Political Voting Behavior Analysis

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What is the main reason for the historical block-transfer of about 150,000 voters away from S?

Long-lasting change in party support

Crisis response to natural disasters

Reassessment of party standing by affected supporters (correct)

Zero-and-midst dynamics

Why might the effect of the mechanism at play persist over the 2010 and 2014 elections?

Deep-seated characteristic of the voter (correct)

Positive crisis response to natural disasters

Short-term nature of party support changes

Lack of retrospective effects on S-supporters

What does Gudrun's case offer for exploring in relation to natural disaster settings?

Lack of change in party support after crises

Consistency of lengthy retrospection (correct)

Short-term impact on party support

No implications for party support shifts

What type of response to natural disasters may be strongly punished by past party supporters?

Poor crisis response Signup and view all the answers

What role do zero-and-midst dynamics play in the analysis presented in the text?

Allow for sufficient time for reassessment by affected supporters Signup and view all the answers

Why is Gudrun's case considered crucial in the context of change in party support?

Implications of a substantial shift in party support away from S Signup and view all the answers

The retrospective judgments of S over the 2010 and 2014 elections imply:

A long-lasting change in voter-support by previous long-standing party-supporters. Signup and view all the answers

What is the main implication of the shift in party support from S to M in both parliamentary and municipal elections?

A long-term trend and shift in support from S to M. Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the text, why should a shift in party support be given enough time?

To allow for a process of long-lasting change to happen. Signup and view all the answers

What do the findings presented in the text add to our knowledge concerning electoral accountability?

Information about electoral accountability in the crisis response to natural disasters. Signup and view all the answers

What do supplementary analyses in the text reveal about the parliamentary votes gained by M in storm-affected areas?

M gained votes in storm-affected areas. Signup and view all the answers

In what way did Gudrun impact the country as mentioned in the text?

By introducing a long-lasting change in voter-support. Signup and view all the answers

What was the purpose of the study discussed in the text?

To examine the impact of Gudrun on party support Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the text, what does the term 'counterfactual trend' refer to?

A hypothetical trend showing what would have happened without Gudrun Signup and view all the answers

What do the shaded areas between the counterfactual and de facto trends represent?

Long-term effects of Gudrun on party support over elections Signup and view all the answers

What constitutes the treatment effect on the 2006 election outcome according to the text?

The deviation in parallel trends in affected municipalities between 2002 and 2006 Signup and view all the answers

How many affected municipalities were there out of a total of 290 in the study?

208 Signup and view all the answers

What aspect did the study primarily focus on regarding the possibility of profound changes in party support?

Circumstances under which profound changes in party support may be expected Signup and view all the answers

What is the significance level at which the difference in relief payments allocation between individuals who favor need-based justice and those who do not becomes significant?

10 percent Signup and view all the answers

How did researchers classify respondents' agreement with prioritizing the needs of those who voted for them?

Using a 1–10 scale response Signup and view all the answers

What explanation for voter preferences over relief aid allocations focuses on the role of political ties?

Electoral reciprocity Signup and view all the answers

In scenarios where a Democratic or Republican president was in power, how was the data further partitioned?

By political party preference Signup and view all the answers

What factor would lead us to expect voters to allocate more relief aid to counties that have supported the president's party in the previous election?

Sympathy toward fairness norms Signup and view all the answers

How much more do respondents who favor need as a criterion for distributive fairness allocate in relief payments compared to those less supportive of need-based justice?

$50,000 Signup and view all the answers

What do Kriner and Reeves argue about political leaders in terms of policies?

They engage in partisan particularism favoring constituencies that have supported them. Signup and view all the answers

What is one implication of the argument around electoral reciprocity logic?

Allocating more relief aid to regions that have voted for the incumbent is an example of giving back to supporters. Signup and view all the answers

How do voters potentially value the relationship between affected citizens and the incumbent according to the text?

By placing some value on maintaining a reciprocal relationship based on past voting support. Signup and view all the answers

In relation to disaster relief allocation, what would individuals who follow an electoral reciprocity logic prefer according to the text?

Relief allocations that align with the extent to which an affected county voted for the incumbent. Signup and view all the answers

What does the text suggest about the impact of shared partisan orientation on in-group solidarity?

It reinforces in-group solidarity among individuals with a shared partisan orientation. Signup and view all the answers

How do some voters interpret allocating more relief aid to regions that have supported the incumbent in previous elections?

As a way to maintain a reciprocal relationship between affected citizens and the incumbent Signup and view all the answers

What is the role of party identification according to the text?

Predicting electoral choice and civic engagement Signup and view all the answers

Why might voters who identify with a political party allocate more relief aid to co-partisans?

Due to a sense of shared, loyalty-based identity Signup and view all the answers

What type of experiment design was used to test the theoretical predictions in the text?

Conjoint experiment Signup and view all the answers

How was the sample population for the study obtained?

From an online panel provided by Respondi based on random sampling from the population Signup and view all the answers

What did the conjoint experiment ask respondents to do?

Make divide-the-dollar decisions Signup and view all the answers

What does the text suggest could generate partisan solidarity that leads to preferential treatment among voters?

A shared, loyalty-based identity among party members Signup and view all the answers