Probability Trees and Calculations PDF

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momogamain

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probability conditional probability bayes theorem statistics

Summary

This document explains different concepts related to probability, including probability trees, conditional probabilities, independent events, and Bayes' theorem. It covers scenarios where probabilities are multiplied or added, and provides examples related to calculation techniques.

Full Transcript

## Why are probability trees used? * To visualize multiple scenarios and follow successive steps where conditional probabilities are involved. ## Why are probabilities multiplied in certain cases? * Because the events are independent and we are trying to find the probability of their intersectio...

## Why are probability trees used? * To visualize multiple scenarios and follow successive steps where conditional probabilities are involved. ## Why are probabilities multiplied in certain cases? * Because the events are independent and we are trying to find the probability of their intersection. ## When is conditional probability used? * When we calculate the probability of an event knowing that another event has already occurred. ## When are probabilities added for certain events? * When the events are incompatible, meaning they cannot occur simultaneously and the probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities. ## What is an independent event? * An event that does not affect the probability of another event, meaning their probabilities do not change each other. ## When is Bayes' theorem used? * When $P(A|B)$ is known, and $P(B|A)$ needs to be calculated. ## What is total probability, and when is it calculated? * Total probability is calculated when an event can occur in multiple ways, and we need to find the probability of the event itself. ## What is an incompatible event? * Two events that cannot happen simultaneously, implying their intersection probability is 0. ## Why is division used in certain probability calculations? * To adjust a conditional probability based on new information. ## When does the probability of the union require subtraction? * When the events have a common intersection.

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