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Questions and Answers
According to the article, what is the first rule for effective forecasting?
According to the article, what is the first rule for effective forecasting?
- Look for the S curve
- Hold strong opinions weakly
- Map a cone of uncertainty (correct)
- Embrace the things that don't fit
What advice does the article give regarding looking back and looking forward?
What advice does the article give regarding looking back and looking forward?
- Look forward twice as far as you look back
- Look forward and look back equally
- Look back and look forward equally
- Look back twice as far as you look forward (correct)
What event does the article mention as a surprise that should not have been?
What event does the article mention as a surprise that should not have been?
- Radical shifts in markets
- The emergence of disruptive technologies
- The stuff of Tom Clancy novels
- The events of 9/11 (correct)
What is the primary focus of the article?
What is the primary focus of the article?
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According to the article, what should smart managers do when things don't fit?
According to the article, what should smart managers do when things don't fit?
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