Expert Opinion in Estimation Quiz
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Questions and Answers

What is the purpose of using the Delphi method in reference case analysis?

  • To collect cost-effectiveness data
  • To guess the true value of a cost-effectiveness input
  • To estimate the value of a parameter using expert opinions (correct)
  • To publish electronic sources for parameter values

    • Why might it be unusual for a group of experts to correctly guess the true value of a cost-effectiveness input?

  • Experts are unwilling to provide accurate estimations
  • The true value is always provided in published sources
  • The true value is often unknown and hard to estimate accurately (correct)
  • Experts are not knowledgeable enough to make accurate guesses

    • What does the Delphi method require in the reference case analysis?

  • A formal process using the opinion of experts (correct)
  • Guessing the highest and lowest possible values for a parameter
  • Unpublished sources for parameter values
  • Collecting cost-effectiveness data

    • In what situation would cost-effectiveness data be collected using the opinion of experts?

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