Probability of Having the Disease given a Positive Test Result

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6 Questions

What is the probability of a false positive in the context of spam email detection?

5%

If an email is detected as spam, what is the probability that it is actually a non-spam email?

5%

In the Dentist Domain example, what is the probability of having a cavity given a toothache?

0.12

In the Dentist Domain example, what is the probability of having a cavity given that the probe catches?

0.008

What does the red portion in the joint distribution represent?

The 'world' given what is known so far.

What does the green portion in the joint distribution represent?

The (atomic) event of interest.

Explore the concepts of false positive rate and conditional probability when a person tests positive for a disease. Calculate the probability of a person actually having the disease given a positive test result.

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