Operations Management: Supply Chain & Logistics
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A project manager is using a heuristic approach to streamline resource allocation. Which of the following actions best exemplifies this approach?

  • Using linear programming to find the mathematically optimal resource allocation.
  • Following a pre-defined set of rules to efficiently allocate resources, accepting a 'good enough' solution. (correct)
  • Conducting a full factorial experiment to identify optimal settings.
  • Simulating every possible resource allocation scenario to determine the absolute best outcome.

In the context of decision-making, which situation would be most suitable for applying the maximin criterion?

  • Negotiating a contract where the primary goal is to secure the best possible outcome regardless of potential losses.
  • Launching a new product into a stable market with established competitors.
  • Choosing a supplier where the most important factor is avoiding the worst-case scenario of supply chain disruption. (correct)
  • Investing in a high-risk, high-reward venture with the potential for significant gains.

A project team is deciding between several project management software options. Applying the Laplace criterion, how would they make their decision?

  • Choose the software that has the best average rating across all review platforms. (correct)
  • Opt for the software that aligns with their company's strategic goals, irrespective of cost.
  • Pick the software that guarantees the least amount of potential loss in case of implementation failure.
  • Select the software that offers the highest potential return on investment, regardless of the risks.

A construction company is evaluating different project scheduling techniques. Which of the following correctly describes a key difference between CPM and PERT methods?

<p>CPM is deterministic, focusing on the cost-time trade-offs, while PERT is probabilistic, considering variability in activity times. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

An investor is considering investing in a startup. Using the maximax decision-making approach, which course of action would they take?

<p>Choose the startup with the highest potential return, disregarding associated risks. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which function is NOT considered one of the three basic functions of an organization?

<p>Human Resources (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary focus of upper-management processes within an organization?

<p>Governing the operation of the entire organization. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes the role of 'operations' within a business organization?

<p>Providing the goods or services that the organization offers. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of operations management, what encompasses the 'supply chain'?

<p>All activities involved in producing and delivering a good or service. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following characteristics is NOT typically associated with a 'scientific' approach to operations decision-making?

<p>Use of qualitative judgements based on experience. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What differentiates 'operational processes' from 'supporting processes'?

<p>Operational processes make up the core value stream; supporting processes assist the core processes. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Logistics is best described as which of the following?

<p>The transportation of goods from one place to another. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do the characteristics of decision-making in operations usually range?

<p>From single judgements to complex analyses involving judgement. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A project manager is faced with extreme uncertainty and needs to make a decision where stakeholders are completely indifferent. Which strategy is most suitable in this scenario?

<p>Employing a coin flip to make a completely unbiased decision. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a decision-making scenario under uncertainty, a project manager wants to minimize the difference between the realized payoff and the best possible payoff for each state of nature. Which method should they employ?

<p>Minimax Regret (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which factor is LEAST relevant when determining the appropriate type of decision analysis to use?

<p>The current interest rates set by the federal reserve. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A project team is uncertain about future market conditions but wants to incorporate the experiences and risk preferences of key stakeholders into the decision-making process. Which decision-making method is most appropriate?

<p>Utility Theory (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following methods is specifically designed to aid decision-making when there is no available information about the likelihood of different outcomes?

<p>Game Theory (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is the correct order of steps in a systematic, analytical decision-making framework?

<p>Define the problem, establish the decision criteria, formulate a model, generate alternatives, evaluate the alternatives, implementation and monitoring. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In decision methodology, what role does the available information play?

<p>It determines which analytical methods are most suitable for modeling a given decision. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary assumption made when applying the 'Treats the state of nature as equally likely' strategy in decision-making under uncertainty?

<p>Each possible state of nature has an equal chance of occurring. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A store manager is trying to decide how many cashiers to have on duty at different times of the day. Which technique would be MOST useful?

<p>Queuing Theory (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following techniques is MOST suitable when 'future happenings' need to be analyzed to gauge the effectiveness of a potential decision?

<p>Simulation (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When is statistical analysis a useful approach to decision-making?

<p>When the probabilities of outcomes are either objective or subjective and sample sizes can be used. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which set of techniques is MOST applicable to decision-making under an analytical and scientific framework?

<p>Hypothesis testing, statistics, and decision theory. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A production manager wants to determine if there's a significant difference in the output of three different machines. Which statistical technique is MOST appropriate?

<p>Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Heuristic Method

A problem-solving approach using rules to efficiently find solutions, especially in scheduling and layout problems.

Network Analysis Techniques

Techniques using network diagrams to analyze, plan, and control project activities and decisions.

Maximin

A decision-making criterion that selects the alternative with the "best worst" possible outcome.

Maximax

A decision-making criterion that selects the alternative with the best possible outcome, embracing optimism.

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Laplace Criterion

Calculates the average payoff for each choice and selects the option with the highest average.

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Probabilistic Decision

Decisions where outcomes have probabilities.

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Factors for Analysis Type

Long-lasting impact, time available, and complexity.

