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Questions and Answers
In the context of interpreting measures of association, what does a value greater than 1 indicate?
In the context of interpreting measures of association, what does a value greater than 1 indicate?
- The relationship is due to chance.
- No relationship between the variables.
- An inverse or negative relationship.
- A direct or positive relationship. (correct)
What does a measure of association equal to 1 imply?
What does a measure of association equal to 1 imply?
- A strong negative relationship.
- A strong positive relationship.
- No relationship between the variables. (correct)
- The relationship is likely confounded.
What type of relationship is indicated by a measure of association less than 1?
What type of relationship is indicated by a measure of association less than 1?
- The relationship is biased.
- A direct or positive relationship.
- An inverse or negative relationship. (correct)
- A null relationship.
Which of the following is NOT a potential reason for the results observed in a study?
Which of the following is NOT a potential reason for the results observed in a study?
What does 'internal validity' primarily assess in a research study?
What does 'internal validity' primarily assess in a research study?
What aspect of a research study does 'external validity' address?
What aspect of a research study does 'external validity' address?
A study shows a strong association between two variables, but the researchers suspect that a third, unmeasured variable is influencing both. What threat to validity are they most concerned about?
A study shows a strong association between two variables, but the researchers suspect that a third, unmeasured variable is influencing both. What threat to validity are they most concerned about?
A researcher designs a study with rigorous controls and standardized procedures. What aspect of the study is the researcher primarily trying to maximize?
A researcher designs a study with rigorous controls and standardized procedures. What aspect of the study is the researcher primarily trying to maximize?
Which of the following best describes the concept of confounding in epidemiological studies?
Which of the following best describes the concept of confounding in epidemiological studies?
A variable is considered a confounder when it meets which of the following criteria?
A variable is considered a confounder when it meets which of the following criteria?
In a study examining the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer, smoking is suspected as a confounder. What does this suggest?
In a study examining the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer, smoking is suspected as a confounder. What does this suggest?
Based on the data provided, what is the relative risk (RR) of lung cancer for individuals who drink coffee compared to those who do not?
Based on the data provided, what is the relative risk (RR) of lung cancer for individuals who drink coffee compared to those who do not?
Why is it important to address confounding in epidemiological studies?
Why is it important to address confounding in epidemiological studies?
Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a confounding variable?
Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a confounding variable?
In the context of the 'Big Picture' of epidemiology presented, how does a confounder affect the relationship between exposure and outcome?
In the context of the 'Big Picture' of epidemiology presented, how does a confounder affect the relationship between exposure and outcome?
If a study finds a strong association between two variables, but fails to account for a known confounder, what is the likely consequence?
If a study finds a strong association between two variables, but fails to account for a known confounder, what is the likely consequence?
Based on the information provided, what is the most likely relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer, considering smoking status?
Based on the information provided, what is the most likely relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer, considering smoking status?
Why is it important to stratify the data by smoking status when studying the association between coffee and lung cancer?
Why is it important to stratify the data by smoking status when studying the association between coffee and lung cancer?
If the adjusted association between coffee and lung cancer (after accounting for smoking) is substantially different from the unadjusted association, what does this suggest?
If the adjusted association between coffee and lung cancer (after accounting for smoking) is substantially different from the unadjusted association, what does this suggest?
In the context of this study, what would be the most effective strategy to address the potential confounding effect of smoking?
In the context of this study, what would be the most effective strategy to address the potential confounding effect of smoking?
Given the data provided, if the relative risk of lung cancer for coffee drinkers compared to non-coffee drinkers is 1.83 overall, but 1.00 within both smokers and non-smokers, this indicates that:
Given the data provided, if the relative risk of lung cancer for coffee drinkers compared to non-coffee drinkers is 1.83 overall, but 1.00 within both smokers and non-smokers, this indicates that:
Based on the provided information, what condition must be met for smoking to be considered a confounder in the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer?
Based on the provided information, what condition must be met for smoking to be considered a confounder in the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer?
Using the provided criteria RR1 < ALL RR > RR2
or RR1 > ALL RR < RR2
, determine if confounding is present.
Using the provided criteria RR1 < ALL RR > RR2
or RR1 > ALL RR < RR2
, determine if confounding is present.
Which of the following study designs would be most effective in minimizing the potential for confounding by smoking when investigating the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer?
Which of the following study designs would be most effective in minimizing the potential for confounding by smoking when investigating the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer?
Which of the following best describes bias in research?
Which of the following best describes bias in research?
In a study examining the association between a new drug and a specific health outcome, researchers find a relative risk of 1.5. If the true relative risk is 1.8, which type of bias is most likely present?
In a study examining the association between a new drug and a specific health outcome, researchers find a relative risk of 1.5. If the true relative risk is 1.8, which type of bias is most likely present?
