History Of Intelligence - Part 1 PDF

Introduction To Intelligence – INT 200 Mark S. Chandler Intelligence in History, Part 1 (The early Times – VERY EARLY TIMES) Intelligence – The Very Early Years Need for, and use of, intelligence nearly as old as time itself...

Introduction To Intelligence – INT 200 Mark S. Chandler Intelligence in History, Part 1 (The early Times – VERY EARLY TIMES) Intelligence – The Very Early Years Need for, and use of, intelligence nearly as old as time itself Ancient Greece and Athens strong influence Early times focus on “regime” security and military advantage While intel recognized it was not fully embraced Strong influence of superstition and divine guidance Use of oracles and belief in dreams Some argue what’s difference today Intelligence – The Early Years Thucydides’ “security dilemma”: War in inevitable Based on observation of cause of Peloponnesian Wars ‘Thucydides’ Trap’ State A perceived “threatening” to State B; State B takes defensive measures to protect itself: State A thus perceives threat from B = War Intelligence – The Early Years Observations: Security dilemma’s danger Greater weight on divination and intuition Deception and need for counter-intelligence Need for tactical and strategic intelligence AND …”tension” between intelligence and democracy  Two Sun Tzu Great Thinkers Carl von Clausewitz “The Art of War” Sun Tzu Required reading across military Believed Intelligence is crucial “Foreknowledge” vital to success Not gained via spirits; must use “men” to acquire (e.g. spies); HUMINT Focused on intelligence (about the enemy) and counterintelligence (protecting info from the enemy)  Carl von Clausewitz Required reading across military More skeptical of “On intelligence Likely revolves around his War” critical view of analysis Also limited collection opportunity via HUMINT Note timeframe in which he lived ‘Fog of War’ …War is an extension of Confusion, uncertainty and politics by chance in combat other means…. environment  England Elizabeth I; Protestant Reformation Established “the Watchers” to The monitor internal dissidents and threats France Use of intelligence back to the 1400’s Early Cardinal Richelieu “father” of French Intelligence; Reformation driven Thirty Years’ War Influenti “Cabinet Noir” – Black Chamber – internal/external Protect the king from dissidents and threats Extensive HUMINT network; early al codebreakers Russia Early origins to Ivan the Terrible Nations (1500’s) Loyal intelligence force used for regime security Gather information; administer brutal justice on the Czar’s enemies Theme of intelligence for regime security runs throughout Russian history to the Cheka’s to the KGB “PDB – Bin Laden Determined to Strike in US” Discussion When did this appear in the PDB? What were the Key Points? What Problems do you see with the item? What Lessons do you take from it? QUESTIONS?