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Questions and Answers
What is a major limitation of cross-sectional studies?
What is a major limitation of cross-sectional studies?
What is a strength of observational studies?
What is a strength of observational studies?
What is a key consideration when appraising the quality of an observational study?
What is a key consideration when appraising the quality of an observational study?
What is a characteristic of systematic reviews?
What is a characteristic of systematic reviews?
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What is a limitation of observational studies?
What is a limitation of observational studies?
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What is a characteristic of cross-sectional studies?
What is a characteristic of cross-sectional studies?
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What is a limitation of systematic reviews?
What is a limitation of systematic reviews?
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What is a strength of N of 1 studies?
What is a strength of N of 1 studies?
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What is a limitation of preclinical studies?
What is a limitation of preclinical studies?
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What is an advantage of meta-analysis?
What is an advantage of meta-analysis?
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What is a characteristic of a strong systematic review?
What is a characteristic of a strong systematic review?
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What is a limitation of N of 1 studies?
What is a limitation of N of 1 studies?
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What is a strength of preclinical studies?
What is a strength of preclinical studies?
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What is a consideration when evaluating evidence from preclinical studies?
What is a consideration when evaluating evidence from preclinical studies?
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What is the primary concern of 'imprecision' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the primary concern of 'imprecision' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the main purpose of a forest plot in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the main purpose of a forest plot in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What would increase the certainty of evidence in a study?
What would increase the certainty of evidence in a study?
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What is the concern of 'indirectness' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the concern of 'indirectness' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the purpose of GRADE in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the purpose of GRADE in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the main concern of 'publication bias' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the main concern of 'publication bias' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the concern of 'inconsistency' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the concern of 'inconsistency' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the primary concern of 'risk of bias' in assessing individual studies?
What is the primary concern of 'risk of bias' in assessing individual studies?
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What is the primary goal of intention to treat analysis in RCTs?
What is the primary goal of intention to treat analysis in RCTs?
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Which type of method is used to assess compliance in RCTs?
Which type of method is used to assess compliance in RCTs?
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What is a limitation of per-protocol analysis?
What is a limitation of per-protocol analysis?
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Why is it difficult to conduct RCTs?
Why is it difficult to conduct RCTs?
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What is a benefit of intention to treat analysis?
What is a benefit of intention to treat analysis?
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What is a common issue in RCTs that can lead to bias?
What is a common issue in RCTs that can lead to bias?
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What is a technique used in intention to treat analysis to handle missing data?
What is a technique used in intention to treat analysis to handle missing data?
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Why is per-protocol analysis not recommended?
Why is per-protocol analysis not recommended?
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What is the primary concern of 'imprecision' when assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the primary concern of 'imprecision' when assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the purpose of a funnel plot in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the purpose of a funnel plot in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the concern of 'inconsistency' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the concern of 'inconsistency' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the key consideration when rating the certainty of evidence down due to indirectness?
What is the key consideration when rating the certainty of evidence down due to indirectness?
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What increases the certainty of evidence in a study?
What increases the certainty of evidence in a study?
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What is the purpose of GRADE in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the purpose of GRADE in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What would decrease the certainty of evidence in a study?
What would decrease the certainty of evidence in a study?
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What is the concern of 'publication bias' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the concern of 'publication bias' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is a major advantage of cross-sectional studies?
What is a major advantage of cross-sectional studies?
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What is a key limitation of observational studies?
What is a key limitation of observational studies?
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What is an important consideration when appraising the quality of an observational study?
What is an important consideration when appraising the quality of an observational study?
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What is a key characteristic of systematic reviews?
What is a key characteristic of systematic reviews?
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What is a potential source of bias in observational studies?
What is a potential source of bias in observational studies?
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What is a key consideration when evaluating the quality of an observational study?
What is a key consideration when evaluating the quality of an observational study?
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What is the primary goal of the GRADE framework?
What is the primary goal of the GRADE framework?
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What does a high certainty rating in the GRADE framework indicate?
What does a high certainty rating in the GRADE framework indicate?
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What is an example of a risk of bias in a study?
What is an example of a risk of bias in a study?
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What is the purpose of informing patients about the risks and benefits of a treatment?
What is the purpose of informing patients about the risks and benefits of a treatment?
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What is the purpose of considering alternatives in clinical decision making?
What is the purpose of considering alternatives in clinical decision making?
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What is the purpose of monitoring patient response in clinical decision making?
