Managerial Decision Making Process
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Questions and Answers

What is the primary goal of Step 6 in the decision-making process?

  • To select the alternative with the highest total score (correct)
  • To redefine the problem statement
  • To implement the chosen alternative
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of the decision

Which action is emphasized in Step 7 of the decision-making process?

  • Evaluating the effectiveness of the chosen solution
  • Reassessing the decision criteria
  • Getting commitment from those affected by the decision (correct)
  • Choosing an alternative with the highest score

What does Step 8 of the decision-making process involve?

  • Redefining the criteria for decision-making
  • Assessing if the selected alternative is still the best
  • Evaluating the outcome of the decision (correct)
  • Selecting an alternative from the options available

What should a manager do if the decision evaluation indicates the problem still exists?

<p>Determine if the problem was defined incorrectly or if errors occurred (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key aspect of decision-making when implementing an alternative?

<p>Engaging stakeholders in the implementation process (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the first step in the decision-making process as outlined?

<p>Identifying relevant criteria (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What weight was assigned to memory and storage in Amanda's decision-making process?

<p>10 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In Step 4 of the decision-making process, what is the primary task for the decision maker?

<p>Identifying viable alternatives (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following criteria received the lowest weight in Amanda's example?

<p>Display quality (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What condition might allow a decision maker to skip analyzing alternatives?

<p>One alternative scores highest on every criterion (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of Step 3 in the decision-making process?

<p>To allocate weights to the criteria (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How did Amanda rate the alternatives after identifying them?

<p>Using the established criteria (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the weighted assessment of alternatives provide to a decision maker?

<p>A clearer picture of strengths and weaknesses (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens when managers adhere strictly to the assumptions of rationality?

<p>They may overlook customer perceptions and market realities. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why did HP's performance suffer after acquiring Compaq?

<p>They ignored the negative perception of Compaq products. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the concept of bounded rationality suggest about decision makers?

<p>They are limited by cognitive constraints and available information. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the term used when managers opt for a satisfactory solution instead of the best one?

<p>Satisficing (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key characteristic of a rational decision maker?

<p>Full awareness of all possible alternatives. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which behavior is expected of a 'good' decision maker?

<p>To gather extensive data before acting. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a consequence of a manager not being rational in decision-making?

<p>Risk of poor customer satisfaction. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How did Carly Fiorina impact HP's acquisition of Compaq?

<p>She disregarded customer feedback about Compaq. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a rule in the context of decision making?

<p>An explicit statement detailing what can or cannot be done (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What differentiates a policy from a rule?

<p>Policies contain ambiguous terms, while rules offer specific directives (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is an example of an unstructured problem?

<p>Determining whether to build a new facility in China (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What characterizes nonprogrammed decisions?

<p>They require unique, custom-made solutions for new problems (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements illustrates a policy?

<p>Customer satisfaction is our top priority. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

As managers ascend the organizational hierarchy, how do their problems typically change?

<p>They become more unstructured and unique (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of structured problems?

<p>They typically require unique and creative solutions (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main advantage of using rules in decision making?

<p>They ensure consistency and simplicity in decisions (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the ideal decision-making condition for managers where outcomes are known?

<p>Certainty (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which condition can a manager estimate the likelihood of certain outcomes?

<p>Risk (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the process of calculating the expected return from different outcomes called?

<p>Expected value calculation (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of decisions do lower-level managers typically handle?

<p>Routine decisions (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What historical data might a ski resort manager use to influence their decision about adding another lift?

<p>Snowfall levels from the last 10 years (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What expected revenue was calculated for adding a new ski lift?

<p>$687,500 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which decision-making condition does NOT apply to a situation where outcomes are completely unknown?

<p>Certainty (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of decision-making under risk?

<p>Knowledge of all variables (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What decision-making style does an optimistic manager typically adopt under uncertainty?

<p>Maximax choice (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT an assumption of the classical decision-making model?

<p>The decision maker operates under conditions of uncertainty. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what situation is the classical decision-making model most valuable?

