What is the probability Tim guesses the code correctly first time?

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking to calculate the probability that Tim can guess a 4-digit code correctly on his first try, given that he knows certain details about the code, such as its structure and the starting digit.

Answer

The probability is $P = \frac{1}{500}$.
Answer for screen readers

The probability that Tim guesses the code correctly on his first try is $P = \frac{1}{500}$.

Steps to Solve

  1. Identify the structure of the code
    Since the code is a 4-digit code, we know the first digit is fixed as 6 (from the details given). So the code structure is: $6XXX$ where $X$ represents unknown digits.

  2. Determine valid options for odd digits
    The last digit of the code must be odd. The odd digits available are: 1, 3, 5, 7, and 9. This gives us 5 choices for the last digit.

  3. Count the possibilities for the second and third digits
    The second and third digits can be any number from 0 to 9. Thus, each has 10 possible choices.

  4. Calculate total combinations
    The total combinations for the 4-digit code can be calculated by multiplying the possibilities:

  • Choices for 2nd digit: 10
  • Choices for 3rd digit: 10
  • Choices for last digit (odd): 5
    Total combinations = $10 \times 10 \times 5 = 500$
  1. Calculate probability of guessing correctly
    There is only one correct code. The probability of guessing it correctly is:
    $$ P = \frac{1}{\text{Total combinations}} = \frac{1}{500} $$

The probability that Tim guesses the code correctly on his first try is $P = \frac{1}{500}$.

More Information

This probability indicates that Tim has a small chance of guessing the code correctly, reflecting the combinatorial nature of guessing codes with specific details known.

Tips

  • Forgetting that the last digit must be odd, leading to incorrect total possibilities.
  • Not realizing that the first digit is already fixed, which simplifies the calculations.

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