Intermediate Microeconomics - Lecture 2 Quiz

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Questions and Answers

What is the outcome of diversifying time evenly between two products?

  • $30,000
  • $25,000
  • $15,000
  • $21,000 (correct)

Diversification completely eliminates all types of risk.

False (B)

What is the primary purpose of a mutual fund?

To pool funds from individual investors to buy a diverse portfolio of stocks.

The law of large numbers helps in predicting the average outcome of many __________ events.

<p>similar</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does purchasing insurance help a homeowner?

<p>It minimizes risk by providing predictable wealth. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following terms with their definitions:

<p>Diversification = Not putting all eggs in one basket Mutual Fund = Organization pooling funds from multiple investors Risk = The potential for financial loss Insurance = A safeguard against uncertain events</p> Signup and view all the answers

The tendency of variables to move in opposite directions is called __________ correlated variables.

<p>negatively</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation of wealth when a homeowner chooses not to purchase insurance?

<p>$3,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

What defines objective probability?

<p>The frequency of events occurring (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Subjective probability is based on measurable data and past outcomes.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does expected value measure?

<p>The central tendency of potential payoffs.</p> Signup and view all the answers

The extent to which possible outcomes differ is known as __________.

<p>variability</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which factor is introduced when there is time between choice and outcome?

<p>Risk (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the type of probability with its definition:

<p>Objective probability = Based on the frequency of events occurring Subjective probability = Based on personal perception of outcomes</p> Signup and view all the answers

Risk can be measured only using subjective probability.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for expected value given in the content?

<p>E(x) = P1<em>x1 + P2</em>x2 + ... + Pn*xn</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the marginal utility when income increases from $20,000 to $30,000?

<p>10 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A risk-neutral individual prefers a certain income over an uncertain income with the same expected value.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the risk premium for an individual who would prefer not to change jobs despite the expected income of $20,000?

<p>$4,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

The practice of reducing risk by allocating resources to a variety of activities is called __________.

<p>diversification</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following income scenarios with the corresponding expected income calculation:

<p>Air Conditioner sales in Cold Weather = $12,000 Heater sales in Hot Weather = $30,000 Expected income from both appliances = $21,000 Air Conditioner sales in Hot Weather = $30,000</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected utility at an income level of $20,000 for a risk-averse person?

<p>18 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a person's income increases from $10,000 to $20,000, their utility always increases.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What determines the expected value when considering job changes with two possible outcomes?

<p>Probability of each outcome</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the total percentage weight of group work and the final exam in the assessment for this module?

<p>100% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Plagiarism is accepted as long as the similarity percentage is low on Turnitin.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Who is the principal module leader for the Intermediate Microeconomics course?

<p>Dr. Muhammad Bilal</p> Signup and view all the answers

The assessment for the module includes a group work presentation and a ______ exam.

<p>final</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following individuals with their roles in the Intermediate Microeconomics course.

<p>Dr. Muhammad Bilal = Principal Module Leader Dr. Zohid Askarov = Co-module leader Mr. Murodullo Bazarov = Tutor</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the minimum qualifying mark percentage for group work?

<p>30% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The course includes a tutorial that lasts for 2 hours.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

List one way people can reduce risk as discussed in the lecture outline.

<p>Diversification</p> Signup and view all the answers

What condition describes a person who prefers a certain income over a risky income with the same expected value?

<p>Risk averse (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The expected utility of a risky job can be calculated by summing the utilities of all possible outcomes and weighing them by their probabilities.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected utility of the risky sales job described in the example?

<p>14</p> Signup and view all the answers

A consumer is classified as _____ when their marginal utility diminishes as income increases.

<p>risk averse</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the example of the new job, what is the assumed utility of the current job?

<p>13.5 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

A person who is risk loving would prefer a gamble with a higher potential payoff even if it comes with greater uncertainty.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What outcome probabilities are used in the example for the new job?

<p>0.5 for each outcome</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which job has a higher expected income?

<p>Both jobs have the same expected income (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The variance for Job 1: Commission is lower than that for Job 2: Fixed Salary.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation for Job 2: Fixed Salary?

<p>99.50</p> Signup and view all the answers

The formula for variance is 𝜎² = Σ Pᵢ (xᵢ − E(x))². The symbol 'E' stands for __________.

<p>expected value</p> Signup and view all the answers

Match the following jobs with their corresponding standard deviations:

<p>Job 1: Commission = $500 Job 2: Fixed Salary = $99.50</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability associated with the higher income outcome for Job 1?

<p>0.5 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Job 2 has a higher potential income than Job 1.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the deviation for the second outcome in Job 1?

<p>-500</p> Signup and view all the answers

The __________ is the square root of the variance and provides a measure of risk.

<p>standard deviation</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which outcome for Job 2 has the smallest probability?

<p>$510 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Measures of Risk

Quantifiable ways to describe and measure the potential outcomes of uncertain events.

People's Preferences toward Risk

The way individuals feel about potential gains and losses in uncertain situations. Some prefer to avoid risk, while others seek it.

Ways of Reducing Risk

Strategies people use to manage uncertainty. These include diversification, insurance, and even risk sharing.

Decision-Making Under Uncertainty

How people make decisions in the face of risk, considering both expected value and their subjective preferences.

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Probability

The likelihood that a specific event will occur. It can be determined by observing past frequencies or based on personal perceptions.

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Objective Probability

The interpretation of probability based on the frequency of events observed in the past. For example, the probability of getting heads when flipping a coin is 0.5 based on many past coin flips.

