What is the probability that the mean weight of a random sample of 3 olives from a normally distributed population with a mean of 7.7 grams and a standard deviation of 0.2 grams is... What is the probability that the mean weight of a random sample of 3 olives from a normally distributed population with a mean of 7.7 grams and a standard deviation of 0.2 grams is greater than 8 grams?

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking for the probability that the mean weight of a random sample of 3 olives is greater than 8 grams, given that the weights are normally distributed with a mean of 7.7 grams and a standard deviation of 0.2 grams.

Answer

The probability is approximately $0.0048$.
Answer for screen readers

The probability that the mean weight of a random sample of 3 olives is greater than 8 grams is approximately $0.0048$.

Steps to Solve

  1. Identify Parameters of the Distribution The problem states that the weights of olives are normally distributed with a mean ($\mu$) of 7.7 grams and a standard deviation ($\sigma$) of 0.2 grams.

  2. Determine the Sampling Distribution For a sample mean of size $n = 3$, the sampling distribution of the sample mean will have a mean $$\mu_{\bar{x}} = \mu = 7.7 \text{ grams}$$ and a standard deviation (standard error) given by $$\sigma_{\bar{x}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{0.2}{\sqrt{3}} \approx 0.1155 \text{ grams}.$$

  3. Standardize the Value To find the probability that the sample mean is greater than 8 grams, we first standardize this value using the z-score formula: $$ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_{\bar{x}}}{\sigma_{\bar{x}}} $$ Substituting the values: $$ z = \frac{8 - 7.7}{0.1155} \approx 2.59. $$

  4. Find the Probability Now, we need to find the probability corresponding to $z = 2.59$. This can be found using a standard normal distribution table or calculator: $$ P(Z > 2.59) = 1 - P(Z \leq 2.59). $$ Using the standard normal table, we find that $P(Z \leq 2.59) \approx 0.9952$.

  5. Calculate the Final Probability Thus, the final probability is: $$ P(Z > 2.59) = 1 - 0.9952 \approx 0.0048.$$

The probability that the mean weight of a random sample of 3 olives is greater than 8 grams is approximately $0.0048$.

More Information

This probability indicates that it is quite rare for the average weight of three olives, sampled from this distribution, to exceed 8 grams, illustrating the properties of normal distributions and the effects of sample size on variability.

Tips

  • Miscalculating the standard error of the mean can lead to incorrect z-scores. Always ensure the formula is applied correctly.
  • Forgetting to look up or calculate the cumulative probability for the correct z-score can result in misinterpreted probabilities.

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