A cereal manufacturer is concerned that the boxes of cereal not be underfilled. Each box of cereal is supposed to contain 13 ounces of cereal. A random sample of 31 boxes is tested... A cereal manufacturer is concerned that the boxes of cereal not be underfilled. Each box of cereal is supposed to contain 13 ounces of cereal. A random sample of 31 boxes is tested. The average weight is 12.58 ounces and the standard deviation is .25 ounces. Calculate a confidence interval to test the hypothesis that cereal weight is different from 13 ounces at α = 0.10 and interpret.

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking for the calculation of a confidence interval to test whether the average weight of cereal boxes is significantly different from the expected 13 ounces. This involves performing hypothesis testing and interpreting the results at a significance level of α = 0.10.

Answer

The 90% confidence interval for the average cereal weight is $(12.504, 12.656)$.
Answer for screen readers

The 90% confidence interval for the average cereal weight is $(12.504, 12.656)$.

Steps to Solve

  1. Gather information and parameters
    Identify the given values:
  • Sample size ($n$) = 31
  • Sample mean ($\bar{x}$) = 12.58 ounces
  • Standard deviation ($s$) = 0.25 ounces
  • Significance level ($\alpha$) = 0.10
  1. Calculate the critical value
    Since we are testing for a two-tailed hypothesis, we need the critical values for a 90% confidence level, which corresponds to $\alpha/2 = 0.05$.
    Using a t-distribution table for $n - 1 = 30$ degrees of freedom:
  • Critical value ($t_{0.05, 30}$) ≈ 1.697
  1. Calculate the standard error (SE)
    The standard error of the mean can be calculated using:
    $$ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} $$
    Substituting the values:
    $$ SE = \frac{0.25}{\sqrt{31}} \approx 0.045 $$

  2. Calculate the margin of error (ME)
    The margin of error is found by multiplying the critical value by the standard error:
    $$ ME = t_{0.05, 30} \times SE $$
    Substituting the values:
    $$ ME = 1.697 \times 0.045 \approx 0.076 $$

  3. Determine the confidence interval
    Now we can calculate the confidence interval:
    $$ CI = \bar{x} \pm ME $$
    Calculating both bounds:
    $$ CI_{lower} = 12.58 - 0.076 \approx 12.504 $$
    $$ CI_{upper} = 12.58 + 0.076 \approx 12.656 $$

  4. Interpret the results
    The 90% confidence interval for the average cereal weight is approximately (12.504, 12.656). Since this interval does not include the value 13 ounces, we conclude that the average weight of cereal boxes is significantly different from the expected 13 ounces at $\alpha = 0.10$.

The 90% confidence interval for the average cereal weight is $(12.504, 12.656)$.

More Information

This result indicates that we are 90% confident that the true average weight of the cereal boxes falls within this interval. Since 13 ounces is not included, we infer that there is significant evidence that the average weight is below 13 ounces, highlighting potential underfilling issues.

Tips

  • Confusing one-tailed with two-tailed tests: Make sure to use the correct critical value based on whether you're performing a two-tailed or one-tailed test.
  • Miscalculating the standard error: Remember to divide the standard deviation by the square root of the sample size.

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