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Subjective Probability

The interpretation of probability based on personal beliefs or feelings about the likelihood of an event occurring. For example, you might feel more confident in winning a lottery than someone with a more realistic view.

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Payoff

The value associated with a particular outcome. It can be a monetary reward, utility, or any other quantifiable benefit.

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Expected Value

The average payoff expected from a decision, calculated by weighing each possible outcome by its probability. It tells you the average value you could expect from a risky situation.

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Variability

The range of possible outcomes of an uncertain event, indicating how much variation exists in potential results. Higher variability means the outcomes can be much different from each other.

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Uncertainty

The situation where the outcome of a decision is not known with certainty when the decision is made.

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Quantifying Risk

The act of quantifying the likelihood of various outcomes associated with a choice or event. It allows for a systematic approach to understanding and managing risk.

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Expected Utility

The sum of the utilities associated with all possible outcomes of a risky event, weighted by the probability of each outcome.

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Risk-Averse

A person who prefers a certain income over a risky income with the same expected value.

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Marginal Utility of Income

The change in utility from an additional dollar of income.

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Risk-Loving

A person who prefers a risky income over a certain income with the same expected value.

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Risk Aversion and Expected Utility

The expected utility of a risky income is less than the utility of a certain income with the same expected value.

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Risk Premium

The difference between the utility of receiving a certain income and the expected utility of a risky income with the same expected value.

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Risk Tolerance

The degree to which someone is risk-averse or risk-loving.

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Utility Function

A graphical representation of a consumer's utility function for income, showing the relationship between income and utility.

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Deviation

The extent to which the possible outcomes of an uncertain event differ from each other.

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Variance

The variance of a random variable is a measure of how spread out its possible outcomes are from the expected value.

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Standard Deviation

The standard deviation is the square root of the variance. It provides a measure of the spread of data points around the expected value.

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Risk and Standard Deviation

A decision's risk is higher when the possible outcomes are more spread out, as indicated by a larger standard deviation.

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Comparing Risk - Job 1 vs Job 2

Job 1 has a higher standard deviation compared to Job 2. This indicates that Job 1 has a higher risk potential, as the possible income outcomes are further spread out from the expected income.

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Probability-weighted average of squared deviations

The probability-weighted average of the squared deviations is calculated by multiplying each squared deviation by its corresponding probability and then summing those values.

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Calculating Standard Deviation

The square root of the variance is calculated by taking the square root of the probability-weighted average of squared deviations.

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Standard Deviation and Risk

A higher standard deviation represents a higher level of risk when comparing options like different jobs.

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Variance - A Dispersion Measure

The variance is a measure of how dispersed the possible outcomes are from the expected value.

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Marginal Utility

The additional satisfaction gained from consuming one more unit of a good or service.

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Diminishing Marginal Utility

When the marginal utility of each additional unit of a good or service decreases as consumption increases.

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Risk Neutral

A person who is indifferent between a certain outcome and an uncertain outcome with the same expected value.

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Diversification

The practice of spreading out investments or resources across different activities with uncorrelated outcomes to reduce overall risk.

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Risk Aversion

A situation where an individual is willing to give up a potential gain to avoid a potential loss, even if the expected value of the risky option is higher.

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Negatively Correlated Variables

Variables that move in opposite directions. When one increases, the other tends to decrease.

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Mutual Fund

A financial institution that pools money from individual investors to buy a wide range of assets, like stocks or bonds.

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Insurance

A strategy to minimize financial losses by transferring risk to an insurer. It involves paying a premium for coverage against potential losses.

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Law of Large Numbers

The principle that when many similar events are considered, the average outcome becomes predictable, even if individual events are random.

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Risk

The potential for profit or loss in an investment, influenced by market conditions and other factors.

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Study Notes

Intermediate Microeconomics - Fall 2024

Course Structure

  • Lectures: 2 hours per session
  • Tutorials: 2 hours per session

Assessment

  • Group work: 50% weighting, 30% qualifying mark, group poster presentation
  • Final Exam: 50% weighting, 30% qualifying mark, time-constrained in-class exam

Plagiarism Policy

  • Plagiarism will not be tolerated.
  • Using tricks to conceal plagiarism is ineffective.
  • Low similarity scores on Turnitin do not guarantee the absence of plagiarism.
  • Text manipulation to deceive Turnitin's algorithm is not allowed.
  • AI detection is in place.

Lecture 2: Uncertainty and Consumer Behavior

  • Outline:
    • Measures of risk
    • Preferences towards risk
    • Ways of reducing risk
    • Trade-offs in the amount of risk people wish to bear

5.1 Describing Risk

  • Probability: Likelihood of a specific outcome occurring. Objective probability relies on the frequency of events; subjective probability is based on perceptions.
  • Payoff: Value associated with a possible outcome.
  • Expected Value: Probability-weighted average of payoffs across all possible outcomes (E(x) = Σ[Pi(xi)]).
  • Variability: Extent to which possible outcomes differ.

5.2 Preferencing Towards Risk

  • Expected Utility: Sum of utilities associated with each possible outcome, weighted by their probabilities.

5.3 Reducing Risk

Additional Concepts

  • Risk Premium: Maximum amount a risk-averse person would pay to avoid a risk
  • Risk Averse: Preferring a certain outcome to a risky one even if they have the same expected value.
  • Risk Neutral: Indifferent between a certain outcome and a risky one with the same expected value.
  • Risk Loving: Preferring a risky outcome to a certain one even if they have the same expected value.

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