Interpreting Measures of Association
48 Questions
1 Views

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to Lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson

Questions and Answers

In the context of interpreting measures of association, what does a value greater than 1 indicate?

  • The relationship is due to chance.
  • No relationship between the variables.
  • An inverse or negative relationship.
  • A direct or positive relationship. (correct)

What does a measure of association equal to 1 imply?

  • A strong negative relationship.
  • A strong positive relationship.
  • No relationship between the variables. (correct)
  • The relationship is likely confounded.

What type of relationship is indicated by a measure of association less than 1?

  • The relationship is biased.
  • A direct or positive relationship.
  • An inverse or negative relationship. (correct)
  • A null relationship.

Which of the following is NOT a potential reason for the results observed in a study?

<p>The results are externally valid. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does 'internal validity' primarily assess in a research study?

<p>How well the study was conducted. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What aspect of a research study does 'external validity' address?

<p>The generalizability of the findings. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study shows a strong association between two variables, but the researchers suspect that a third, unmeasured variable is influencing both. What threat to validity are they most concerned about?

<p>Confounding. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher designs a study with rigorous controls and standardized procedures. What aspect of the study is the researcher primarily trying to maximize?

<p>Internal validity. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes the concept of confounding in epidemiological studies?

<p>The distortion of a measure of association due to the mixing of the exposure's effect with the effect of another variable. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A variable is considered a confounder when it meets which of the following criteria?

<p>It is associated with the exposure, is associated with the outcome, and is not in the causal pathway between them. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a study examining the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer, smoking is suspected as a confounder. What does this suggest?

<p>Smoking is associated with both coffee consumption and lung cancer. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Based on the data provided, what is the relative risk (RR) of lung cancer for individuals who drink coffee compared to those who do not?

<p>1.83 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is it important to address confounding in epidemiological studies?

<p>To obtain a more accurate estimate of the true effect of an exposure on an outcome. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT a characteristic of a confounding variable?

<p>It is a result of the exposure. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the 'Big Picture' of epidemiology presented, how does a confounder affect the relationship between exposure and outcome?

<p>It introduces a spurious association or distorts the true association between exposure and outcome. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a study finds a strong association between two variables, but fails to account for a known confounder, what is the likely consequence?

<p>The observed association may be misleading and not reflect a true causal relationship. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Based on the information provided, what is the most likely relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer, considering smoking status?

<p>Coffee consumption appears to be associated with lung cancer, but this is confounded by smoking status. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why is it important to stratify the data by smoking status when studying the association between coffee and lung cancer?

<p>To control for the potential confounding effect of smoking on the relationship between coffee and lung cancer. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the adjusted association between coffee and lung cancer (after accounting for smoking) is substantially different from the unadjusted association, what does this suggest?

<p>Smoking is a confounder in the association between coffee and lung cancer. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of this study, what would be the most effective strategy to address the potential confounding effect of smoking?

<p>Statistically adjust for smoking status in the analysis. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given the data provided, if the relative risk of lung cancer for coffee drinkers compared to non-coffee drinkers is 1.83 overall, but 1.00 within both smokers and non-smokers, this indicates that:

<p>The association between coffee and lung cancer is confounded by smoking. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Based on the provided information, what condition must be met for smoking to be considered a confounder in the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer?

<p>Smoking must be associated with both coffee consumption and lung cancer. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Using the provided criteria RR1 < ALL RR > RR2 or RR1 > ALL RR < RR2, determine if confounding is present.

<p>Confounding is present because ALL RR is greater than RR2 and RR1. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following study designs would be most effective in minimizing the potential for confounding by smoking when investigating the relationship between coffee consumption and lung cancer?

<p>A randomized controlled trial assigning participants to different levels of coffee consumption, stratified by smoking status. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes bias in research?

<p>Systematic errors that cause results to deviate from the truth. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a study examining the association between a new drug and a specific health outcome, researchers find a relative risk of 1.5. If the true relative risk is 1.8, which type of bias is most likely present?

<p>Bias towards the null. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study investigating the effect of exercise on weight loss reports an odds ratio of 0.6. However, the actual odds ratio is 0.8. Which of the following describes the direction of bias?

<p>Bias towards the null. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher aims to study the association between smoking and lung cancer. However, the participants are selected in a way that those with early-stage lung cancer are more likely to be included. How could this affect the study?

<p>It would introduce bias away from the null. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a clinical trial, participants who are given a new medication are more closely monitored for side effects than those receiving the placebo. How might this difference in follow-up affect the study results?

<p>It may amplify the observed effect, leading to bias away from the null. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following scenarios would most likely result in bias toward the null?

