Foreign Exchange Market and AUD
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Foreign Exchange Market and AUD

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Questions and Answers

What factors influence the demand for AUD in the foreign exchange market?

Foreigners demand AUD for purchasing Australian exports, investing in Australian businesses, saving in Australian banks, and speculative buying.

Explain the main reason the Reserve Bank of Australia allows the AUD to find its own exchange rate.

The RBA allows the AUD to find its own exchange rate to let market forces of supply and demand determine currency value without intervention.

What is the equilibrium exchange rate, and how is it determined in a floating exchange rate system?

The equilibrium exchange rate is where the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded of foreign currency, determined by the interplay of market forces.

Identify two reasons why Australians supply AUD to the foreign exchange market.

<p>Australians supply AUD when importing from abroad or when investing in foreign countries.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a currency depreciation mean for the external value of the AUD?

<p>Currency depreciation means that the external value of the AUD has fallen, making it worth less in foreign markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is an exchange rate?

<p>An exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another, representing its purchasing power against that currency.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What role do foreign currency reserves play for the Reserve Bank of Australia?

<p>Foreign currency reserves help meet balance payments, influence the foreign exchange rate, and maintain market confidence.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much currency is traded daily in the global foreign exchange market?

<p>Over $7.5 trillion worth of US dollars is traded daily in the global currency markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factors determine the value of a currency in a floating exchange rate system?

<p>In a floating exchange rate system, currency value is determined solely by market forces of demand and supply.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which currency had the highest total daily turnover in 2022?

<p>The US dollar had the highest total daily turnover, with $6,639 billion traded.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Name two key reasons for the high volume of currency trading in global markets?

<p>Key reasons include international trade and foreign direct investments.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which currency had the lowest trading volume among the currencies listed for 2022?

<p>The Chinese Yuan had the lowest trading volume, with $526 billion traded.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are foreign currency reserves typically composed of?

<p>Foreign currency reserves typically include major currencies like the US dollar, Euro, Japanese yen, and British pound.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain why the supply of AUD is upward sloping.

<p>The supply of AUD is upward sloping because as the dollar price of pounds rises, Australian goods become cheaper, leading to an increase in the quantity of pounds supplied to buy AUD.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What causes the demand for AUD to be downward sloping?

<p>The demand for AUD is downward sloping because as AUD becomes cheaper, American consumers are more willing to purchase Australian goods.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does an increase in demand for AUD affect the equilibrium exchange rate?

<p>An increase in demand for AUD shifts the demand curve to the right, resulting in a higher equilibrium exchange rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the demand curve for AUD when Americans invest more in Australia?

<p>When Americans invest more in Australia, the demand curve for AUD shifts to the right due to increased demand for Australian currency.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the effect of a decrease in supply of AUD on its exchange rate.

<p>A decrease in the supply of AUD would lead to an increase in its exchange rate, as fewer AUD would be available in the market.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the relationship between the demand for foreign currency and interest in foreign goods?

<p>The demand for foreign currency, like AUD, is derived from the desire to purchase foreign goods, services, and investments.</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the exchange rate increases to USD 0.75, what can be inferred about the demand for AUD?

<p>An increase in the exchange rate to USD 0.75 implies that there is higher demand for AUD, which reflects an increased interest in Australian goods.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What results from an increase in supply of AUD?

<p>An increase in supply of AUD results in a downward pressure on the exchange rate, as more AUD becomes available in the market.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is meant by the appreciation of the AUD against the USD?

<p>It refers to an increase in the exchange rate of the AUD relative to the USD, making the AUD more expensive.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the appreciation of the AUD affect Australian exports?

<p>It makes Australian exports more expensive and less price competitive in foreign markets.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What impact does currency appreciation have on imports for Australia?

<p>It makes imports cheaper and more attractive to Australian consumers.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the AUD, what does it mean when the demand for AUD decreases?

<p>It indicates that foreigners are less interested in purchasing Australian commodities, leading to a leftward shift in the demand curve for AUD.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the exchange rate when there is a depreciation of the AUD?

