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Questions and Answers
What does the Expected Value (EV) represent in decision theory?
What does the Expected Value (EV) represent in decision theory?
In Expected Utility Theory (EUT), how is utility derived from outcomes?
In Expected Utility Theory (EUT), how is utility derived from outcomes?
What does Prospect Theory (PT) emphasize in decision-making?
What does Prospect Theory (PT) emphasize in decision-making?
What distinguishes the value function in Prospect Theory compared to Expected Utility Theory?
What distinguishes the value function in Prospect Theory compared to Expected Utility Theory?
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Given the example calculations, what is the Expected Value for the scenario with outcomes $100 and $0 weighted by probabilities 0.5 each?
Given the example calculations, what is the Expected Value for the scenario with outcomes $100 and $0 weighted by probabilities 0.5 each?
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In the context of Expected Utility Theory, what would be the expected utility for outcomes $80 and $0 with probabilities 0.5 each?
In the context of Expected Utility Theory, what would be the expected utility for outcomes $80 and $0 with probabilities 0.5 each?
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What is a key finding of Prospect Theory in terms of decision-making under risk?
What is a key finding of Prospect Theory in terms of decision-making under risk?
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How do Expected Value and Expected Utility differ fundamentally in their approach to decision-making?
How do Expected Value and Expected Utility differ fundamentally in their approach to decision-making?
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What principle does Expected Value Theory (EVT) primarily rely on for rational decision-making?
What principle does Expected Value Theory (EVT) primarily rely on for rational decision-making?
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Which theory replaces the concept of expected value with expected utility to address its limitations?
Which theory replaces the concept of expected value with expected utility to address its limitations?
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Which paradox was addressed by incorporating expected utility into decision-making frameworks?
Which paradox was addressed by incorporating expected utility into decision-making frameworks?
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What year did Daniel Bernoulli publish his work that laid the foundation for Expected Utility Theory?
What year did Daniel Bernoulli publish his work that laid the foundation for Expected Utility Theory?
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In Expected Utility Theory, what does the utility of an outcome represent?
In Expected Utility Theory, what does the utility of an outcome represent?
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Which of the following is NOT an axiom of Expected Utility Theory?
Which of the following is NOT an axiom of Expected Utility Theory?
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What insight does Prospect Theory (PT) primarily offer in contrast to EUT?
What insight does Prospect Theory (PT) primarily offer in contrast to EUT?
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What does Expected Utility Theory argue regarding the significance of wealth to different individuals?
What does Expected Utility Theory argue regarding the significance of wealth to different individuals?
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What is a key limitation of Expected Value Theory in real-world scenarios?
What is a key limitation of Expected Value Theory in real-world scenarios?
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What fundamental assumption underlies the concept of Expected Utility in EUT?
What fundamental assumption underlies the concept of Expected Utility in EUT?
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What is the primary distinction between Expected Value Theory (EVT) and Expected Utility Theory (EUT)?
What is the primary distinction between Expected Value Theory (EVT) and Expected Utility Theory (EUT)?
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In Prospect Theory, how is the value function characterized for gains?
In Prospect Theory, how is the value function characterized for gains?
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Which of the following correctly describes a key feature of the Expected Utility Theory (EUT)?
Which of the following correctly describes a key feature of the Expected Utility Theory (EUT)?
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How is Expected Value (EV) calculated with two options when p1 is the probability of the first outcome and x1 is its value?
How is Expected Value (EV) calculated with two options when p1 is the probability of the first outcome and x1 is its value?
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What phenomenon did Maurice Allais highlight in his critique of EUT?
What phenomenon did Maurice Allais highlight in his critique of EUT?
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Which of the following best describes the function of 'w(p)' in Prospect Theory?
Which of the following best describes the function of 'w(p)' in Prospect Theory?
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What aspect of decision-making does Prospect Theory primarily focus on?
What aspect of decision-making does Prospect Theory primarily focus on?
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What is represented by the concave shape of the utility function 'u(x)' in Expected Utility Theory?
What is represented by the concave shape of the utility function 'u(x)' in Expected Utility Theory?
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How does Expected Value Theory determine optimal decision-making?
How does Expected Value Theory determine optimal decision-making?
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Which historical figure is notably associated with the development of the Expected Utility Theory?
Which historical figure is notably associated with the development of the Expected Utility Theory?
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What interpretation does Prospect Theory provide regarding how people perceive gains and losses?
What interpretation does Prospect Theory provide regarding how people perceive gains and losses?
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What does the term 'value function' imply within the context of Prospect Theory?
What does the term 'value function' imply within the context of Prospect Theory?
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Which statement describes the 'normative origins' of Expected Value Theory?