<p>Misclassification of exposure occurs equally in both diseased and non-diseased groups. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Researchers are studying the effectiveness of a new educational program. They suspect that more motivated students are more likely to enroll in the program. How could this enrolment bias affect the study?

<p>It will cause bias away from the null. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study aims to determine the association between a dietary supplement and cardiovascular health, but the researchers are selectively publishing only the positive results. What type of bias is most likely to be introduced?

<p>Publication bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a randomized controlled trial (RCT), what is the primary purpose of randomization?

<p>To distribute measured characteristics equally between study groups, optimizing the balance of known potential confounders. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why are observational studies generally more susceptible to confounding than experimental studies?

<p>Participants in observational studies are observed in their natural settings, where factors tend to be associated, making it harder to isolate the effect of a single exposure. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of epidemiologic studies, what is the most significant advantage of randomization in experimental studies like RCTs?

<p>It helps achieve an equal distribution of potential confounders between treatment and control groups. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Given a 2x2 table from a cohort study on coffee consumption and gout, what does the 'unadjusted RR' represent?

<p>The relative risk calculated without accounting for any potential confounders. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a hypothetical study examining the relationship between coffee consumption and the incidence of gout, the following data is observed:

  • High Coffee: Gout = 42, No Gout = 22,765
  • No Coffee: Gout = 143, No Gout = 20,530

Calculate the unadjusted Relative Risk (RR) for developing gout among those with high coffee consumption compared to those with no coffee consumption.

<p>0.27 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Using the RR calculated previously (0.27) for the association between coffee consumption and gout, what is the percentage decrease in the risk of gout associated with high coffee consumption?

<p>73% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a percentage decrease of 73% calculated from an unadjusted RR of 0.27 in a study of coffee consumption and gout suggest, before considering further analysis?

<p>Coffee consumption is associated with a 73% reduction in the observed risk of gout, but this may be influenced by other factors. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If age is a confounder in the relationship between coffee consumption and gout, what does this imply?

<p>The apparent effect of coffee on gout risk is partially explained by the fact that age is independently associated with both coffee consumption and gout. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a study examining the association between exercise and cardiovascular health, researchers only include participants who are already highly motivated to exercise. What type of bias is most likely to be introduced?

<p>Selection bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study aims to determine the effectiveness of a new drug. Participants in the treatment group are more likely to report positive outcomes due to increased attention from the study staff. This scenario exemplifies which type of bias?

<p>Information bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a direct association is biased towards the null, how is the true association affected?

<p>The true association is underestimated. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study finds a biased measure of association is 0.3, while the true measure of association is 0.6. What type of bias and direction does this represent?

<p>Inverse association biased away from the null. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A study investigating the impact of a new educational program relies on self-reported data from students, but students who feel they have not benefited from the program are less likely to respond. What type of bias is most concerning in this scenario?

<p>Selection bias (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a clinical trial for a new pain medication, researchers suspect that the patients' belief in the medication's effectiveness is influencing their reported pain levels. If this belief leads to an overestimation of the drug's effect, which type of bias is most likely at play?

<p>Information bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a study assessing the relationship between smoking and lung cancer, researchers only include data from participants who have been diagnosed with lung cancer within the past year. What type of bias might be introduced?

<p>Selection bias (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A researcher is conducting a study on the effects of a new drug on blood pressure. They unconsciously tend to record slightly lower blood pressure readings for patients in the treatment group compared to the control group. What type of bias is most likely occurring?

<p>Observer bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Confounding

Mixing of effects between exposure of interest and another variable, distorting the association measure.

Confounder

A factor associated with both the exposure and the outcome, but not in the causal pathway.

Confounding (Phenomenon)

A true phenomenon observed in a study, where the effect of an exposure is distorted by a confounder.

Exposure

The variable being studied to see if it affects the outcome.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Outcome

The result or condition that might be affected by the exposure.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Exposure to Outcome

The exposure can lead to the outcome.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Confounder Criteria

Must be associated with both the exposure and the outcome, but not be in the causal pathway.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Relative Risk (RR)

Risk in the exposed group divided by the risk in the unexposed group.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Measure of Association > 1

Indicates a direct or positive relationship between variables.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Measure of Association = 1

Indicates no relationship between the variables.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Measure of Association < 1

Indicates an inverse or negative relationship between variables.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Real Study Result

A genuine effect of the intervention or exposure.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Study Result Due to Chance

An apparent effect due to random variation.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Confounded Study Result

An apparent effect distorted by other variables not accounted for.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Biased Study Result

An effect skewed by systematic errors in the study design or execution.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Internal Validity

