Summary

This document details the factors that may limit population growth and the processes of exponential and logistic models of population growth. The document also discusses the concepts of carrying capacity, and intraspecific competition. It provides examples of population changes, such as the case study of RSA rhinos, and discusses population cycles.

Full Transcript

## Population Growth ### Factors Limiting Population Growth * **Rainfall:** Too low for true forests. * **Bush:** Low trees + shrubs leading to lots of bush. * **Herbaceous Plants:** Few. * **Spekboom:** Grows in a dense thicket biome. * **Elephants:** Clear spekboom + other shrubs for mammals to...

## Population Growth ### Factors Limiting Population Growth * **Rainfall:** Too low for true forests. * **Bush:** Low trees + shrubs leading to lots of bush. * **Herbaceous Plants:** Few. * **Spekboom:** Grows in a dense thicket biome. * **Elephants:** Clear spekboom + other shrubs for mammals to move through, allowing animals to move from biome to biome. ### Population Growth * **Population:** All individuals of the same species that share the same habitat and can potentially interbreed. ### Population Dispersion * **Spatial distribution of individuals:** within geographical range. * **Random:** Individuals are distributed unpredictably within uniform habitats. * **Clumped:** Individuals group together due to patchy habitats, social groups, and reproductive patterns. * **Uniform:** Individuals repel each other and tend to be evenly spaced because resources are in short supply. ### Demography * Statistical study of changes in population size, age structure, and sex ratios. * Predict probability of population to die. * Important for the management and conservation of species. * For example, COVID-19 cases in 2020, saw exponential growth. ### Exponential Growth (J Curve) * Change in population over time. ### Formula: $(ΔΝ/Δt) = dN/dt = (b − d)N$ * **b:** Per capita birth rate - number of births in population, during a specified time period, divided by population size. $b = B/N$ * **d:** Per capita death rate - number of deaths divided by populations size during the same time period. $d = D/N$ * **(b-d):** Per capita growth rate (r) of population expressed per individual per unit time. ### Exponential Growth Equation $dN/dt = (b-d)N$ $dN/dt = rN$ * **r > 0:** Population is growing. * **r < 0:** Population is getting smaller. * **r = 0:** Size is not changing (zero population growth). ### Example: RSA Rhinos * 1900: 50 white rhinos. * 2014: 18000 white rhinos + 1700 black rhinos. Total: 19700. * Birth rate: 0.17. * In one year, 19700 animals can have up to 3349 babies. * Death rate: 0.028 * 19700 rhinos = about 552 deaths. * 3349 - 552 = 2797 (without poaching) * % per capita growth = (b-d)/total population size x 100. * Negative no. = more deaths. ### Do Populations Ever Grow Exponentially? * **Exponential growth model:** Occurs only in certain forms. * **At the beginning:** Populations tend to follow an exponential pattern. * When resources are unlimited, a population will have more births than deaths and **r** remains constant (exponential growth). * **Logistic growth model:** Resources are never unlimited. As populations encroach on carrying capacity of the resource, their growth rate decreases * **Carrying capacity (K):** Maximum number of individuals that a specific resource in a given area can maintain. ### Population Growth Under Ideal Conditions * Per capita birth rate is high + per capita death rate is low. * **r:** As high as it can be. * Max. per capita growth rate ($r_{max}$) -> populations intrinsic rate of increase. ### Formula: $dN/dt = r_{max}N$ ### Carrying Capacity * Population sizes are limited by a number of factors (e.g. shortage of resources). * Maximum number of individuals an environment can support. * Varies from one habitat to another. * Population will never exceed carrying capacity. ### Logistic Model (S shaped) * Per capita growth rate decreases as population size approaches carrying capacity. * Combines an exponential growth model with a section to account for the decrease in per capita growth as it approaches the **K**. * Influenced by environmental factors and carrying capacity. ### Formula: $dN/dt = rN (K - N)/K$ * **Very small population:** Population growth is close to exponential $(K-N)/K$ ≈ 1. * **Large population:** Rate of increase is very low $(K-N)/K$ ≈ 0 ### Intraspecific Competition * Dependence of two or more individuals of the same species on the same limiting resource. * **Animals:** Food, water, nesting site, and space. * **Plants:** Sunlight, water, inorganic nutrients, and growth space. * Leads to uniform distribution. * Rate of predation + disease increase with density. ### Exponential vs Logistic Growth * **Density-dependent mortality (logistic):** * Limited space, food, etc. * More diseases, predators, etc. * $(K-N)/K$ decreases as carrying capacity is approached. * **Density-independent effects (exponential):** * Catastrophes which kill at the same rate, not dependent on population size. * Example: asteroid. ### Population Cycles * Depending on the exact combination of density dependent and density independent factors, populations can experience different cycles. * **Stable:** Relatively constant. Population doesn't change much over a year. * **Cyclic:** Most animals. Exists between 2 organisms (predator + prey). When one population increases, the other decreases. * **Chaotic:** Density independent effects are high, common in insects. ### Metapopulation Dynamics * Study of networks of separate populations that interact with each other through the exchange of individuals. * **Source population:** Birth > deaths. Emigration to other habitats. * **Sub-optimal populations:** Births < deaths. Immigration from suitable habitats. * **Unsuitable:** No population, almost immediate death. ### No. Of Breeding Seasons * **Iteroparous:** Organisms produce offspring several times over the course of several breeding seasons. Survive longer than semelparous. * **Semelparous:** Organisms focus all their reproductive energy into a single breeding season. * **Usually lots of offspring:** In environments where survival isn't guaranteed. * Can be: Long lived + overlapping, or short + discrete. * Example: Agave. Releases seeds in a single season to increase probability that some seeds will germinate. * Time to maturity: In ephemeral habitats, reach maturity quickly so the next generation can start. ### r-K Scheme Of Life History Strategies * **Species vary along habitats.** * **Intrinsic rate of natural increase (r):** Rapid, density independent mortality. * **Mortality is density dependent (K):** Carrying capacity. * **r:** Lots of offspring early in life, grow quickly; minimal parental scare investment. * **K:** Little offspring late in life, grow over a long period of time, large parental care investment. * Every organism has some features from both groups. ### Population Growth + Age Structure * Growth rate for humans: 1.2% between 200-2009. * South Korea and Japan = negative birth rates. ### Age Distribution for Different Growth Rates * **Negative growth:** Older people are being removed from the economy and are not replaced by new births. * **Rapid growth:** Many young people and less old people. Most of the population is above reproductive age, so the population will decrease as a whole. ### Demographic Transition Model * Stages: * **Stage 1:** Preindustrial. * **Stage 2:** Transitional. * **Stage 3:** Industrial. * **Stage 4:** Postindustrial.

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