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Decision-Making Framework

Define problem, criteria, model, alternatives, evaluation, implementation, and monitoring.

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Decision Methodology

Information type determines appropriate analysis methods.

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Statistical Analysis

Using probability, and statistics to make decisions.

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Techniques for Decision-Making

Hypothesis, Statistics, Decision Theory, Correlation/Regression, Forecasting, ANOVA

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Queuing Theory

Analysis of waiting lines to optimize service.

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Simulation

Replicating activities to predict future outcomes.

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Operations

Part of business organizations responsible for providing goods or services, conceptualizing everything as a system of processes.

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Supply Chain

The coordinated flow of producing and delivering a good or service. It encompasses all activities from raw materials to the end customer.

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Logistics

The process of transporting goods from one location to another, focusing on the efficient movement of materials and products.

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3 Basic Functions of Organizations

Finance, Operations, and Marketing

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Process Management

A structured way to achieve specific goals, using a defined procedure or method.

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Process

One or more actions that transform inputs into outputs, creating value in the process.

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Upper Management Processes

Govern the operation of the entire organization through organizational governance and strategy.

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Operational Processes

Core activities that directly create value. Focused on production or service delivery.

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Utility Theory

Incorporates a decision-maker's experiences and values into a structured decision process.

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Minimax Regret

A method to select the alternative that minimizes the maximum regret (opportunity loss) for each state of nature.

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Equally Likely

Treats each possible state of nature as equally probable when making decisions.

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Game Theory

Helps in choosing a course of action when there is no data about future conditions.

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Coin Flip

A method used when decision-makers are completely indifferent between choices.

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Study Notes

  • Operations management is part of a business that provides goods or services, conceptualizes everything, and is a system of processes.

Supply Chain

  • Supply chain is involved in producing and delivering goods or services, it is a process of flow.

Logistics

  • Logistics is the process of transportation from one place to another.

Basic Functions of an Organization

  • Finance
  • Operations
  • Marketing
  • Process management is how organizations achieve goals, using a procedure or method.
  • A Process transforms inputs into outputs.

Upper-Management Processes

  • Upper Management governs the operation of the organization, providing organizational governance and strategy.
  • Top management includes roles such as CEO, CMO, CTO, President, and Managing Director.

Operational Processes

  • Operational processes are core processes that make up the value stream (production/services).

Supporting Processes

  • Supporting processes support the core processes.

Operations Decision-Making

  • Operations decision-making is management characterized by scientific principles.
  • Organized knowledge, empirical data and computations, systematic data analysis, and repeatable results are needed.
  • Characteristics of decision-making range from single judgement to complex analysis.
  • The type of analysis depends on the significance/duration of decisions, time availability/costs, and decision complexity.

Framework of Decision-Making

  • Analytical/Scientific decision frameworks imply systematic steps.
  • These steps are: defining the problem, establishing criteria, formulating a model, generating alternatives, evaluating alternatives, and implementation/monitoring.
  • Decision methodology uses available information to determine appropriate analytical methods.

Risk and Uncertainty Methods

  • Risk and uncertainty methods use probabilistic information about decision variables/outcomes.

Statistical Analysis

  • Statistical analysis can be objective/subjective using probability.
  • Techniques used for decision-making include hypothesis testing, statistics, decision theory, correlation/regression, forecasting, and ANOVA.
  • Queuing theory analyzes queues for service systems, maintenance, and shop floor control.
  • Simulation duplicates the essence of an activity or series of actions to show possible future happenings.
  • A heuristic method is used for decision-making.
  • Heuristic techniques use rules to solve scheduling, layout, and distribution problems, providing solutions for specific problems.

Network Analysis Techniques

  • Network Analysis included decision trees, CPM and PERT Methods.
  • They identify actions to control project activities.
  • CPM and PERT methods determine how to finish a project the fastest.
  • Utility theory, or preference theory, incorporates experiences/values into a formalized decision structure.

Possible Decision Criteria

  • There are four main decision criteria:
    • Maximin
    • Maximax
    • Laplace
    • Minimax Regret
  • Decision-making under uncertainty occurs when information on likely states of nature is unavailable.
  • Extreme uncertainty methods occur when no information can assess the likelihood of alternative outcomes.

Strategies

  • Game theory is a strategy that helps decision-makers when there is no information to choose a course of action when conditions are unknown.
  • A coin flip is used when decision-makers are indifferent to the outcome.
  • Maximin determines the worst possible payoff and picks the "best worst".
  • The Pessimistic approach establishes a "guaranteed minimum"
  • Maximax determines the best possible payoff.
  • Maximize is an Optimistic approach, advising to “Go for it".
  • Laplace determines the best average payoff.
  • Laplace treats each state of nature as likely.
  • Minimax Regret determines the worst regret and seeks to reduce the difference between the payoff that is realized and the best payoff for each state of nature.

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Description

Explore operations management, a core business function encompassing goods, services, and processes. Understand supply chains for production and logistics for transportation. Learn about organizational functions like finance, operations, and marketing, with a focus on process management and decision-making.

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