<p>For decisions characterized by certainty or risk (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factor primarily drives decision-making under conditions of uncertainty?

<p>Intuition and gut feeling (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the main goal of a manager using a maximin choice?

<p>To maximize the minimum possible payoff (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which aspect of decision-making is specifically highlighted in the classical model?

<p>Using logical and rational processes (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do managers typically deal with uncertainty in decision-making situations?

<p>By using intuitive, creative approaches (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement most accurately reflects the assumption that a decision maker has in the classical model?

<p>Problems must be precisely defined. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Step 3: Allocating Weights

Assigning importance values to decision criteria, prioritizing them.

Decision Criteria

Important factors considered when making a choice.

Weighted Criteria

Criteria with assigned numerical importance levels.

Step 4: Developing Alternatives

Generating possible solutions or options for the problem being considered.

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Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives

Evaluating identified alternatives against pre-determined/weighted criteria.

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Alternative Evaluation

Assessing each possible solution against stated criteria.

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Weighted Alternatives

Alternatives with their criteria scores multiplied by their assigned weights.

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Simplified Evaluation

Skip weighting step if one alternative scores highest for every criterion.

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Step 6 in Decision Making

Choosing the best alternative from those evaluated in the previous step, based on the highest score.

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Implementing a Decision

Putting the chosen decision into action by communicating it and securing commitment from those affected.

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Evaluating Decision Effectiveness

Assessing the outcome of a decision to determine if the problem was resolved.

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Decision Re-evaluation

Assessing if criteria, alternatives, and the chosen solution are still valid in case of significant environmental changes.

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Decision Making Perspective

Approaches to decision-making, including rational methods.

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Rational Decision Making

A process where managers logically and consistently choose options to maximize value. It assumes complete information, objective evaluation, and clear goals.

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Bounded Rationality

The idea that managers make decisions within limits of time, information, and cognitive ability, leading to simplified choices rather than perfect ones.

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Satisficing

Choosing a satisfactory option instead of the absolute best, due to limited resources and time. It's about finding a good enough solution, not necessarily the ideal.

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Assumptions of Rationality

These include full objectivity, clear goals, knowledge of all alternatives and consequences, and consistent choice for maximum goal attainment.

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HP and Compaq Example

HP's acquisition of Compaq failed because they didn't conduct market research on Compaq's brand perception, leading to negative customer feedback and financial consequences.

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Managerial Decision Making

Decision-making within an organizational context, influenced by resources, goals, and stakeholder expectations.

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Good Decision-Making Behaviors

These include identifying problems, considering alternatives, gathering information, and acting decisively yet prudently.

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Realistic Approach to Management

Recognizes that managers make decisions within constraints and imperfect information, leading to satisfying choices rather than maximizing outcomes.

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Programmed Decision

A routine decision with a clear procedure or rule to follow, often based on past experiences or policies.

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Nonprogrammed Decision

A unique and unstructured decision that requires creativity and judgment, as no established rule exists for handling the situation.

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Decision-Making Conditions

The environmental factors influencing a decision, ranging from certainty to uncertainty.

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Certainty

A decision-making condition where the outcome of each alternative is perfectly known, allowing for accurate predictions.

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Risk

A decision-making condition where the likelihood of different outcomes can be estimated using past data or probabilities.

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Uncertainty

A decision-making condition where the outcomes of alternatives are unknown and unpredictable, making decision-making more challenging.

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Expected Value

The average return expected from a decision, calculated by multiplying potential outcomes by their respective probabilities.

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What influences the decision to build a new ski lift?

Several factors, including anticipated revenue generation based on snowfall probabilities, historical weather data, and operational costs, are considered when deciding to build a new ski lift at a resort.

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What is a rule?

A clear statement guiding managers on acceptable or unacceptable actions. It's often used for quick and consistent decision-making.

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What is a policy?

A guideline that sets general parameters for decisions, allowing for interpretation. It's like a blueprint for handling certain situations.

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What is unstructured problem?

A problem that is new, unusual, and lacks clear information or solutions. It requires unique and creative thinking.