Which statement describes the 'normative origins' of Expected Value Theory?
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What is a critical criticism of EUT revealed by behavioral insights?
What is a critical criticism of EUT revealed by behavioral insights?
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Study Notes
Course Evaluation
- Complete the course evaluation for History of Psychology within 5 minutes
- Results will be discussed next week
Session Information
- Sessions are on Mondays, 8:15-9:45, in the Chemie, Organische, Grosser Hörsaal OC
- Course schedule includes topics like Introduction, Pre-psychology, The birth of psychology, Psychoanalysis, Behaviorism, Gestalt psychology, Cognitive psychology, Psychology today, Psychotherapy research, Psychological testing, Decision science, and What kind of science is psychology?
- Instructors for different sessions are Tisdall and Mata
Agenda
- Mock exam solutions, questions due Friday (December 6) via ADAM, discussion during December 9 session
- Recap of Psychological Testing (15 minutes)
- Decision Science (60 minutes)
Recap: History of Psychology - Session 10
- Topic: Psychological Testing
- Instructor: Loreen Tisdall
- Date: November 25, 2024
Psychological Testing and Psychometrics: Four Phases and Major Events
- Divided into four phases (1880s-1890s, 1900s-1910s, 1920s-1940s, 1950s-present)
- Each phase has key events like publication of texts by Francis Galton, James McKeen Cattell, Karl Pearson, and others leading to the development and standardization of psychological tests
- Includes development of scales, tests, and psychometric methods.
Wechsler Intelligence Scales
- Developed by David Wechsler
- Multiple versions (WAIS, WISC, WPPSI-IV)
- Involves point scales rather than chronological age scales
- Designed to capture different latent constructs of intelligence
- Aligns with Cattell-Horn-Carroll three-stratum model of intelligence
Behavioral Genetics
- Summary of 111 studies on familial resemblances in intelligence
- Correlational patterns consistent with a polygenic mode of inheritance
- High heterogeneity in correlations within familial groupings
- No clear moderation by sex or type of intelligence test
25-Point Consensus on Intelligence and Testing
- Intelligence is defined as a general mental capability, encompassing reasoning, planning, problem-solving, abstract thinking, learning, and learning from experience.
- Intelligence tests are accurate, measuring cognitive abilities, not personality or creativity.
More Consensus on Intelligence and Testing
- Mental tests have predictive validity
- Correlations between general mental ability (GMA) scores and job performance are significant.
Summary (Psychological Testing)
- Testing initially driven by eugenics and objective measurement, with a focus on theory and application in real-world problems
- Measurement standardization, standardization of scoring, component distinctions (e.g., verbal vs. non-verbal), norms for different ages, and development of statistical methods are key to developing tests
- Conceptual issues focus on agreement on theoretical and biological bases, and environmental factors are considered
- Main applications include personnel selection and job performance, academic achievement.
History of Psychology - Session 11
- Topic: Decision Science
- Instructor: Loreen Tisdall
- Date: December 2, 2024
Learning Objectives for Today
- Utility as an important concept in psychology and economics
- Key differences between models of choice under uncertainty
Your Turn!
- What is the main aim of decision science?
- What disciplines inform decision science?
- What relevance does decision science have?
- One-minute discussion.
Decision Science: Useful Terminology
- Field that studies how decisions, optimally and actually, are made and how to bridge the two
- A multidisciplinary field with input from various disciplines, including psychology, engineering, economics, mathematics, philosophy, and statistics
- Critical concepts include decision-making under uncertainty: distinguishing risk and Knightian uncertainty, along with deviations from rational models, heuristics, and biases.
Normative, Descriptive, and Prescriptive Models
- Normative models describe optimal decision-making by ideal agents.
- Descriptive models elucidate how human beings actually make decisions, accounting for biases and heuristics.
- Prescriptive models aim to improve decisions by integrating normative and descriptive insights.
From Normative to Descriptive Models
- Transition from normative (ideal) models to descriptive (realistic) models: Expected Value Theory, Expected Utility Theory, and Prospect Theory.
- Explaining the development of models
Integration of Value and Probability
- Examining the intersection of value and probability in different choice models: EVT, EUT, and PT
Repeated Choices in Lotteries
- Example of a choice design using lotteries
Summary (Decision Science)
- Utility is a subjective value central to decision science, with models explaining choices under uncertainty, like Expected Value Theory (EVT), Expected Utility Theory (EUT), and Prospect Theory (PT).
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Description
Test your knowledge on Psychological Testing as part of the History of Psychology course. This quiz covers key concepts and events discussed in the session led by Loreen Tisdall on November 25, 2024. Prepare for an engaging recap of psychological testing and related discussions.