What is the purpose of monitoring patient response in clinical decision making?
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What is the purpose of grading the evidence in clinical decision making?
What is the purpose of grading the evidence in clinical decision making?
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What is the main concern of publication bias in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the main concern of publication bias in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the main purpose of considering the factors of consistency, precision, and applicability in a study?
What is the main purpose of considering the factors of consistency, precision, and applicability in a study?
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A recommendation is considered weak when:
A recommendation is considered weak when:
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What is the primary purpose of a GRADE-assessed systematic review and meta-analysis?
What is the primary purpose of a GRADE-assessed systematic review and meta-analysis?
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In the context of a recommendation, what is 'equity' a consideration of?
In the context of a recommendation, what is 'equity' a consideration of?
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What is the main difference between a strong and a weak recommendation?
What is the main difference between a strong and a weak recommendation?
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What is the purpose of considering the 'resources' in the context of a recommendation?
What is the purpose of considering the 'resources' in the context of a recommendation?
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What is the main purpose of a systematic review and meta-analysis?
What is the main purpose of a systematic review and meta-analysis?
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What is the significance of a weighted mean difference (WMD) in a meta-analysis?
What is the significance of a weighted mean difference (WMD) in a meta-analysis?
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What is the focus of GRADE when assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the focus of GRADE when assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the concern of 'indirectness' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the concern of 'indirectness' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the primary concern of 'inconsistency' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the primary concern of 'inconsistency' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the purpose of a funnel plot in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the purpose of a funnel plot in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What would increase the certainty of evidence in a study?
What would increase the certainty of evidence in a study?
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What is the primary advantage of meta-analysis?
What is the primary advantage of meta-analysis?
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What is a limitation of N of 1 studies?
What is a limitation of N of 1 studies?
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What is the primary concern of 'imprecision' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the primary concern of 'imprecision' in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is the purpose of GRADE in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the purpose of GRADE in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is a strength of preclinical studies?
What is a strength of preclinical studies?
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What is a limitation of systematic reviews?
What is a limitation of systematic reviews?
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What is the primary goal of the GRADE framework?
What is the primary goal of the GRADE framework?
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What is the primary purpose of a comprehensive search in a systematic review?
What is the primary purpose of a comprehensive search in a systematic review?
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What is a consideration when evaluating evidence from preclinical studies?
What is a consideration when evaluating evidence from preclinical studies?
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What is the primary advantage of N of 1 studies?
What is the primary advantage of N of 1 studies?
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What is a limitation of using preclinical evidence to guide clinical recommendations?
What is a limitation of using preclinical evidence to guide clinical recommendations?
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What is the main purpose of considering evidence, benefits/harms, equity, resources, feasibility, and acceptability in making a recommendation?
What is the main purpose of considering evidence, benefits/harms, equity, resources, feasibility, and acceptability in making a recommendation?
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What is a characteristic of a weak recommendation?
What is a characteristic of a weak recommendation?
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What is the purpose of conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis?
What is the purpose of conducting a systematic review and meta-analysis?
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What is the benefit of using the GRADE framework in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
What is the benefit of using the GRADE framework in assessing the risk of bias in individual studies?
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What is a characteristic of a strong recommendation?
What is a characteristic of a strong recommendation?
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What is the primary goal of shared decision making in the context of recommendations?
What is the primary goal of shared decision making in the context of recommendations?
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What is the benefit of considering the baseline characteristics of participants in a systematic review and meta-analysis?
What is the benefit of considering the baseline characteristics of participants in a systematic review and meta-analysis?
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What is the purpose of blinding in a study?
What is the purpose of blinding in a study?
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What is an example of a confounding factor?
What is an example of a confounding factor?
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What is the purpose of clearly defining a population in a study?
What is the purpose of clearly defining a population in a study?
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What can influence the sample in a study?
What can influence the sample in a study?
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What is an important aspect of reporting results in a study?
What is an important aspect of reporting results in a study?
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Why are certain populations often excluded from clinical trials?
Why are certain populations often excluded from clinical trials?
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What is the primary goal of the GRADE framework?
What is the primary goal of the GRADE framework?
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What does a 'high' certainty rating in the GRADE framework indicate?
What does a 'high' certainty rating in the GRADE framework indicate?
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What is an example of a risk of bias in a study?
What is an example of a risk of bias in a study?
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What is the purpose of informing patients about the risks and benefits of a treatment?