How well a study was conducted.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Randomization

Assigning participants to study groups by chance.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Goal of Randomization

Ensuring measured characteristics are equally distributed between study groups.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Benefit of Randomization

Ensuring unmeasured characteristics are likely equally distributed between study groups through chance.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Observational Studies

Studies where participants are observed in their natural settings.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Vulnerability to Confounding

More susceptible to confounding than experimental studies.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Unadjusted RR

The RR calculated directly from the data, without accounting for other factors.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Incidence Calculation

The number of people with high coffee that have gout divided by the total number of people with high coffee.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Stratum-specific effect

The effect of an exposure on an outcome within a specific subgroup (stratum) of the population.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Stratum-specific Relative Risk (RR)

Risk of outcome in exposed group / Risk of outcome in unexposed group, within a stratum.

Signup and view all the flashcards

All RR (Crude RR)

Relative Risk calculated by combining all strata/groups.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Confounding Indication

If stratum-specific RRs differ significantly from the overall RR, confounding is likely.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Confounding Presence

RR1 < ALL RR > RR2 OR RR1 > ALL RR < RR2

Signup and view all the flashcards

Confounder Example

Smoking status

Signup and view all the flashcards

Why Smoking is a Confounder

Smoking is related to both coffee drinking and increased lung cancer risk, independently.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias (Definition)

Systematic errors in data collection/interpretation, causing results to deviate from the truth.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias Occurrences

How participants are recruited, followed up, or how data are collected.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias Away From Null

The observed value is farther from the null than the true value.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias Towards Null

The observed value is closer to the null than the true value.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Inverse Bias

Observed measure is further from the null (1.0) than the true measure.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias Towards the Null (Example)

Association when biased measure is drawn closer to 1.0.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Towards the Null

The biased measure is closer to 1.0 than the true.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Direct Bias

Observed measure is closer to the null (1.0) than the true measure.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias (in a study)

Systematic errors that can skew the results of a study, leading to an inaccurate estimate of the true association between exposure and outcome.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias towards the null

When bias skews the measure of association towards 1 (the null value).

Signup and view all the flashcards

Bias away from the null

When bias skews the measure of association away from 1 (the null value).

Signup and view all the flashcards

Direct association, away from the null

A type of bias where the observed association is stronger than the true association.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Direct association, towards the null

A type of bias where the observed association is weaker than the true association.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Inverse association, away from the null

A type of bias where the observed inverse association is stronger than the true association.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Inverse association, towards the null

A type of bias where the observed inverse association is weaker than the true association.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Selection Bias

A broad category of biases arising from how participants are selected for the study.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Information Bias

A broad category of biases arising from errors in how information is collected or measured.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Study Notes

  • UBC Vancouver is situated on the traditional, ancestral, and unceded territory of the Musqueam people

Concealment of Allocation

  • It protects the random allocation process
  • Researchers should remain unaware of the next participant's treatment assignment
  • Concealment of allocation is always feasible

Blinding

  • Blinding, also known as masking, conceals the allocation
  • It eliminates the influence of knowing the treatment assignment

Blinding Types

Blinding Who
Single Participants
Double Participants, Researchers
Triple Participants, Researchers, Analysts

Learning Objectives

  • Understand the meaning of "threat to validity" in a study
  • Recognize confounding/confounders
  • Understand the presence of bias

Epidemiologic Studies

  • Measure of disease:
    • Cross-sectional studies use prevalence
    • Cohort studies use incidence
    • Case-control studies use prevalence
    • Randomized controlled trials (RCT) use incidence
  • Measure of association:
    • Odds Ratio (OR): cross-sectional and case-control studies
    • Relative Risk (RR): cohort studies and RCTs

Interpreting Measures of Association

  • Measure of Association > 1: Yes, there is a direct (positive) relationship
  • Measure of Association = 1: No relationship exists
  • Measure of Association < 1: Yes, there is an inverse (negative) relationship

Results of Study

  • Real
  • Due to chance
  • Confounded
  • Biased
  • Confounded and biased results are threats to validity

Internal and External Validity

  • Internal validity assesses how well the study was conducted
  • External validity assesses how applicable are study findings

Confounding

  • Confounding mixes the effects, leading to distortion of the measure of association
  • Confounding occurs when the exposure is associated with some other factor also associated with the outcome

Confounder Criteria

  • The "confounder" must be associated with the exposure
  • The "confounder" must be associated with the outcome
  • The "confounder" cannot be in the causal pathway

Coffee Lung Cancer Example

  • Smoking qualifies as a confounder
  • Smoking meets all the criteria for being a confounder because it:
    • Is associated with the coffee
    • Is associated with the outcome of lung cancer
    • Is not in the causal pathway

