Summary

This document introduces weather patterns and how to predict weather. It uses examples from different locations to illustrate the concept. There are also various activities for students.

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t h e r Wea ers W a t c h Read Preview ­— Flip through the book. to Look for words that are new, and share Learn them with a partner. 1. prediction A guess about the future,...

t h e r Wea ers W a t c h Read Preview ­— Flip through the book. to Look for words that are new, and share Learn them with a partner. 1. prediction A guess about the future, t h e r Wea ers based on data or patterns. 2. data Facts about something. 3. pattern Objects or ideas that repeat in a way you can predict. 4. precipitation Water that falls from W a t c h the sky. Skim — Look at the pictures. What is the setting of this story? Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying or recording, or by any information storage or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the copyright owner unless such copying is expressly permitted by federal copyright law. Requests for permission to make copies of any part of the work should be submitted through our Permissions website at https://customercare.hmhco.com/contactus/Permissions.html or mailed to Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company, Attn: Compliance, Contracts, and Licensing, 9400 Southpark Center Loop, Orlando, Florida 32819-8647. Printed in the U.S.A. Read — Read the story to ISBN 978-0-358-39260-6 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 XXXX 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 learn how patterns in data can 4500000000 help us predict weather. r8.20 If you have received these materials as examination copies free of charge, Houghton Mifflin Harcourt Publishing Company retains title to the GO materials, and they may not be resold. Resale of examination copies is strictly prohibited. Possession of this publication in print format does not entitle users to convert this publication, or any portion of it, into electronic format. “W elcome to Weather Watchers,” said the host. “It’s the show where we ask our players to answer questions about weather patterns. “I will show some weather data and then ask questions about it. We will find out if weather pattern data can help us predict weather.” The host continued, “Now let’s meet our players. All three have an interest in the weather. “Players, please tell us your names, where you live, and what the weather is like there. And also share why you are interested in weather patterns.” 2 3 Ben went first. “Hi, everyone! I’m Ben, and I Next up was Mai. “Hello! My name is Mai, and I live in Cedar Rapids, Iowa. live in Winslow, Arizona. “In Cedar Rapids, summers are warm, sticky, “Winslow is mostly dry all year long. Winters and wet. Winters are very cold, dry, and windy. are cool and dry, and summers are hot. In July, It is partly cloudy all year long. the average high temperature is 94 °F. “I study weather patterns so I can predict “I like to follow weather patterns to figure out when the weather will be good for fishing with when there will be rain in our area.” my dad.” 4 5 Then it was Nia’s turn. “I’m Nia, and I live in Valdosta, Georgia. Valdosta has mild winters and hot summers. It can be very hot and sticky in the summer. We almost never have snow, but we do sometimes have frost. “I’m a weather watcher because it helps me choose which clothes to wear to school.” The audience applauded for the three players. Then the host said, “Good to meet you, players! Now I’ll spin the big wheel to see who goes first. It’s you, Nia!” 6 7 “Nia, here is a data table that shows four Nia said, “I predict that the average summer years of average temperatures,” said the host. temperature in Year 5 will be about 75 °F. I see “Based on what you see here, think about what a pattern of average summer temperatures Year 5 would look like. What do you think the around that number. It makes sense that the average summer temperature will be in Year 5? next year will follow that pattern.” Please state your prediction.” Average Temperatures (4 years) Spring Summer Autumn Winter Year 1 51 °F 75 °F 57 °F 30 °F Year 2 55 °F 74 °F 59 °F 35 °F Year 3 52 °F 76 °F 58 °F 32 °F Year 4 56 °F 74 °F 60 °F 37 °F 8 9 “I see a pattern of precipitation increasing Average Monthly Precipitation from January to May in both cities,” Ben (inches) said. “But, based on the total precipitation, Mankato, MN Muncie, IN Muncie receives more rain than Mankato Year 1 Year 2 Year 1 Year 2 during these months.” January 1 1 2 2 February 1 1 2 3 March 1 2 3 3 April 2 3 3 4 May 4 5 4 5 The host smiled and said, “Good work, Nia! Now it’s your turn, Ben. Look at this table that shows monthly precipitation totals for two cities over two years. Look for patterns, and then answer this question. Does Mankato or Muncie receive more precipitation for these months?” 10 11 “You are right, Ben!” said the host. “Now Mai quickly answered, “I predict that more to you, Mai. Here is a bar graph that shows precipitation will fall in June than in September. average precipitation in Salem, Oregon. Take But not much more! Both averages are between a good look. Would you predict that more one and two inches of precipitation.” precipitation will fall in June or in September?” Salem, Oregon (Average Precipitation) 7 in. 6 in. 5 in. 4 in. 3 in. 2 in. 1 in. 0 in. Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 12 13 A buzzer sounded, and the host said, “You can Sitka, Alaska now hold up your cards, players. Look at that! Month Average Low Temperture Temperature All three of you have predicted snow in January January 32 °F January February 32 °F 3232 °F °F and February next year in Sitka, which is a logical February March 33 °F prediction based on the data. I think we would March 33 °F April April 3737 °F °F have to agree that there is likely to be snow in May 42 °F May June 42 °F 48 °F March and December as well.” June 48 °F July 52 °F July 52 °F August 53 °F August 53 °F September 48 °F September 48 °F October 42 °F October 42 °F November 35 °F November 35 °F December 33 °F December 33 °F “Mai is correct!” said the host. “Let’s have one more question for all three to answer at once. You will write your answer on a card. Don’t let the others see your answer until I ask for it. “Here is a data table of average low temperatures in Sitka, Alaska. Predict which months are most likely to have snow the following year. Remember that it must be 32 °F or below to have snow. You will have three minutes to write your answer.” 14 15 “We end today’s show in a three-way tie!” said c h et the host. “Each answer a player gave was a claim based on evidence. That evidence was found in S t r e weather data in tables and graphs. Players also used what they know about weather to make i e n c Sc their claims. “That is all we have time for today. Tomorrow, we will ask our weather watchers more Look outside. Draw a picture or write questions about weather patterns. Until then, a paragraph about today’s weather. enjoy the weather in your area, everyone!” Predict the weather for the last day of school this year. Where can you find weather data for your area? Make a bar graph to show what you like to do in each month of the year. Compare your graph with a friend’s graph. Pick a picture in this story, and tell how the character is feeling. How do you know? 16 a t h e r We ers W a t c h 1788856

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