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Why do managers face more unstructured problems at higher levels?

Senior managers deal with broader and more complex issues, often with fewer clear guidelines and precedents.

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What's the benefit of using rules?

They simplify decision making by eliminating ambiguity and providing a framework for consistency.

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How do policies differ from rules?

Policies offer general guidelines with some flexibility, while rules are specific and directive, leaving no room for interpretation.

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Uncertainty in Decision Making

A decision-making situation where outcomes are unknown and probabilities can't be estimated.

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Maximax Choice

An optimistic approach where the manager chooses the alternative with the highest possible payoff.

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Maximin Choice

A pessimistic approach where the manager chooses the alternative with the highest minimum possible payoff.

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Minimax Choice

A strategy focused on minimizing regret, where managers choose the option that minimizes the maximum potential regret.

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Classical Decision Making Model

Assumes managers make logical decisions in the best economic interests of the organization.

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Assumptions of Classical Model

  1. Clear goals & problem definition, 2. Complete information for decision-making, 3. Known criteria for evaluation, 4. Rational decision-maker.
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Classical Model's Applicability

Best suited for programmed decisions (routine tasks) and situations with certainty or risk where information is available and probabilities can be calculated.

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Limitations of Classical Model

Often unrealistic in real-world organizations due to incomplete information, complex problems, and human biases.

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Study Notes

Managerial Decision Making

  • Decision making is a process of choosing among alternatives, not just a simple act of choosing.
  • Decision-making is a process that includes developing alternatives, analyzing them, and choosing the best one.
  • Problems arise when there's a gap between a desired and an actual situation. Managers need to identify problems first.
  • Identifying problems is subjective: what one manager sees as a problem might not be a problem for another.

Steps in the Decision-Making Process

  • Step 1: Identifying a Problem: Every decision begins with a problem, a gap between the current and desired states.
  • Step 2: Identifying Decision Criteria: Determine criteria significant to resolving the problem.
  • Step 3: Allocating Weights to Criteria: Assign weights to criteria based on importance, e.g., highest weight = 10, others are assigned accordingly.
  • Step 4: Developing Alternatives: List all viable solutions to address the problem.
  • Step 5: Analyzing Alternatives: Evaluate each alternative based on the established criteria.
  • Step 6: Selecting an Alternative: Choose the solution with the highest weighted score.
  • Step 7: Implementing the Alternative: Put the chosen solution into action, involving those affected.
  • Step 8: Evaluating Decision Effectiveness: Assess whether the chosen solution solved the problem.

Types of Decisions

  • Programmed Decisions: Straightforward, repetitive, and familiar problems. Solutions are often standardized. Example: Returning a store purchase, dealing with a fast-breaking news event, processing a request for inventory supplies.
  • Nonprogrammed Decisions: Complex, unique, and ambiguous problems. Decisions require creativity and judgment. Example: Building a new factory, managing unusual problems.

Decision-Making Conditions

  • Certainty: Outcome of each alternative is known. Example: Government depositing funds in bank & knowing the interest rate.
  • Risk: Likelihood of alternative outcomes is known or can be estimated. Example: Forecasting snowfall levels at a ski resort.
  • Uncertainty: Outcomes cannot be estimated or predicted. Example: Business decisions with little prior data.

Decision-Making Models

  • Classical Model: Assumes managers make logical decisions maximizing organizational interests, with complete information, clear goals, and criteria.
    • Assumptions: Decision maker operates toward known goals; complete information gathering; evaluating alternatives rationally.
  • Administrative Model: Refers to the fact that people can only handle limited information and don't always maximize profits.
    • Assumptions: Decision goals may be vague and conflicting; procedures are not always used. People only seek satisfactory solutions.

Tools for Decision Making

  • Analytical software can automate many programmed decisions. Financial software aids companies like Home Depot in using historical sales data to make markdown decisions.

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Description

This quiz explores the steps involved in the managerial decision-making process. It covers the identification of problems, criteria setting, and developing alternatives. By understanding these concepts, managers can make informed choices that align with their goals.

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