a) Find the percentage of time waiting. b) If you want a confidence level of 95%, and if +/-3% is an acceptable error, what size should the sample be?

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking to calculate the percentage of time operators were waiting for materials and to determine the sample size needed for a 95% confidence level with a specified acceptable error. It involves statistical analysis based on provided observations.

Answer

The percentage waiting is $8.75\%$, and the sample size needed is approximately $380$.
Answer for screen readers

The percentage of time waiting is approximately $8.75%$, and the required sample size is approximately $380$ observations.

Steps to Solve

  1. Calculate the Percentage of Time Waiting

To find the percentage of time the operators were waiting for materials, use the formula:

$$ \text{Percentage} = \left( \frac{\text{Waiting observations}}{\text{Total observations}} \right) \times 100 $$

Here, the waiting observations are 105 and the total observations are 1200.

$$ \text{Percentage} = \left( \frac{105}{1200} \right) \times 100 $$

  1. Determine the Sample Size Needed

To calculate the required sample size for a 95% confidence level with an acceptable error of ±3%, use the formula:

$$ n = \left( \frac{Z^2 \cdot p \cdot (1-p)}{E^2} \right) $$

Where:

  • ( Z ) is the Z-score for the confidence level (1.96 for 95%)
  • ( p ) is the estimated proportion (from part a, in decimal form)
  • ( E ) is the margin of error (0.03 for ±3%)

Calculate ( p ):

$$ p = \frac{105}{1200} = 0.0875 $$

Next, substitute the values into the sample size formula:

$$ n = \left( \frac{(1.96)^2 \cdot 0.0875 \cdot (1 - 0.0875)}{(0.03)^2} \right) $$

  1. Calculate the Sample Size

First, compute ( (1 - p) ):

$$ 1 - p = 1 - 0.0875 = 0.9125 $$

Now plug everything into the sample size formula:

$$ n = \left( \frac{3.8416 \cdot 0.0875 \cdot 0.9125}{0.0009} \right) $$

Finally, calculate ( n ) to find the required sample size.

The percentage of time waiting is approximately $8.75%$, and the required sample size is approximately $380$ observations.

More Information

The calculations show that a significant portion of time is spent waiting for materials, which indicates areas for improvement in operational efficiency. Additionally, determining the sample size ensures that future studies will provide reliable insights within the specified margin of error.

Tips

  • Not Converting Percentage to Decimal: Ensure that the waiting percentage is expressed as a decimal when calculating sample size.
  • Incorrect Z-score: Use the correct Z-score corresponding to the confidence level.
  • Wrong formula application: Ensure to apply the sample size formula correctly with the right values.

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