If real GDP per capita in a year was 50% greater than a decade earlier and the population grew by 20% over the same period, while the real GDP per capita did not experience a decli... If real GDP per capita in a year was 50% greater than a decade earlier and the population grew by 20% over the same period, while the real GDP per capita did not experience a decline in any year, what is the minimum increase in nominal GDP over the decade?

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking to determine the minimum growth rate of nominal GDP over the past decades given that the real GDP per capita increased by 50% and the population grew by 20%. It also states that there was no decrease in real GDP per capita in any year during this period, which implies a relationship between the growth in real and nominal GDP that needs to be analyzed.

Answer

The minimum growth rate of nominal GDP over the past decades had to be 60%.
Answer for screen readers

The minimum growth rate of nominal GDP over the past decades had to be 60%.

Steps to Solve

  1. Understanding Growth Rates We start with what is given: the real GDP per capita increased by 50%, and the population grew by 20%.

    Let’s assume the original real GDP per capita was $R$ and the original population was $P$. Then the new real GDP per capita can be expressed as: $$ R' = R \times (1 + 0.50) = 1.5R $$

  2. Calculating Total New Real GDP The total real GDP after the growth can be calculated as follows: $$ \text{New Real GDP} = R' \times \text{New Population} $$ The new population is: $$ P' = P \times (1 + 0.20) = 1.2P $$ Thus, we have: $$ \text{New Real GDP} = 1.5R \times 1.2P = 1.8RP $$

  3. Calculating Initial Real GDP The initial real GDP can be calculated as: $$ \text{Initial Real GDP} = R \times P $$

  4. Determining the Growth Rate of Nominal GDP The nominal GDP must grow in a way that maintains the growth of real GDP per capita and accommodates population growth. The growth rate ($g$) can be represented as: $$ \text{Nominal GDP Growth Rate} = \frac{\text{New Nominal GDP} - \text{Initial Nominal GDP}}{\text{Initial Nominal GDP}} $$ Since nominal GDP must cover real GDP growth while adjusting for population: $$ \text{Nominal GDP} = \text{New Real GDP} $$

  5. Setting up the Equation Now, we set the new nominal GDP as: $$ \text{New Nominal GDP} = (1 + g) \text{Initial Nominal GDP} $$ This can be equated to the calculated new real GDP: $$ 1.8RP = (1 + g)(RP) $$

  6. Solving for Growth Rate Dividing both sides by (RP) (assuming (R) and (P) are not zero): $$ 1.8 = 1 + g $$ Thus, we can isolate (g): $$$ g = 1.8 - 1 = 0.8 \text{ or } 80% $$ However, to find the minimum growth rate, we take into account that real GDP per capita doesn't decrease, so we need to mitigate the effects of the population growth. This gives: $$ g = 0.8 - 0.2 = 0.6 \text{ or } 60% $$

The minimum growth rate of nominal GDP over the past decades had to be 60%.

More Information

This answer indicates that for the economy to sustain a 50% increase in real GDP per capita with a population growth of 20%, the nominal GDP must increase substantially, reflecting the real economic growth and population expansion.

Tips

  • Not taking into account population growth when calculating nominal GDP.
  • Overlooking the relationships between real GDP growth and changes in population, leading to incorrect conclusions about nominal GDP requirements.

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