A study investigating the effect of exercise on weight loss reports an odds ratio of 0.6. However, the actual odds ratio is 0.8. Which of the following describes the direction of bias?
A study investigating the effect of exercise on weight loss reports an odds ratio of 0.6. However, the actual odds ratio is 0.8. Which of the following describes the direction of bias?
A researcher aims to study the association between smoking and lung cancer. However, the participants are selected in a way that those with early-stage lung cancer are more likely to be included. How could this affect the study?
A researcher aims to study the association between smoking and lung cancer. However, the participants are selected in a way that those with early-stage lung cancer are more likely to be included. How could this affect the study?
In a clinical trial, participants who are given a new medication are more closely monitored for side effects than those receiving the placebo. How might this difference in follow-up affect the study results?
In a clinical trial, participants who are given a new medication are more closely monitored for side effects than those receiving the placebo. How might this difference in follow-up affect the study results?
Which of the following scenarios would most likely result in bias toward the null?
Which of the following scenarios would most likely result in bias toward the null?
Researchers are studying the effectiveness of a new educational program. They suspect that more motivated students are more likely to enroll in the program. How could this enrolment bias affect the study?
Researchers are studying the effectiveness of a new educational program. They suspect that more motivated students are more likely to enroll in the program. How could this enrolment bias affect the study?
A study aims to determine the association between a dietary supplement and cardiovascular health, but the researchers are selectively publishing only the positive results. What type of bias is most likely to be introduced?
A study aims to determine the association between a dietary supplement and cardiovascular health, but the researchers are selectively publishing only the positive results. What type of bias is most likely to be introduced?
In a randomized controlled trial (RCT), what is the primary purpose of randomization?
In a randomized controlled trial (RCT), what is the primary purpose of randomization?
Why are observational studies generally more susceptible to confounding than experimental studies?
Why are observational studies generally more susceptible to confounding than experimental studies?
In the context of epidemiologic studies, what is the most significant advantage of randomization in experimental studies like RCTs?
In the context of epidemiologic studies, what is the most significant advantage of randomization in experimental studies like RCTs?
Given a 2x2 table from a cohort study on coffee consumption and gout, what does the 'unadjusted RR' represent?
Given a 2x2 table from a cohort study on coffee consumption and gout, what does the 'unadjusted RR' represent?
In a hypothetical study examining the relationship between coffee consumption and the incidence of gout, the following data is observed:
- High Coffee: Gout = 42, No Gout = 22,765
- No Coffee: Gout = 143, No Gout = 20,530
Calculate the unadjusted Relative Risk (RR) for developing gout among those with high coffee consumption compared to those with no coffee consumption.
In a hypothetical study examining the relationship between coffee consumption and the incidence of gout, the following data is observed:
- High Coffee: Gout = 42, No Gout = 22,765
- No Coffee: Gout = 143, No Gout = 20,530
Calculate the unadjusted Relative Risk (RR) for developing gout among those with high coffee consumption compared to those with no coffee consumption.
Using the RR calculated previously (0.27) for the association between coffee consumption and gout, what is the percentage decrease in the risk of gout associated with high coffee consumption?
Using the RR calculated previously (0.27) for the association between coffee consumption and gout, what is the percentage decrease in the risk of gout associated with high coffee consumption?
What does a percentage decrease of 73% calculated from an unadjusted RR of 0.27 in a study of coffee consumption and gout suggest, before considering further analysis?
What does a percentage decrease of 73% calculated from an unadjusted RR of 0.27 in a study of coffee consumption and gout suggest, before considering further analysis?
If age is a confounder in the relationship between coffee consumption and gout, what does this imply?
If age is a confounder in the relationship between coffee consumption and gout, what does this imply?
In a study examining the association between exercise and cardiovascular health, researchers only include participants who are already highly motivated to exercise. What type of bias is most likely to be introduced?
In a study examining the association between exercise and cardiovascular health, researchers only include participants who are already highly motivated to exercise. What type of bias is most likely to be introduced?
A study aims to determine the effectiveness of a new drug. Participants in the treatment group are more likely to report positive outcomes due to increased attention from the study staff. This scenario exemplifies which type of bias?
A study aims to determine the effectiveness of a new drug. Participants in the treatment group are more likely to report positive outcomes due to increased attention from the study staff. This scenario exemplifies which type of bias?
If a direct association is biased towards the null, how is the true association affected?
If a direct association is biased towards the null, how is the true association affected?
A study finds a biased measure of association is 0.3, while the true measure of association is 0.6. What type of bias and direction does this represent?
A study finds a biased measure of association is 0.3, while the true measure of association is 0.6. What type of bias and direction does this represent?
A study investigating the impact of a new educational program relies on self-reported data from students, but students who feel they have not benefited from the program are less likely to respond. What type of bias is most concerning in this scenario?