Stratified Analysis

  • Stratified analysis involves analyzing data according to strata (groups) of a factor/characteristic of participants
  • Smoking Status as a Factor:
    • Stratum 1: Smokers (n = 170)
    • Stratum 2: Non-Smokers (n = 1,130)

Coffee Outcome Example for Smokers

  • The RR1 = 69 / 80 = 1.00
  • 78/90

Coffee Outcome Example for Non-Smokers

  • The RR2 = 152 / 570 = 1.00
  • 150/560

Smoking as a Confounder

  • In general, if:
    • RR1 < ALL RR > RR2, then confounding is present OR
    • RR1 > ALL RR < RR2, then confounding is present

Randomization in RCTs

  • The allocation to study groups (exposed group vs. comparison group) is by chance alone
  • It optimizes equal distribution of measured characteristics between study groups
  • It increases the likelihood that unmeasured characteristics are equally distributed between study groups

Experimental vs Observational Studies

  • In experimental randomized controlled trials (RCT), the benefit of randomization is to achieve equal distribution of potential confounders.
  • Observational studies are more vulnerable to confounding than experimental studies
  • Participants are observed in their natural settings in observational studes, and factors tend to be associated

Coffee and Gout Studies

  • Study design: Cohort

  • 2x2 Table: includes exposure (rows) with coffee, and outcome (columns) with gout

  • Measure of association is relative risk

  • Calculation: RR = a / (a+b) = 42 / 22,807 = 0.27 = c/(c+d) = 143 / 20,673

  • % decrease = (1 - RR) x 100 = (1.00 – 0.27) x 100 = 73%, unadjusted RR (does not account for confounders)

  • Adjusting for confounders attenuated (reduced) the measure of association towards the null

Addressing Confounding

  • Confounding cannot be "fixed" because it is not an error in the study
  • Confounding can be addressed at the time of designing a study:
    • Randomization (in RCT)
    • Matching (on confounders)
    • restriction
  • At the time of analyzing the study:
    • Multivariable models, and
    • Stratification (by categories of confounders)

Sample Question

  • Adjustment for confounders attenuated the measure of association towards the null
  • False

Bias

  • Systematic errors in data collection/interpretation, deviating results from the truth, occur throughout a research study like:
    • How participants are recruited
    • How participants are followed up
    • How data are collected

Direction of Bias:

  • Bias is away from the null when the observed is farther from the null than the true value

  • Bias is towards the null when the observed is closer to the null than the true value

  • Direct, Towards the Null

  • Inverse, Towards the Null

  • The true association is underestimated

  • The true association is overestimated

  • There are a lot of biases!

  • https://catalogofbias.org/

  • Two Classes of Bias

    • Selection Bias
    • Information Bias

Selection Bias

  • Errors in selection, enrollment, or continued participation (follow-up) of study
  • Occurrences include agreement to participate (volunteer bias)
  • Nonresponse bias: survey study individuals not responding are different from those that do respond

Information Bias

  • Errors in data collection/analysis in the study
  • Occurrences include interviewer bias
  • Social desirability bias: participants under/overestimate behavior
  • Disease status recall-based differences (recall bias) are especially apparent in case-control studies

Addressing Bias

  • Bias is systematic error in a study.
  • Once it's in a study,you cannot fix it
  • Bias should be addressed with good study design:
    • In the design, select participants with a similar mechanism, and
    • Blind interviewers and recorders
    • Collect accurate data in a similar way, and
    • Acknowledge procedures to minimize loss to follow-up
  • Acknowledge potential biases in your study!

Confounding vs Bias

  • Confounding = Distortion of the measure of association.
  • Bias = Systematic error
  • Confounding is a true phenomenon, not controlled by investigators
  • Bias is results of an error, that study was carried out
  • Bias is under investigator control, and is addressed at time of design
  • Once bias is in a study, you cannot get rid of it/remove it. Must acknowledge/indicate that you are aware of these facts.

Studying That Suits You

Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

Quiz Team

Related Documents

Description

This covers interpreting measures of association, including values greater than 1, equal to 1, and less than 1. It also addresses threats to validity like confounding variables and how researchers maximize internal and external validity.

More Like This

Gender and Independence IAT Measures Quiz
10 questions
Measures of Association in Statistics
40 questions
Measures of Association 8-9
73 questions

Measures of Association 8-9

ConscientiousEvergreenForest1127 avatar
ConscientiousEvergreenForest1127
Measures of Association & Validity
21 questions
Use Quizgecko on...
Browser
Browser