Management Decision Making

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Questions and Answers

Which of the following is NOT typically considered a direct element in the framework of decision-making situations?

  • Organizing
  • Planning
  • Marketing (correct)
  • Controlling

What is the primary difference between decisions that managers make?

  • The amount of time it takes to implement each decision.
  • All decisions are equally important, regardless of their potential consequences.
  • Some decisions are inconsequential, while others have significant impact. (correct)
  • The types of resources affected by each decision.

Which level of management is most likely involved in making strategic decisions that have long-term implications for the company?

  • Middle Managers
  • Top Managers (correct)
  • First-Line Managers
  • Non-managerial Employees

When is a high-involvement decision-making process most appropriate?

<p>When the decision requires diverse perspectives and careful consideration. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What role does domain-specific knowledge play in decision making?

<p>It provides a contextual understanding, enhancing decision quality. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Under what circumstances are managers most likely to rely on intuitive decision making?

<p>When they need to make quick decisions under time constraints. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes a decision based on heuristics?

<p>A decision that follows a rule based on past experiences. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which aspect of decision making is most closely related to ethical values?

<p>Values (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a critical consideration when implementing a group decision-making process?

<p>Convincing different decision makers to get their &quot;go ahead&quot;. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the initial step in the general approach to decision making, especially in high-involvement situations?

<p>Identify problem (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary distinction between decisions made under certainty and those made under uncertainty?

<p>Decisions made under certainty involve no risk, while those under uncertainty involve potential risks. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the descriptions accurately defines a structured decision?

<p>Structured means that there is a rule that is in place to deal with a familiar problem. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key characteristic of unstructured decisions?

<p>They deal with new or unusual situations that lack clear precedents. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one key reason why biases are studied in the context of managerial decision making?

<p>To understand how biases influence decisions and mitigate their negative effects. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes evidence-based management?

<p>Using data and information to inform and improve decision making. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of decision making, what does 'bounded rationality' refer to?

<p>The cognitive limitations that constrain one's ability to interpret, process, and act on information. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What role do emotions play in rational decision making?

<p>Emotions should be acknowledged and taken into account. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary aim of forecasting in the context of managerial decision-making?

<p>To predict and estimate future trends and demands to inform decisions. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary goal of scenario planning in decision making?

<p>To develop multiple potential future states to evaluate different strategies. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of decision trees, how is uncertainty reflected?

<p>Through probabilities assigned to different outcomes or events. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential advantage of group decision making?

<p>It can lead to diverse insights and broader implications of all the opinions. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is confirmation bias?

<p>The tendency to seek out information that confirms our existing beliefs. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is framing bias?

<p>A bias that occurs when presenting the same option in different ways. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is the correct order for a general approach to decision making?

<p>Identify Problem -&gt; Identify Criteria -&gt; Evaluating alternatives -&gt; Selection of Alternative (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is anchoring effect?

<p>A cognitive error where one relies too heavily on the first piece of information seen. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is sunk costs bias?

<p>The justification of further investment into a failing project because of previously put in money. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is immediate gratification bias?

<p>Choosing a present reward over a bigger one, farther in the future. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is self-serving bias?

<p>The tendency to take credit for success while denying responsibility for failure. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is hindsight bias?

<p>The inclination to see events that have already occurred as more predictable than they appeared before they took place. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is overconfidence bias?

<p>Excessive confidence in one's own abilities. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is selective perception bias?

<p>A bias that only takes into account what one wants to see. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is representation bias?

<p>The incorrect assumption that a small sample is representative of a larger population. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is availability bias?

<p>The tendency to base decisions on information that is readily available. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is randomness bias?

<p>The assumption that completely random events are predictable. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Consequences of Decisions

The consideration of the outcomes that may result from different choices.

Structured Decision

A decision where there is a rule or policy in place to deal with a recurring issue.

Unstructured Decision

A decision made in a situation with no established rules or procedures.

Bias

A tendency, whether conscious or unconscious, towards a preference or point of view.

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Evidence-Based Management

Using available information and evidence to inform the decision-making process.

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Forecasting

Anticipating future trends and conditions to inform current decisions.

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Scenario Planning

Planning for various potential future outcomes to evaluate strategic options.

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Decision Trees

Analysis tool using branching possibilities to evaluate decisions.

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Bounded Rationality

The idea that our rationality is limited by the information we have, the cognitive limitations of our minds, and the time available to make a decision.

