9.4. Application of available technology-9.6. Conclusions

Which skill is required to develop hypotheses in intelligence analysis?

What is the purpose of developing hypotheses in intelligence analysis?

What is the critical aspect of developing hypotheses in intelligence analysis?

Which of the following is a step in developing hypotheses?

What is a recommended approach to counter biases and oversimplification?

What should be considered when seeking additional information to test hypotheses?

Which skill is closely related to seeking disconfirming evidence?

Confirmation bias affects the development of alternative hypotheses by ____.

What is the main application of seeking disconfirming evidence in intelligence analysis?

How can analysts overcome the tendency to seek confirming evidence?

Which skill does an intelligence analyst need to continuously reevaluate their view of the situation and eliminate negative influences from their analysis?

When does the dilemma of value-cost-risk tradeoffs typically occur in the intelligence analysis process?

What does seeking disconfirming evidence involve in the testing of hypotheses?

What is the primary concern regarding negative influences in the intelligence analysis process?

Which system is described as quick, automatic, and implicit?

Which system is effortful, conscious, and deliberately controlled?

Which system is responsible for monitoring and adjusting the judgments made by the other system?

What are the principal challenges that affect critical thinking according to the text?

What is the objective of intelligence analysis?

What is the tradeoff when providing greater detail in intelligence analysis?

What is the role of critical thinking within the related fields of reasoning and judgment?

What is the foundation of heuristic theory?

Which of the following best describes the logical relationships in intelligence analysis?

What is the measure of the likelihood that the conclusion of an argument is true given that its premises are all true?

What is an important component of the ability to consider alternative perspectives in intelligence analysis?

What is the purpose of developing alternative competing hypotheses in intelligence analysis?

Which skill is essential for developing useful hypotheses in intelligence analysis?

What is the role of a hypothesis in intelligence analysis?

What is the measure of the degree of support that premises confer on a conclusion in intelligence analysis?

Which type of logic is used to derive hypotheses from available information?

What is the purpose of seeking disconfirming evidence during the testing of hypotheses?

What is the recommended approach to counter biases and oversimplification in intelligence analysis?

Which system in intelligence analysis is described as effortful, conscious, and deliberately controlled?

What is the purpose of cognitive ergonomics in the design of future systems to support intelligence analysis?

What are the limitations that affect critical thinking in intelligence analysis?

What are the 11 critical thinking skills that are most important for successful intelligence analysis?

Which of the following is a characteristic of seeking disconfirming evidence in intelligence analysis?

What is the relationship between premises and hypothesis in the development of a hypothesis?

What is the critical thinking skill required to assess the strength of logical relationships in intelligence analysis?

Why is the assessment of logical relationships subjective and require critical thinking in intelligence analysis?

Which stage of the intelligence analysis process is the primary concern for negative influences?

When does the dilemma of value-cost-risk tradeoffs typically occur in the intelligence analysis process?

What is the main objective of seeking additional information in intelligence analysis?

What is the critical part of the process of developing a useful inference in intelligence analysis?

Which of the following is a characteristic of logical relationships in intelligence analysis?

What is the measure of the logical strength of an argument?

What is an important component of the ability to consider alternative perspectives in intelligence analysis?

What is a common challenge that affects critical thinking in intelligence analysis?

Which of the following is a key factor in the success of the intelligence analysis process?

What does the model developed for critical thinking in intelligence analysis incorporate?

What is the goal of providing confidence assessments in intelligence analysis?

What is the primary focus of the analyst when generating and communicating subjective conditional probability estimates?

True or false: Developing hypotheses in intelligence analysis requires skill in logical reasoning?

True or false: The stronger an argument is, the looser the relationship between its premises and conclusion?

True or false: A hypothesis is a tentative explanation that is subject to further testing?

True or false: Negative influences can have a devastating impact on the work of an intelligence analyst.

True or false: The ability to continuously reevaluate one's view of the situation helps eliminate negative influences from the analysis.

True or false: Seeking additional information in intelligence analysis always adds value and reduces risks.

True or false: The value-cost-risk tradeoffs in seeking additional information are mainly encountered during hypothesis testing.

System 1 is a conscious and controlled process that relies on associational strengths to arrive at solutions.

System 2 is an automatic and intuitive process that functions effortlessly.

System 1 and System 2 work together and complement each other's strengths and weaknesses.

Cognitive ergonomics can be used to design future systems that support the intelligence process.

True or false: The set of hypotheses developed in intelligence analysis is based on conjecture rather than facts.

True or false: Logical relationships in intelligence analysis are deductive in nature, going from the general to the specific.

True or false: Counter biases, expectations, mindsets, and oversimplifications do not affect the thinking of intelligence analysts.

True or false: Seeking alternative perspectives in intelligence analysis involves developing explanations from different perspectives for the same information.

True or false: Developing hypotheses involves establishing logical relationships by applying inductive logic to derive one or more hypotheses from available information.

True or false: Seeking disconfirming evidence is a recommended approach to counter biases and oversimplification in intelligence analysis.

True or false: Assessing the strength of logical relationships provides a numerical probability estimate of the confidence one can have in the validity of hypotheses and inferences.

True or false: The goal of intelligence analysis is to provide the greatest level of detail at the highest level of confidence.

True or false: Providing confidence assessments enables the analyst to best meet the needs of the user.

True or false: The analyst must be capable of generating and communicating subjective conditional probability estimates.

True or false: Intelligence analysis remains highly dependent on the critical thinking skills of the human analyst.

True or false: Seeking disconfirming evidence is a skill that is closely related to considering alternative perspectives and counter biases in intelligence analysis.

True or false: Confirmation bias works to impede the development and testing of alternative competing hypotheses in intelligence analysis.

True or false: The skill of seeking disconfirming evidence is mainly applied during the testing of hypotheses in intelligence analysis.

True or false: The strength of the logical relationship between premises and hypothesis in intelligence analysis can be assessed by providing a numerical probability estimate of the confidence in the validity of hypotheses and inferences.