Political Risk Analysis and Organisational Strategy
48 Questions
0 Views

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson

Questions and Answers

Organisations do not need to focus on building connections and legitimacy.

False

Lobbying and public relations are identified as key nonmarket strategies.

True

The state is often a minor economic player in many countries.

False

Exposure to civil society is an important variable for identifying political factors.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

The food industry is not influenced by civil society-based political pressures.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Canals are often state-owned and currently face significant political pressures.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Political risk analysis includes both macro and micro dimensions.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Specialist organisations do not publish ratings of countries' macro political risks.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

The Paris region accounts for 25% of car concentration.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Organisational fields include only competitors and their customers.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Wealth distribution changes can affect the size of luxury goods markets.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Sociograms are tools used to visualize social connections within an organisational field.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Increased network density leads to poorer communication of ideas.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

A community of organisations that frequently interact is described as an organisational field.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Powerful firms and respected venture capitalists are important connections for a new hi-technology enterprise.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Existing ethical attitudes in the financial services industry have remained unchanged for the past 20 years.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

A fall in oil prices can negatively impact countries if it is linked to internal political games in one country.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Economic growth rates do not often experience cycles of rise and fall.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Discretionary spending refers to purchases that cannot be postponed.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Industries with high fixed costs are less susceptible to economic downturns due to their pricing strategies.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Demographics play a role in shaping the innovativeness and effectiveness of organizations.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Geographic factors have no impact on market demands and supply.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Managers should evaluate their strategic decisions based on the current economic cycle.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Pressure from local campaigning groups does not affect national politics.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Hubs in a network can be considered powerful because they connect many network members and facilitate interconnection.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Broker positions limit innovativeness by preventing the exchange of information between separate groups.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

A Small World network is characterized by many members being closely connected to each other.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Outsider organizations find it easy to penetrate Small World networks without the help of insiders.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Innovative activity can be measured using indicators like Research & Development budgets and patenting activity.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

The impact of technology like the internet is limited to traditional industries.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Central hub positions are not considered innovative because they only relay information without collecting ideas.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Innovation can occur when organizations exploit valuable information from one group for the benefit of another group.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Formal and informal rules are the same across all countries.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

PESTEL analysis can help identify key drivers for change in specific contexts.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Single-point forecasting indicates a high level of uncertainty in future conditions.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Changes in social and legislative factors can significantly affect industries like supermarkets more than banks.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

All strategic decisions can be made without the need for forecasting future conditions.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Range forecasting is utilized when organizations have high certainty about future outcomes.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

The concept of 'varieties of capitalism' relates to the differences in institutional environments across countries.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Environmental factors likely have a low impact on the success or failure of strategies in the industry.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Alternative futures forecasting focuses on a range of continuous likelihoods.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Megatrends are changes that occur quickly and often influence many activities.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Inflexion points are moments when trends shift direction, potentially altering forecasts.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Scenarios provide specific strategies for dealing with future environments.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Weak signals are considered advanced signs of future trends.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

Forecasting is largely unnecessary when certainty is high.

<p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

The central projection in probability forecasting is identified as the least probable outcome.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Scenarios are typically utilized in contexts with low uncertainty.

<p>False</p> Signup and view all the answers

Study Notes

Business Strategy

  • The environment presents both opportunities and threats to organizations.
  • Examples include:
    • Canal+ or SKY's challenges due to the emergence of new competitors like Netflix and Amazon.
    • Alibaba's rapid growth fueled by technological advances, Chinese political and economic changes, and international regulations.

Macro-Environment Analysis

  • The macro-environment encompasses broad environmental factors affecting organizations, industries, and sectors.
  • An industry or sector consists of organizations producing similar products or services. Examples include the automobile and pharmaceutical industries.
  • Organizations compete within markets, and competitors include companies like Ford and Fiat competing with Renault.

PESTEL Analysis

  • PESTEL analysis is a useful tool for forecasting and scenario development.
  • Strategies should not solely focus on economic aspects but also consider non-market factors.
  • Market environment factors, including suppliers, customers, and competitors, are critical. Companies compete through shared resources, revenue, and profits.
  • Non-market considerations, such as social, political, legal, and ecological factors influenced by economic factors, should be included.