A study investigating the impact of a new educational program relies on self-reported data from students, but students who feel they have not benefited from the program are less likely to respond. What type of bias is most concerning in this scenario?
In a clinical trial for a new pain medication, researchers suspect that the patients' belief in the medication's effectiveness is influencing their reported pain levels. If this belief leads to an overestimation of the drug's effect, which type of bias is most likely at play?
In a clinical trial for a new pain medication, researchers suspect that the patients' belief in the medication's effectiveness is influencing their reported pain levels. If this belief leads to an overestimation of the drug's effect, which type of bias is most likely at play?
In a study assessing the relationship between smoking and lung cancer, researchers only include data from participants who have been diagnosed with lung cancer within the past year. What type of bias might be introduced?
In a study assessing the relationship between smoking and lung cancer, researchers only include data from participants who have been diagnosed with lung cancer within the past year. What type of bias might be introduced?
A researcher is conducting a study on the effects of a new drug on blood pressure. They unconsciously tend to record slightly lower blood pressure readings for patients in the treatment group compared to the control group. What type of bias is most likely occurring?
A researcher is conducting a study on the effects of a new drug on blood pressure. They unconsciously tend to record slightly lower blood pressure readings for patients in the treatment group compared to the control group. What type of bias is most likely occurring?
Flashcards
Confounding
Confounding
Mixing of effects between exposure of interest and another variable, distorting the association measure.
Confounder
Confounder
A factor associated with both the exposure and the outcome, but not in the causal pathway.
Confounding (Phenomenon)
Confounding (Phenomenon)
A true phenomenon observed in a study, where the effect of an exposure is distorted by a confounder.
Exposure
Exposure
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Outcome
Outcome
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Exposure to Outcome
Exposure to Outcome
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Confounder Criteria
Confounder Criteria
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Relative Risk (RR)
Relative Risk (RR)
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Measure of Association > 1
Measure of Association > 1
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Measure of Association = 1
Measure of Association = 1
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Measure of Association < 1
Measure of Association < 1
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Real Study Result
Real Study Result
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Study Result Due to Chance
Study Result Due to Chance
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Confounded Study Result
Confounded Study Result
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Biased Study Result
Biased Study Result
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Internal Validity
Internal Validity
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Randomization
Randomization
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Goal of Randomization
Goal of Randomization
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Benefit of Randomization
Benefit of Randomization
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Observational Studies
Observational Studies
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Vulnerability to Confounding
Vulnerability to Confounding
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Unadjusted RR
Unadjusted RR
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Incidence Calculation
Incidence Calculation
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Stratum-specific effect
Stratum-specific effect
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Stratum-specific Relative Risk (RR)
Stratum-specific Relative Risk (RR)
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All RR (Crude RR)
All RR (Crude RR)
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Confounding Indication
Confounding Indication
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Confounding Presence
Confounding Presence
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Confounder Example
Confounder Example
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Why Smoking is a Confounder
Why Smoking is a Confounder
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Bias (Definition)
Bias (Definition)
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Bias Occurrences
Bias Occurrences
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Bias Away From Null
Bias Away From Null
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Bias Towards Null
Bias Towards Null
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Inverse Bias
Inverse Bias
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Bias Towards the Null (Example)
Bias Towards the Null (Example)
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Towards the Null
Towards the Null
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Direct Bias
Direct Bias
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Bias (in a study)
Bias (in a study)
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Bias towards the null
Bias towards the null
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Bias away from the null
Bias away from the null
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Direct association, away from the null
Direct association, away from the null
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Direct association, towards the null
Direct association, towards the null
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Inverse association, away from the null
Inverse association, away from the null
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Inverse association, towards the null
Inverse association, towards the null
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Selection Bias
Selection Bias
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Information Bias
Information Bias
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Study Notes
- UBC Vancouver is situated on the traditional, ancestral, and unceded territory of the Musqueam people