<p>The exchange rate drops, meaning the AUD costs less in terms of USD.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might American businesses reduce their demand for AUD?

<p>They may want to purchase fewer Australian commodities or invest less in Australia, leading to decreased demand for AUD.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the consequence of AUD appreciation on the purchasing power of Australians?

<p>Australians gain increased purchasing power for imported goods after AUD appreciation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Define currency depreciation in the context of AUD behavior.

<p>Currency depreciation occurs when the value of the AUD decreases relative to foreign currencies, such as the USD.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does a depreciating AUD impact inflation rates?

<p>A depreciating AUD generally leads to higher import prices, which can increase consumer prices and potentially reduce deflation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what ways does a weaker AUD stimulate economic growth?

<p>A weaker AUD stimulates economic growth by boosting net exports due to increased price competitiveness of exports.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What effect does currency depreciation have on unemployment?

<p>Currency depreciation can lead to decreased unemployment as increased demand for exports stimulates domestic production and job creation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does depreciation affect international trade balance?

<p>Depreciation increases export revenues while reducing import spending, leading to a better trade balance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the potential wider effects of currency depreciation on the economy?

<p>Wider effects of currency depreciation include improvements in business profitability and increased capital investment in the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the primary consequences of currency appreciation on international trade?

<p>Currency appreciation generally leads to increased import costs and makes exports more expensive for foreign buyers.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Describe the role of a fixed exchange rate system in international trade.

<p>A fixed exchange rate system provides price stability by tying a currency's value to another, reducing uncertainty in international transactions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens during the revaluation of a currency in a fixed exchange rate regime?

<p>Revaluation increases the currency's value relative to another currency, mimicking the effects of currency appreciation in a floating system.</p> Signup and view all the answers

List two factors that can affect a floating exchange rate.

<p>Inflation rates and interest rates are two significant factors affecting a floating exchange rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

What impact does currency depreciation have on a country's external trade?

<p>Currency depreciation typically makes exports cheaper and imports more expensive, potentially improving the trade balance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Explain the significance of expectations of future exchange rates on currency valuation.

<p>Expectations of future exchange rates can influence investor behavior, potentially leading to currency appreciation or depreciation based on projected economic conditions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a fixed exchange rate system, who is responsible for changing the exchange rate?

<p>The government authority is responsible for changing the exchange rate in a fixed exchange rate system.</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does currency appreciation contribute to inflation in an economy?

<p>Currency appreciation can lead to lower import prices, which may reduce overall inflation in the economy.</p> Signup and view all the answers

Study Notes

Exchange Rates

  • An exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another, essentially the purchasing power of one currency against another.
  • Exchange rates are traded in the global currency market.
  • Exchange rates are critical in international trade, finance, and investment as they determine the relative value of different currencies and influence the cost of goods and services traded between countries.

AUD Exchange Rate Against the USD

  • Data displayed in a graph shows the fluctuations of the Australian Dollar (AUD) exchange rate against the US Dollar (USD) from 1989 to 2024.
  • The graph displays the AUD exchange rate (USD per AUD) on the right-hand side (RHS) and the Trade Weighted Index (TWI) exchange rate (LHS).

World Currencies Against the AUD (May 2024)

  • A table lists various currencies and their corresponding exchange rates against 1 AUD as of May 2024.

Foreign Currency/Exchange Reserves

  • Foreign currency/exchange reserves consist of cash and other reserve assets, such as gold, held by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
  • These reserves are available to manage balance payments, influence the exchange rate of the Australian dollar, and maintain confidence in financial markets.
  • Common global currencies, such as the U.S. dollar, Euro, Japanese yen, and British pound, are typical components of these reserves.
  • A table provides foreign currency reserves for several countries in USD billions in May 2024.

Daily Turnover of Global Foreign Exchange Market

  • Data in a table shows the daily turnover of the global foreign exchange market in billions of US dollars for the years 2001, 2007, 2013, 2019, and 2022, broken down by specific currencies.
  • This demonstrates the significantly large volumes regularly traded.

