a) Does the CLT hold? State condition why. b) What is the probability that the average scores are more than 70? c) What score describes a student’s rank to be at the top 5% of the... a) Does the CLT hold? State condition why. b) What is the probability that the average scores are more than 70? c) What score describes a student’s rank to be at the top 5% of the midterm scores?
Understand the Problem
The question consists of a statistics problem involving the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) and probability calculations concerning a sample of students' midterm scores. It asks whether the CLT applies to a given sample size and distribution, the probability of average scores being greater than a certain value, and the score needed to be in the top 5%.
Answer
a) Yes, CLT holds. b) Probability > 70 ≈ 0.9931. c) Score for top 5% ≈ 75.
Answer for screen readers
a) Yes, the CLT holds because the sample size is greater than 30.
b) The probability that the average scores are more than 70 is approximately 0.9931.
c) The score to be at the top 5% of the midterm scores is approximately 75.
Steps to Solve
- Checking the Central Limit Theorem (CLT)
For the CLT to hold, the sample size should be large enough or the population should be normally distributed. Since the sample size is 36 (which is greater than 30), we can say that the CLT applies regardless of the population distribution because the sample size is considered large.
- Calculating the probability of average scores greater than 70
We will use the z-score formula to find the probability.
First, calculate the mean and standard deviation of the sample mean:
- Mean ($\mu$) = 73
- Standard deviation of the sample mean ($\sigma_{\bar{x}}$) = $\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{7.3}{\sqrt{36}} = \frac{7.3}{6} \approx 1.2167$
Next, find the z-score for an average score of 70:
$$ z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}} = \frac{70 - 73}{1.2167} \approx -2.464 $$
Using the z-table or a calculator, find the probability corresponding to this z-score.
- Finding the probability using a z-table or calculator
Look up the z-score of -2.464 in the z-table. It corresponds to a probability of about 0.0069. Therefore, the probability that the average scores are more than 70 is:
$$ P(X > 70) = 1 - P(Z < -2.464) \approx 1 - 0.0069 \approx 0.9931 $$
- Finding the score for the top 5%
To find the score that corresponds to the top 5%, we need to find the z-score that corresponds to 95% in the z-table, which is approximately 1.645.
Using the formula for the score:
$$ X = \mu + z \cdot \sigma_{\bar{x}} $$
Substituting values:
$$ X = 73 + 1.645 \cdot 1.2167 \approx 73 + 2.000 \approx 75 $$
a) Yes, the CLT holds because the sample size is greater than 30.
b) The probability that the average scores are more than 70 is approximately 0.9931.
c) The score to be at the top 5% of the midterm scores is approximately 75.
More Information
The Central Limit Theorem is crucial in statistics as it allows us to make inferences about a population based on sample data. With a sufficiently large sample size, the distribution of the sample means will approximate a normal distribution, regardless of the original population's distribution.
Tips
- Incorrectly identifying whether the CLT applies based on sample size or distribution.
- Miscalculating the z-score by mixing up the values.
- Using the wrong percentile when calculating scores for ranks.
AI-generated content may contain errors. Please verify critical information