A bag contains 4 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 6 green marbles. If three marbles are drawn out of the bag, what is the exact probability that all three marbles drawn will be red... A bag contains 4 red marbles, 3 blue marbles, and 6 green marbles. If three marbles are drawn out of the bag, what is the exact probability that all three marbles drawn will be red?

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Understand the Problem

The question asks for the exact probability that when drawing three marbles from a bag containing red, blue, and green marbles, all three drawn marbles will be red. This involves calculating probabilities based on combinations of the marbles available in the bag.

Answer

The exact probability that all three marbles drawn will be red is $\frac{2}{143}$.
Answer for screen readers

The exact probability that all three marbles drawn will be red is $\frac{2}{143}$.

Steps to Solve

  1. Identify the total number of marbles

First, calculate the total number of marbles in the bag.

The bag contains:

  • 4 red marbles
  • 3 blue marbles
  • 6 green marbles

So, the total number of marbles is: $$ 4 + 3 + 6 = 13 $$

  1. Calculate the total ways to choose 3 marbles

Next, determine how many ways we can choose 3 marbles from 13. This can be found using combinations:

$$ C(n, r) = \frac{n!}{r!(n-r)!} $$

Where ( n ) is the total number of marbles (13) and ( r ) is the number of marbles chosen (3).

Calculating:

$$ C(13, 3) = \frac{13!}{3!(13-3)!} = \frac{13 \times 12 \times 11}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 286 $$

  1. Calculate the ways to choose 3 red marbles

Now, calculate how many ways to choose 3 red marbles from the 4 available:

$$ C(4, 3) = \frac{4!}{3!(4-3)!} = \frac{4}{1} = 4 $$

  1. Calculate the probability

Finally, find the probability that all three drawn marbles will be red. The probability ( P ) is given by the formula:

$$ P(\text{all red}) = \frac{\text{Ways to choose 3 red}}{\text{Total ways to choose 3 marbles}} = \frac{C(4, 3)}{C(13, 3)} $$

Substituting the values calculated:

$$ P(\text{all red}) = \frac{4}{286} = \frac{1}{71.5} \approx 0.014 $$

The exact probability that all three marbles drawn will be red is $\frac{2}{143}$.

More Information

This probability can be interpreted as quite small, indicating that among many random choices, it's unlikely to draw only red marbles when there are other colors available.

Tips

  • Miscalculating combinations by forgetting to adjust for the actual count of marbles available.
  • Confusing the number of favorable outcomes (selecting red) with the total outcomes (selecting any color).

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