How Much Currency Is Traded Daily?

  • Globally, over 7.5 trillion USD worth of currency is traded daily.
  • Key drivers for this significant volume include international trade, foreign direct investment, and currency speculation.

Exchange Rate Systems

  • Types of exchange rate systems include:
    • Free floating exchange rate system
    • Managed floating exchange rate system
    • Fixed exchange rate (hard peg) system

Floating Exchange Rate System

  • Currency value is entirely determined by market forces (demand and supply).
  • The strength of supply and demand dictates the external value.
  • A currency can either appreciate or depreciate in value within such a system.
  • There is no intervention by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), allowing the currency to find its own exchange rate.
  • There is no target exchange rate.

Who Demands AUD and Why?

  • Foreigners demand AUD for:
    • Purchasing Australian exports
    • Investing in Australian businesses
    • Saving in Australian banks
    • Speculative buying of AUD

Supply of the AUD

  • Australians supply AUD when making payments to other countries for:
    • Importing goods
    • Investing in other countries
    • Saving in foreign banks
    • Speculative buying of foreign currency

Equilibrium Exchange Rate

  • The market-clearing exchange rate is the rate at which the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded of a given foreign currency.
  • One AUD can be exchanged for 0.67 USD (or 67 US cents).

Floating ER System – Graph and Description

  • A graph illustrates the supply and demand for AUD in relation to USD, showing the equilibrium exchange rate.
  • The supply of AUD rises due to Australian products becoming cheaper as the USD rises.
  • The demand for AUD falls because Australian products are cheaper.

Equilibrium Exchange Rate Changes

  • Equilibrium exchange rates fluctuate based on the demand for and supply of domestic currency.
    • Increases in demand for AUD
    • Decreases in demand for AUD
    • Increases in supply of AUD
    • Decreases in supply of AUD

Exchange Rate Changes – Scenarios and Impacts

  • If American businesses or individuals increase purchases of Australian goods, their demand for AUD rises, shifting the demand curve to the right, increasing the exchange rate.
  • Increased American savings/investments in Australia would also raise the demand for AUD and the exchange rate.

Appreciation of the AUD

  • A graph shows the appreciation of the AUD against the USD over time.
  • Appreciation occurs when the value of the AUD increases relative to the USD.

Impact of Currency Appreciation

  • The value of the domestic currency (e.g. AUD) increases relative to the foreign currency (e.g. USD), impacting various aspects, such as:
    • Increased value against other currencies, from e.g. AUD = USD .67 to AUD = USD.75
    • Exports becoming less competitive due to higher prices
    • Imports becoming more attractive due to lower prices

Conversely, If Americans Reduce Their Purchases

  • If Americans or businesses reduce their purchases of Australian commodities, this decreases the demand for AUD, shifting the demand curve to the left, lowering the exchange rate.
  • A decrease in US saving/investment in Australia would similarly affect the AUD exchange rate.

Depreciation of the AUD

  • A graph showing the depreciation of the AUD versus the USD is displayed.
  • Depreciation occurs when the value of the AUD relative to another currency decreases

Impact of Currency Depreciation

  • Impacts of a currency depreciation on the domestic economy relative to a foreign currency. Effects included in the table are:
    • Foreign currency gains value
    • Domestic currency depreciates
    • Domestic prices fall relative to foreign prices
    • Exports become more competitive
    • Imports become less competitive

Macroeconomic Impact of Currency Depreciation

  • Higher import prices could lead to increased consumer prices and moderate inflation.
  • Potential negative effects include a weaker currency and increased inflation.
  • Potential positive impacts include stronger economic growth, increase in unemployment, increased business investments, greater international trade activity, and better trade balance.

Macroeconomic Impact of Currency Appreciation

  • Potential negative impacts include lower economic growth, higher unemployment rates, decreased business investments, worsened international trade activity, and worsened trade balance.

