Decision-Making Errors and Biases

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Questions and Answers

Which of the following biases involves prioritizing immediate rewards over future consequences?

  • Confirmation Bias
  • Sunk Costs Errors
  • Overconfidence Bias
  • Immediate Gratification Bias (correct)

Which bias describes the tendency to dismiss information that contradicts one’s previous beliefs?

  • Anchoring Effect
  • Selective Perception Bias
  • Framing Bias
  • Confirmation Bias (correct)

What is the primary pitfall of the Anchoring Effect in decision making?

  • Fixating on irrelevant initial information (correct)
  • Ignoring past experiences when making decisions
  • Overlooking relevant long-term consequences
  • Selecting details that confirm initial beliefs

Which bias is characterized by the error of believing past events were predictable after they have occurred?

<p>Hindsight Bias (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What common decision-making error involves drawing false conclusions by perceiving similar situations as identical?

<p>Representation Bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which decision-making error involves focusing on the most recent events and losing objectivity?

<p>Availability Bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the term for the decision-making error where individuals create irrelevant connections between random events?

<p>Randomness Bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In decision-making, which bias leads individuals to perceive situations through a lens that confirms their previous choices?

<p>Confirmation Bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias involves the reliance on initial information while disregarding further relevant data?

<p>Anchoring Effect (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What cognitive bias involves mistakenly believing that past events could have been anticipated only after knowing the outcome?

<p>Hindsight Bias (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Heuristics

Using simple rules of thumb to make decisions quickly, even if they aren't always the best.

Overconfidence Bias

Overestimating your abilities and thinking you'll always succeed.

Immediate Gratification Bias

Choosing immediate rewards, even if it means missing out on better long-term benefits.

Anchoring Effect

Sticking to the first piece of information you get, even when new information contradicts it.

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Confirmation Bias

Seeing only information that confirms your pre-existing beliefs, while ignoring contradicting information.

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Randomness Bias

Seeing patterns in random events, even when they don't exist.

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Availability Bias

Making decisions based on what happened most recently, even if those events aren't representative of the bigger picture.

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Representation Bias

Assuming that two situations are identical just because they seem similar.

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Sunk Costs Errors

Failing to consider that current actions cannot change what happened in the past.

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Study Notes

Decision-Making Errors and Biases

  • Heuristics: Using simplified rules of thumb to make decisions more quickly.
  • Overconfidence Bias: Having overly positive self-assessments of ability and performance, believing one is more competent than they actually are.
  • Immediate Gratification Bias: Prioritizing immediate rewards over future benefits or costs, choosing options providing quick, immediate satisfaction.
  • Anchoring Effect: Focusing too heavily on initial information, refusing to disregard it even when subsequent data contradicts it.
  • Selective Perception Bias: Interpreting information based on pre-existing beliefs rather than objectively, filtering data through biases.
  • Confirmation Bias: Actively seeking information that supports existing choices and dismissing contradicting information, bolstering existing views.
  • Framing Bias: Highlighting certain aspects of a situation while downplaying others, influencing decisions based on how options are presented.
  • Availability Bias: Overestimating the likelihood of events based on recent occurrences, leading to biased decisions based on easily recalled information.
  • Representativeness Bias: Drawing inaccurate comparisons based on superficial similarities, mistakenly assuming similar situations are the same.
  • Randomness Bias: Attempting to find patterns where none exist in random events, searching for order in chaos.
  • Sunk Costs Error: Continuing with a course of action due to prior investments, ignoring future implications (recognizing past investment is irrelevant to current decision-making).
  • Self-Serving Bias: Attributing successes to personal attributes and failures to external factors, taking credit for successes and blaming others for failures.
  • Hindsight Bias: Overestimating the predictability of events after the outcome is known, believing an event was more predictable than it was in reality.

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