Politics

  • Two key steps in political analysis are identifying the importance of political factors and carrying out political risks analysis.
  • Two variables for identifying the importance of political factors: the state's economic role (e.g., major customer, supplier, or financier) and exposure to civil society (lobbyists, pressure groups, media).
  • Industries like defense have high state involvement and civil society exposure, while industries like hotels have low exposure.
  • Political risk analysis has macro-micro and internal-external dimensions.
  • Macro-risks pertain to the whole country, while micro-risks concern specific organizations within a country.
  • Internal-external factors consider events originating within a country (e.g., government changes) and knock-on effects from outside the country (e.g., oil price drops).

Economics

  • Macroeconomic influences include currency exchange rates, interest rates, and fluctuating economic growth rates.
  • Economic cycles involve regular rises and falls in growth rates, frequently followed by slowdowns or recessions.
  • Companies in discretionary spend industries (e.g., restaurants) and high fixed cost industries (e.g., airlines, hotels, steel) are vulnerable to economic cycles due to easily postponable purchases and high overhead costs respectively.

Social

  • Social influences impact demand and supply, influencing innovativeness and effectiveness of organizations.
  • Key social factors influencing demand/supply include demographics, geography, distribution changes, and culture.
  • Examples include population aging in Western societies, market concentrations in specific geographic locations, changes in wealth distribution shifting consumer habits, and changing attitudes influencing business strategies.
  • Organization networks are also considered part of social analysis as members in the same organizations interact more often than with the outside world, as suppliers, customers, competitors, and regulators/pressure groups.
  • The concepts of network density, central hub positions, and broker positions help understand these effects.
  • "Small worlds" describe densely interconnected networks where even outsiders can affect the network, and are affected by the network, quickly.

Technology

  • Technological advancements, like the Internet, nanotechnology, and new composite materials, impact several industries.
  • Technologies frequently lead to new opportunities for some organizations and challenges for others (e.g., Spotify vs. traditional music companies).
  • Five primary indicators of innovative activity include research & development budgets; patenting activity; citation analysis; new product announcements; and media coverage.
  • Technology roadmaps project future demands, identify technological alternatives, choose the most promising ones, and outline development timelines.

Ecological

  • Environmental issues like pollution, recycling, and global warming are factors that need to be considered.
  • Environmental regulations, while imposing additional costs, can also lead to new opportunities. (e.g., mobile phone recycling).
  • Challenges organizations may face include direct pollution obligations, product stewardship, and sustainable development. Product stewardship considers the whole life cycle of a product through the supply chain, from production to end-of-life disposal.
  • Three factors create pressures on organizations to consider ecological factors include environmental concerns, pressures from within the organizational field, and ecological values and standards of organizations.
  • Legal factors, often referred to as a "rules of the game," include labor standards, environmental regulations, consumer protection, taxation, and reporting requirements affecting companies.
  • Legal constraints can be relaxed through deregulation for new business opportunities, but such actions can also hinder organizations.
  • Informal norms/rules are important to consider, as they can vary considerably between countries, creating different institutional environments.

Key Drivers and Forecasting

  • PESTEL analysis generates a complex list of issues, but identifying key drivers within a specific context is important.
  • Environmental factors significantly impacting industries and organizations should be identified.
  • Forecasting approaches include single-point forecasts which predict a single future value, range-forecasting which presents a range of likely outcomes; and alternative-future forecasting which considers various possible, but distinct, futures.
  • The importance of predictability within the context of strategic decision making is highlighted.

Directions of Change

  • Three concepts to consider in understanding trends and turning points include megatrends which influence activities over decades; inflexion points when trends change abruptly; weak signals which signal trends or events early in their formation, and indicate possible anomalies or changes.

Scenarios

  • Scenarios offer alternative views of how macro-environmental factors might evolve in the long term.
  • They aren't strategies but provide alternative environments for strategy development.
  • Scenario analysis is used when environments are highly uncertain.
  • Different methods of using scenario development include differentiating it from alternative futures forecasting, concentrating on learning over predicting, and considering inter-related environmental factors.

Scenario Process

  • Defining the scope for specific scenarios (e.g., industry, region, timeframe); identifying key drivers or factors with potential impact; developing scenarios; identifying scenario impacts; and monitoring developments relevant to the scenarios using established indicators constitute a common scenario-building process.

Studying That Suits You

Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

Quiz Team

Related Documents

Business Strategy 2024/2025 PDF

Description

This quiz explores the nuances of political risk analysis and the role of nonmarket strategies in organisations, particularly in the context of civil society influences and state ownership. Additionally, it addresses factors affecting the luxury goods market and the dynamics of organisational fields. Test your understanding of these complex interactions and their implications.

More Like This

3.4 Political Risk
13 questions
Political Risk in International Business
33 questions
Use Quizgecko on...
Browser
Browser