Impact of Currency Depreciation - Supply & Demand Analysis

  • A diagram illustrates the aggregate demand and supply curves.
  • Depreciation of a currency often mirrors effects similar to interest rate cuts.
    • Export prices fall
    • Import prices rise

Impact of Currency Depreciation - Summary

  • Currency depreciation can increase net exports, investment, real incomes, and business confidence.

Factors Affecting Floating Exchange Rate

  • Factors such as inflation rates, interest rates, economic growth rates, demand/supply of a currency, and expectations of future exchange rates influence the value of currency.

Australia Floats the Dollar

  • An archived URL is provided relating the Australian government's decision to float the Australian dollar.

Fixed Exchange Rate System

  • The value of one currency fixes versus another currency, controlled by the financial authority of the country.
  • Two currencies maintain a consistent exchange rate.
  • This exchange rate system provides stability and reduces uncertainty in international trade.

Fixed Exchange Rate System- Factors Influencing

  • Factors that can influence a pegged exchange rate include:
    • Economic stability
    • Foreign reserves
    • Capital flows
    • Political stability
    • Trade balance

Exchange Rate Changes under Fixed ER System

  • The government authority maintains the exchange rate in a fixed ER system, resulting in revaluation (increased currency value) or devaluation (decreased currency value).
  • Revaluation/devaluation impact domestic currency relative to a foreign currency.

Revaluation and Devaluation

  • Revaluation: Increases the value of a currency relative to another currency in a fixed exchange rate regime.
  • Devaluation: Decreases the value of a currency relative to another currency in a fixed exchange rate regime.

Advantages of a Fixed Exchange Rate System

  • Advantages include certainty and stability, reduced currency speculation, promoted trade, and lower inflation.

Disadvantages of a Fixed Exchange Rate System

  • Disadvantages include limited monetary policy flexibility, dependence on foreign reserves, inflexibility on shocks, and difficulty in exiting the system.

Consequences of Fixed Exchange Rate Systems

  • Issues with a fixed exchange rate system, like a lack of autonomy in monetary policy, increased vulnerability to speculative attacks, and a decrease in competitiveness.

Historical Examples of Successful Fixed Exchange Rate Systems

  • Examples of historical fixed ER systems include: The Gold Standard, Bretton Woods System, European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), and the Chinese Yuan.

RBA Explains

  • An archived URL links to the Reserve Bank of Australia's explanation of exchange rates impacting the Australian economy.

Managed Exchange Rates

  • A hybrid system combining features from floating and fixed systems.
  • Allows the exchange rate to fluctuate within a band or target zone, set by the central bank.
  • Central bank intervenes to manage if the exchange rate moves outside the target zone.

Managed Exchange Rates - Central Bank Intervention

  • Central banks may buy/sell their foreign exchange reserves to support or weaken a currency to bring the exchange rate within the target zone.

Managed Exchange Rates – Additional Notes

  • Exchange rates fluctuate based on supply and demand.
  • Maintaining an appropriate exchange rate becomes a key target of monetary policy, aiming for price stability and competitiveness.

Managed ER Systems: Singapore Dollar

  • The Singapore dollar is a managed float, influenced by a basket of major trading partner currencies.

Limits to the Ability to Manage a Currency

  • The huge volume of speculative currency trading can limit the potential of central banks, particularly in managing exchange rates.

Exchange Rate Regimes: Summary

  • Summarized information regarding floating, fixed, and managed exchange rate systems, including the forces determining their exchange rates and their respective levels of flexibility.

Managed Exchange Rates and Graph

  • A diagram illustrates the relationship between currency supply and demand within a managed exchange rate system, demonstrating the adjustable band within which the exchange rate is permitted to fluctuate.

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Description

This quiz explores the various factors influencing the demand for the Australian Dollar (AUD) in the foreign exchange market. It covers topics such as exchange rates, currency supply and demand, and the role of the Reserve Bank of Australia. Test your knowledge on these essential concepts and understand how they shape currency trading dynamics.

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