Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is the first step in using the Venture Capital Method to value a start-up?
What is the first step in using the Venture Capital Method to value a start-up?
Which of the following factors does NOT affect the value of a call option in the Black-Scholes model?
Which of the following factors does NOT affect the value of a call option in the Black-Scholes model?
Why might accounting-based comparables be less suitable for valuing certain companies?
Why might accounting-based comparables be less suitable for valuing certain companies?
What is the formula for computing cash flows in the DCF method?
What is the formula for computing cash flows in the DCF method?
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Why is depreciation added back to compute cash flows in the DCF method?
Why is depreciation added back to compute cash flows in the DCF method?
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How is the terminal value (TV) calculated in the DCF method?
How is the terminal value (TV) calculated in the DCF method?
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What is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula?
What is the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula?
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What is a limitation of using option pricing to value investment opportunities?
What is a limitation of using option pricing to value investment opportunities?
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What is a typical valuation ratio used in public markets?
What is a typical valuation ratio used in public markets?
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What is the main learning objective of the 'Valuation I' course?
What is the main learning objective of the 'Valuation I' course?
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What are the key learning objectives of the 'Valuation II' course?
What are the key learning objectives of the 'Valuation II' course?
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What is a limitation of the DCF method in valuing projects?
What is a limitation of the DCF method in valuing projects?
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What is a call option in the context of option pricing theory?
What is a call option in the context of option pricing theory?
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What components are needed to compute the value of a call option using the Black-Scholes model?
What components are needed to compute the value of a call option using the Black-Scholes model?
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What is the main difference between financial options and real options?
What is the main difference between financial options and real options?
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What is the purpose of calculating the option value of a project?
What is the purpose of calculating the option value of a project?
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How can negative NPV projects become positive when considering real options?
How can negative NPV projects become positive when considering real options?
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What are real options in the context of valuation?
What are real options in the context of valuation?
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Study Notes
Valuation II
- Key learning objectives: using comparables, computing DCF, using option pricing theory, and using the venture capital method.
Limitations of DCF Method
- Does not account for flexibility in projects, such as increasing or decreasing production rates, deferring development, or abandoning the project.
- Often fails to account for multiple rounds of financing, which can be seen as options to make follow-on investments.
Option Pricing Theory
- A call option: the right to buy an asset at a specified exercise price on or before the exercise date, representing a right, not an obligation.
Black-Scholes Model
- Required components: underlying stock price, exercise price, volatility of stock returns, time to option expiration, and risk-free rate.
Financial Options vs. Real Options
- Financial options: involve assets like stocks, while real options relate to a firm's operational decisions, such as exercising the option to expand, defer, or abandon a project.
Option Value of a Project
- Captures the value of managerial flexibility in investment decisions, such as the option to expand, defer, or abandon a project.
Negative NPV Projects
- Can become positive when considering real options, as it mitigates risks and enhances potential returns.
Venture Capital Method
- Steps: compute final value using a multiple of future sales or earnings, discount the final value, determine required final percent ownership, and account for future dilution.
Factors Affecting Option Value
- Stock price, exercise price, volatility of stock returns, time to expiration, and risk-free interest rate.
Weaknesses of Option Pricing
- Estimating volatility is difficult, real-world opportunities are complex, and the Black-Scholes formula may not suit nested call options.
Valuation I
- Key learning objectives: using comparables, computing DCF, and recognizing caveats for start-ups.
Using Comparables
- Steps: identify firms with similar characteristics, identify relevant valuation ratios, and multiply ratios to obtain an implied market value.
Accounting-Based Comparables
- May be less suitable for valuing unprofitable or rapidly growing companies, where non-financial, industry-specific measures might be more appropriate.
Valuation Ratios
- Typical ratios used in public markets: Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E), Market-to-Book Ratio, and Market Value to Total Revenue Ratio.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Method
- Calculates the value of a project by discounting its future cash flows to the present value using a discount rate.
Computing Cash Flows
- Formula: CFt = EBITt - Corporate Taxes t + DEPRt - CAPEXt - ΔNWCt + other t
Depreciation
- Added back to compute cash flows because it's a non-cash expense, reflecting the actual cash flow generated by the business.
Terminal Value (TV)
- Formula: TVt = [CFt * (1 + g)] / (r - g), where g is the growth rate in perpetuity and r is the discount rate.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
- The average rate of return a company is expected to pay to all its security holders, calculated as r = (D/V) * rd * (1 - τ) + (E/V) * re.
DCF Method Limitations for Start-ups
- Lack of comparable companies to find current beta and estimate target capital structure, high sensitivity of terminal value to assumptions, and questionable appropriateness of beta as a measure of firm risk.
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Description
Learn about the key learning objectives and limitations of the DCF method in the Valuation II course, covering topics such as comparables, option pricing, and venture capital methods.