Master the Art of Effective Forecasting
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Questions and Answers

According to the article, what is the first rule for effective forecasting?

  • Look for the S curve
  • Hold strong opinions weakly
  • Map a cone of uncertainty (correct)
  • Embrace the things that don't fit

    • What advice does the article give regarding looking back and looking forward?

  • Look forward twice as far as you look back
  • Look forward and look back equally
  • Look back and look forward equally
  • Look back twice as far as you look forward (correct)

    • What event does the article mention as a surprise that should not have been?

  • Radical shifts in markets
  • The emergence of disruptive technologies
  • The stuff of Tom Clancy novels
  • The events of 9/11 (correct)

    • What is the primary focus of the article?

    <p>Effective forecasting</p> Signup and view all the answers

    According to the article, what should smart managers do when things don't fit?

    <p>Embrace the things that don't fit</p> Signup and view all the answers

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