The Oakdale Opera House sold 4,307 tickets this year, but it has been experiencing a 9% drop in sales from one year to the next. If this trend continues, then how many tickets will... The Oakdale Opera House sold 4,307 tickets this year, but it has been experiencing a 9% drop in sales from one year to the next. If this trend continues, then how many tickets will the opera house sell 9 years from now? If necessary, round your answer to the nearest whole number.
Understand the Problem
The question is asking for the number of tickets that will be sold by the Oakdale Opera House after experiencing a consistent 9% annual decline in ticket sales over a period of 9 years. We will calculate the projected number of tickets sold using the formula for exponential decay.
Answer
The Oakdale Opera House will sell approximately $1827$ tickets in 9 years.
Answer for screen readers
The Oakdale Opera House will sell approximately 1827 tickets nine years from now.
Steps to Solve
- Identify initial values and the decay rate
The initial number of tickets sold is 4,307. The annual decay rate is 9%, which we express as a decimal: $$ r = 0.09 $$
- Calculate the decay factor
To find the decay factor, subtract the decay rate from 1: $$ \text{decay factor} = 1 - r = 1 - 0.09 = 0.91 $$
- Apply the exponential decay formula
The formula for exponential decay is given by: $$ N = N_0 \times (decay , factor)^t $$ Where:
- $N_0$ is the initial value (number of tickets sold now),
- $t$ is the number of years (9 years in this case).
Substituting our values: $$ N = 4307 \times (0.91)^9 $$
- Calculate the number of tickets sold after 9 years
Now calculate ( (0.91)^9 ): $$ (0.91)^9 \approx 0.42241 $$
Then calculate: $$ N \approx 4307 \times 0.42241 \approx 1827.04467 $$
- Round to the nearest whole number
Rounding 1827.04467 gives us 1827.
The Oakdale Opera House will sell approximately 1827 tickets nine years from now.
More Information
This calculation utilizes the concept of exponential decay, which is essential for modeling situations where quantities decrease consistently over time, such as ticket sales in this scenario.
Tips
- Confusing the decay rate with the decay factor. Remember that the decay factor is (1 - r).
- Forgetting to round to the nearest whole number when required.
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