

    • Calculate the margin of error:

    $$ E = 1.96 \times \frac{0.7}{\sqrt{50}} \approx 0.196 $$

    • The confidence interval is then:

    $$ 4.6 \pm 0.196 $$

    Which gives:

    $$ (4.404, 4.796) $$

a) There is enough evidence to conclude that the bags do not contain 5 pounds.

b) The 95% confidence interval for the true mean weight of the bags is $(4.404, 4.796)$.

More Information

The z-test is a powerful tool in hypothesis testing. It allows us to determine if the sample mean significantly differs from a hypothesized population mean. The confidence interval provides a range where we are 95% confident the true mean lies, offering insight into potential values of the mean weight of the bags.

Tips

  • Failing to correctly state the null and alternative hypotheses is common; always ensure they are properly defined.
  • Using the wrong critical value for the z-test can lead to incorrect conclusions; always refer to standard z-tables.
  • Mixing up one-tailed and two-tailed tests might result in incorrect interpretations; be aware of the test type required.

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