Concealment of Allocation
- It protects the random allocation process
- Researchers should remain unaware of the next participant's treatment assignment
- Concealment of allocation is always feasible
Blinding
- Blinding, also known as masking, conceals the allocation
- It eliminates the influence of knowing the treatment assignment
Blinding Types
Blinding | Who |
---|---|
Single | Participants |
Double | Participants, Researchers |
Triple | Participants, Researchers, Analysts |
Learning Objectives
- Understand the meaning of "threat to validity" in a study
- Recognize confounding/confounders
- Understand the presence of bias
Epidemiologic Studies
- Measure of disease:
- Cross-sectional studies use prevalence
- Cohort studies use incidence
- Case-control studies use prevalence
- Randomized controlled trials (RCT) use incidence
- Measure of association:
- Odds Ratio (OR): cross-sectional and case-control studies
- Relative Risk (RR): cohort studies and RCTs
Interpreting Measures of Association
- Measure of Association > 1: Yes, there is a direct (positive) relationship
- Measure of Association = 1: No relationship exists
- Measure of Association < 1: Yes, there is an inverse (negative) relationship
Results of Study
- Real
- Due to chance
- Confounded
- Biased
- Confounded and biased results are threats to validity
Internal and External Validity
- Internal validity assesses how well the study was conducted
- External validity assesses how applicable are study findings
Confounding
- Confounding mixes the effects, leading to distortion of the measure of association
- Confounding occurs when the exposure is associated with some other factor also associated with the outcome
Confounder Criteria
- The "confounder" must be associated with the exposure
- The "confounder" must be associated with the outcome
- The "confounder" cannot be in the causal pathway
Coffee Lung Cancer Example
- Smoking qualifies as a confounder
- Smoking meets all the criteria for being a confounder because it:
- Is associated with the coffee
- Is associated with the outcome of lung cancer
- Is not in the causal pathway
Stratified Analysis
- Stratified analysis involves analyzing data according to strata (groups) of a factor/characteristic of participants
- Smoking Status as a Factor:
- Stratum 1: Smokers (n = 170)
- Stratum 2: Non-Smokers (n = 1,130)
Coffee Outcome Example for Smokers
- The RR1 = 69 / 80 = 1.00
- 78/90
Coffee Outcome Example for Non-Smokers
- The RR2 = 152 / 570 = 1.00
- 150/560
Smoking as a Confounder
- In general, if:
- RR1 < ALL RR > RR2, then confounding is present OR
- RR1 > ALL RR < RR2, then confounding is present
Randomization in RCTs
- The allocation to study groups (exposed group vs. comparison group) is by chance alone
- It optimizes equal distribution of measured characteristics between study groups
- It increases the likelihood that unmeasured characteristics are equally distributed between study groups
Experimental vs Observational Studies
- In experimental randomized controlled trials (RCT), the benefit of randomization is to achieve equal distribution of potential confounders.
- Observational studies are more vulnerable to confounding than experimental studies
- Participants are observed in their natural settings in observational studes, and factors tend to be associated
Coffee and Gout Studies
-
Study design: Cohort
-
2x2 Table: includes exposure (rows) with coffee, and outcome (columns) with gout
-
Measure of association is relative risk
-
Calculation: RR = a / (a+b) = 42 / 22,807 = 0.27 = c/(c+d) = 143 / 20,673
-
% decrease = (1 - RR) x 100 = (1.00 – 0.27) x 100 = 73%, unadjusted RR (does not account for confounders)
-
Adjusting for confounders attenuated (reduced) the measure of association towards the null
Addressing Confounding
- Confounding cannot be "fixed" because it is not an error in the study
- Confounding can be addressed at the time of designing a study:
- Randomization (in RCT)
- Matching (on confounders)
- restriction
- At the time of analyzing the study:
- Multivariable models, and
- Stratification (by categories of confounders)
Sample Question
- Adjustment for confounders attenuated the measure of association towards the null
- False
Bias
- Systematic errors in data collection/interpretation, deviating results from the truth, occur throughout a research study like:
- How participants are recruited
- How participants are followed up
- How data are collected
Direction of Bias:
-
Bias is away from the null when the observed is farther from the null than the true value
-
Bias is towards the null when the observed is closer to the null than the true value
-
Direct, Towards the Null
-
Inverse, Towards the Null
-
The true association is underestimated
-
The true association is overestimated
-
There are a lot of biases!
-
https://catalogofbias.org/
-
Two Classes of Bias
- Selection Bias
- Information Bias
Selection Bias
- Errors in selection, enrollment, or continued participation (follow-up) of study
- Occurrences include agreement to participate (volunteer bias)
- Nonresponse bias: survey study individuals not responding are different from those that do respond
Information Bias
- Errors in data collection/analysis in the study
- Occurrences include interviewer bias
- Social desirability bias: participants under/overestimate behavior
- Disease status recall-based differences (recall bias) are especially apparent in case-control studies
Addressing Bias
- Bias is systematic error in a study.
- Once it's in a study,you cannot fix it
- Bias should be addressed with good study design:
- In the design, select participants with a similar mechanism, and
- Blind interviewers and recorders
- Collect accurate data in a similar way, and
- Acknowledge procedures to minimize loss to follow-up
- Acknowledge potential biases in your study!
Confounding vs Bias
- Confounding = Distortion of the measure of association.
- Bias = Systematic error
- Confounding is a true phenomenon, not controlled by investigators
- Bias is results of an error, that study was carried out
- Bias is under investigator control, and is addressed at time of design
- Once bias is in a study, you cannot get rid of it/remove it. Must acknowledge/indicate that you are aware of these facts.
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Description
This covers interpreting measures of association, including values greater than 1, equal to 1, and less than 1. It also addresses threats to validity like confounding variables and how researchers maximize internal and external validity.