Limitations of Population Projection Methods
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Questions and Answers

What is the primary limitation of the mathematical method in population projection?

  • It cannot provide age group information (correct)
  • It gives excess information
  • It is too complex
  • It is time consuming

    • What assumption does the mathematical method of population projection make about growth rates?

  • Migration rates will impact growth significantly
  • Growth rates will fluctuate significantly
  • Population growth will eventually decline
  • Past growth rate will continue in future (correct)

    • Which factors are treated as constant in the mathematical method?

  • Only the birth rate
  • Only the death rate
  • Only migration rates
  • All of the above (correct)

    • What major aspect does the mathematical method fail to consider in projections?

    <p>Socio-economic changes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why is the mathematical method considered not a reliable indicator of future trends?

    <p>It assumes current situations will remain the same</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which demographic factors are acknowledged to impact population projections?

    <p>All of the above</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How is the mathematical method characterized in terms of its adequacy and completeness?

    <p>Neither adequate nor complete</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following factors can lead to incorrect projections in the mathematical method?

    <p>Sudden socio-economic changes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which factor is not commonly included in the Economic Method of population projection?

    <p>Historical population data only</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What aspect of population dynamics does the Economic Method particularly account for?

    <p>A variety of socio-economic factors</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In what way does industrial development influence population projections?

    <p>Through all demographic variables</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The introduction of new educational facilities impacts population dynamics by directly affecting which aspect?

    <p>Birth rates and family planning decisions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What distinguishes the Economic Method from other population projection methods?

    <p>It integrates a variety of development factors</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Women empowerment has the most direct influence on which population aspect?

    <p>Family planning choices</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is considered the main shortcoming of the Mathematical Method when compared to the Economic Method?

    <p>It neglects socio-economic influences</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How do healthcare facilities influence population projections?

    <p>They influence both birth and death rates</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the planning standard for open spaces play ground garden?

    <p>0.2 hectare per 1000 population</p> Signup and view all the answers

    One school is planned for every 400 to 500 students.

    <p>True</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the planning standard for health and medical facilities?

    <p>0.25 ha per 10,000 population</p> Signup and view all the answers

    The planning standard for libraries is ___ per 10,000 population.

    <p>0.05 ha</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the planning standard for vegetable markets?

    <p>0.2 ha per 10,000 population</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the minimum site area required for a town hall?

    <p>0.5 ha</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Limitations of Mathematical Method in Population Projection

    • The mathematical method of population projection assumes that the past growth rate will continue in the future, however, this is a limitation because social and economic changes can significantly affect future population growth.
    • The mathematical method fails to consider socio-economic changes, which can have a significant impact on birth, death, and migration rates.
    • It is not a real index of future trends because it assumes current situations will remain the same, ignoring the potential for change.
    • Socio-economic changes, such as women's empowerment, educational expansion, and healthcare improvements, can all affect population projections.
    • The mathematical method is neither adequate nor complete, because it only relies on past trends and doesn't account for complex factors like socio-economic changes.
    • This method is widely used despite its limitations, and while it provides a starting point, it should be used with caution and alongside other methods that consider complex social factors.

    Population Projection Methods

    • Economic Method considers multiple socio-economic factors like industrial development, healthcare facilities, and educational institutions.
    • Mathematical Method focuses on historical population data only, ignoring underlying socio-economic factors.

    Impact of Socio-Economic Factors

    • Industrial Development affects population projections through all demographic variables: birth rate, death rate, and migration patterns.
    • Educational Facilities directly impact birth rate and family planning decisions.
    • Healthcare Facilities primarily affect both birth and death rates.
    • Improved Transportation Facilities mainly influence migration rate.
    • Women Empowerment most directly influences family planning decisions.

    Strengths of the Economic Method

    • Reliability: The Economic Method integrates various development parameters, making it more reliable than other methods.
    • Comprehensiveness: It considers a wider range of factors than the Mathematical Method.

    Limitations of the Mathematical Method

    • Ignoring Socio-Economic Factors: The Mathematical Method's primary limitation is that it ignores underlying socio-economic factors.
    • Simplicity: It is considered too simple because it only relies on historical data.

    Open Spaces and Playgrounds

    • There should be 0.4 hectares of open space per 1,000 people.
    • There should be 0.2 hectares of playground space per 1,000 people.

    Schools

    • Primary schools should be designed for 400 to 500 students.
    • School buildings should have a plot area of 5 square meters per student.
    • Playgrounds should have an area of 3 square meters per student.
    • Secondary schools should be designed for 750 to 1,000 students.
    • Secondary school buildings should have a plot area of 4 square meters per student.
    • Secondary school playgrounds should have an area of 11 square meters per student.

    Health & Medical Facilities

    • There should be 0.25 hectares of land dedicated to health and medical facilities per 10,000 people.

    Vegetable Market

    • There should be 0.2 hectares dedicated to a vegetable market per 10,000 people.

    Library

    • There should be a library with a land area of 0.05 hectares per 10,000 people.

    Town Hall

    • There should be at least one town hall with a land area of 0.5 hectares. More sites may be required depending on the needs of the community.

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    Description

    This quiz explores the limitations of the mathematical method in population projections. It highlights how socio-economic changes, such as women's empowerment and healthcare improvements, can greatly influence future population trends, which the method fails to adequately account for. Understand the shortcomings of relying solely on past growth rates in demographic studies.

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