A transportation system for carrying ore from stock pile to railway siding through an ore bin is shown. The time between failure of each conveyor belt follows an exponential distri... A transportation system for carrying ore from stock pile to railway siding through an ore bin is shown. The time between failure of each conveyor belt follows an exponential distribution with mean time between failure of 700 hours. The system is considered to be a ‘success’ if ore transports from stock pile to siding by any combination of belts. The reliability of the system for 350 hours of continuous successful operation is ________ (round off up to 2 decimals).
Understand the Problem
The question involves calculating the reliability of a transportation system for moving ore from a stockpile to a railway siding, considering that the time between each belt's failure follows an exponential distribution with a mean of 700 hours. The reliability for 350 hours of continuous operation needs to be calculated and rounded to two decimals.
Answer
$0.97$
Answer for screen readers
The reliability of the system for 350 hours of continuous successful operation is approximately $0.97$.
Steps to Solve
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Understanding Exponential Distribution The time between failures (T) for each conveyor belt follows an exponential distribution with a mean ($\mu$) of 700 hours. The reliability function for an exponential distribution is given by:
$$ R(t) = e^{-\frac{t}{\mu}} $$
Where $t$ is the time of interest (350 hours). -
Calculate Reliability for Each Belt Using the reliability function, we can compute the reliability for a single belt operating for 350 hours:
$$ R(350) = e^{-\frac{350}{700}} $$
This simplifies to:
$$ R(350) = e^{-0.5} $$ -
Compute Reliability Value Now, calculate the actual value:
Using a calculator, we find:
$$ R(350) \approx 0.6065 $$ -
Reliability of the System with Multiple Belts In this case, we have four belts. For the system to function, at least one belt needs to be operational. Therefore, the system reliability is given by the formula:
$$ R_{system}(t) = 1 - (1 - R_b)^n $$
Where $n$ is the number of belts and $R_b$ is the reliability of a single belt. -
Substituting Values Here, $n = 4$ and $R_b \approx 0.6065$:
$$ R_{system}(350) = 1 - (1 - 0.6065)^4 $$ -
Calculate System Reliability Now, compute the system reliability:
$$ R_{system}(350) = 1 - (0.3935)^4 $$
Calculate $(0.3935)^4 \approx 0.0254$, so:
$$ R_{system}(350) \approx 1 - 0.0254 = 0.9746 $$ -
Round to Two Decimal Places Finally, round the result to two decimal places: $$ R_{system}(350) \approx 0.97 $$
The reliability of the system for 350 hours of continuous successful operation is approximately $0.97$.
More Information
The exponential distribution is often used to model the time until an event occurs, such as the failure of machinery. In this case, high reliability indicates that the transportation system is likely to function well over the period considered.
Tips
- Failing to recognize that the reliability needs to be calculated for the system rather than for individual belts.
- Not applying the formula for system reliability correctly; ensure all terms are used appropriately.
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