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Advantages of Group Decision Making

Thinking, can see the wider implications and brainstorm.

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Disadvantages of Group Decision Making

Conflict, protection of projects that are personal.

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Study Notes

Decision Making in Management

  • Managers must make various decisions and it's important to understand how these decisions are made and what affects them.
  • A framework to analyze decision-making considers planning, controlling, organizing, and leading aspects.

Types of Decisions

  • Considering the consequences of decisions is important.
  • Some managerial decisions may not be consequential, while others can be very impactful.

One Decision Typology

  • Decisions can be categorized under:
    • Planning
    • Controlling
    • Organizing
    • Leading

Decisions and Roles

  • Different types of managers make different types of decisions.

Decision Classifications

  • Decisions are also classified by level of involvement:
    • High involvement
    • Low involvement (routine decision making)

Experience and Knowledge

  • Decision-making relies on both knowledge and experience.
  • Using domain-specific knowledge and experience is useful.

Intuitive vs. Evidence-Based Decisions

  • Intuitive decision-making uses heuristics
    • Heuristics are based on rules or past experiences, suitable for routine decisions.
  • Intuitive decisions are made under time constraints.

Influences on Intuition

  • Intuition is influenced by:
    • Past experiences.
    • Ethical values and culture.
    • Feelings or emotions.
    • Data processed subconsciously.
    • Cognitive skills, knowledge, and training.

Decision Approval and Collaboration

  • Decisions may need approval, particularly for long-term or strategic matters.
  • Discussions in meetings occur, often with emails, reports, and presentations.
  • Group decision-making occurs when other departments are affected or have relevant experience.
  • Diverse perspectives should be valued in decision making.
  • Decision-makers may need convincing to gain support for new initiatives.

Influences on Decision Making

  • Decision-making is influence by:
    • Decision-maker characteristics
    • The decision-making problem

General Approach to Decisions

  • A general approach to decision-making, especially for high-involvement situations involves:
    • Identifying the problem.
    • Identifying relevant criteria
    • Determining what factors are important.
    • Generating alternatives.
    • Narrowing alternatives.
    • Evaluating alternatives carefully.
    • Selecting an alternative.
    • Implementing the selected alternative.

Decision Characteristics

  • Key characteristics include:
    • Degree of certainty versus uncertainty.
    • Level of risk involved.

Structured vs. Unstructured Decisions

  • Structured decisions involve familiar problems with established rules in place
    • Algorithms or standard procedures can address them.
    • Company policies, laws, or regulations guide these decisions.
  • Unstructured decisions are the opposite of structured decisions.
    • Involve new situations without precedents or rules.
    • Require training employees to handle such situations.

The Role of Bias

  • Bias needs consideration in decision-making for managers.

Evidence-Based Data

  • Evidence-based management requires specific decisions.
  • Evidence-based management involves collecting data or information to support decision-making.
  • Researching options and gathering qualitative information is part of the process.
  • Young employees typically collect data for these decisions, especially for new or strategic situations.

Forecasting

  • Demand forecasting affects production decisions to avoid over or underproduction.
  • Adjusting production to demand takes time or lead time.
  • Forecasting involves:
    • Predicting demand for new products or upgrades.
    • Considering short-term versus long-term perspectives.

Planning and Decision Trees

  • Scenario planning involves:
    • Forecasting different potential scenarios.
    • Evaluating strategies under each scenario to determine suitability or feasibility.
  • In decision trees:
    • Uncertainty is reflected in terms of probability.
    • Changing probabilities identifies robust options.

Rationality and Consideration of Emotions

  • Rationality integrates the emotions decision-makers and stakeholders.
  • Rationality may involve considering how people feel, especially stakeholders affected by the decision.

Barriers to Effective Decision-Making:

  • Bounded Rationality: Limited understanding of all options and information.
  • Commitment: Reluctance to abandon a failing decision midway.
  • Time Constraints: Limited time available for decision-making.
  • Uncertainty and personal biases.
  • Conflict: Personal or group conflicts during group decision-making.

Group Decision-Making:

  • Advantages:
    • Diverse opinions and brainstorming.
    • Wider implications and feasibility consideration.
    • Understanding resource commitments.
  • Disadvantages:
    • Conflicts of interest.
    • Protection of personal projects.
    • Ensuring everyone's views are heard.

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