What is the purpose of informing patients about the risks and benefits of a treatment?
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What is the purpose of considering alternatives in clinical decision making?
What is the purpose of considering alternatives in clinical decision making?
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What is the purpose of monitoring patient response in clinical decision making?
What is the purpose of monitoring patient response in clinical decision making?
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Why is it important to evaluate the quality of evidence in clinical decision making?
Why is it important to evaluate the quality of evidence in clinical decision making?
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What is the purpose of a systematic review in evaluating evidence?
What is the purpose of a systematic review in evaluating evidence?
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What is the primary purpose of a surrogate outcome in a clinical study?
What is the primary purpose of a surrogate outcome in a clinical study?
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What does an odds ratio of 1 indicate in a clinical study?
What does an odds ratio of 1 indicate in a clinical study?
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What is a common issue with surrogate outcomes?
What is a common issue with surrogate outcomes?
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What is the primary difference between clinical significance and statistical significance?
What is the primary difference between clinical significance and statistical significance?
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What is the purpose of power in a clinical study?
What is the purpose of power in a clinical study?
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What is an example of a clinical outcome?
What is an example of a clinical outcome?
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What does a p-value of less than 0.05 indicate in a clinical study?
What does a p-value of less than 0.05 indicate in a clinical study?
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What is a limitation of using surrogate outcomes in clinical studies?
What is a limitation of using surrogate outcomes in clinical studies?
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What is the primary reason why a non-significant difference may be found in a study?
What is the primary reason why a non-significant difference may be found in a study?
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What is the relative risk reduction in the example where the event rate is 12% in the treatment group and 20% in the control group?
What is the relative risk reduction in the example where the event rate is 12% in the treatment group and 20% in the control group?
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What is the absolute risk reduction in the example where the event rate is 12% in the treatment group and 20% in the control group?
What is the absolute risk reduction in the example where the event rate is 12% in the treatment group and 20% in the control group?
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Why may a large difference be seen between the absolute risk reduction and the relative risk reduction when the outcome occurs infrequently?
Why may a large difference be seen between the absolute risk reduction and the relative risk reduction when the outcome occurs infrequently?
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What is the primary goal of hypothesis testing in statistics?
What is the primary goal of hypothesis testing in statistics?
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What is the purpose of the odds ratio in a study?
What is the purpose of the odds ratio in a study?
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What is the difference between incidence and prevalence?
What is the difference between incidence and prevalence?
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What is the scenario where the intervention reduces the risk from 4% to 3%?
What is the scenario where the intervention reduces the risk from 4% to 3%?
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What is the significance of the p-value of 0.055 in the example comparing the hemoglobin A1c levels in two groups?
What is the significance of the p-value of 0.055 in the example comparing the hemoglobin A1c levels in two groups?
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What is the purpose of a 95% confidence interval?
What is the purpose of a 95% confidence interval?
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What is the interpretation of a p-value of 0.03?
What is the interpretation of a p-value of 0.03?
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What is the implication of a 50% relative risk reduction in the risk of SIDS with pacifier use?
What is the implication of a 50% relative risk reduction in the risk of SIDS with pacifier use?
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What is the difference between a sample and a population?
What is the difference between a sample and a population?
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What is the purpose of calculating the number needed to treat?
What is the purpose of calculating the number needed to treat?
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What is the difference between absolute and relative risk?
What is the difference between absolute and relative risk?
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What is the purpose of calculating the odds ratio?
What is the purpose of calculating the odds ratio?
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Study Notes
Cross-Sectional Studies
- Compare current disease status and current exposure
- Strengths: Can study rare outcomes, faster, and no recall bias
- Weaknesses: Assignment to comparison group is not random, no assessment of temporality, and only assessing one outcome
Observational Studies
- Can study any question, less expensive or faster than intervention studies
- Limitations: Not randomly assigned to exposure groups, investigate correlation, not necessarily causation
Appraising the Quality of Observational Studies
- Recruitment: Do participants reflect the population of interest? (Selection Bias)
- Assessment of exposure: accurate, subjective or objective, validated, and measurement or classification bias
- Consideration of confounding factors
Systematic Reviews
- Strengths: Explicit and rigorous methods, scientific investigation with pre-planned methodology, enormous effort to minimize bias, capture the big picture of evidence on a topic, and meta-analysis allows for a larger sample size
- Limitations: Only as good as the available studies, publication bias, lack of research on a topic, and can't replace good clinical reasoning
What Makes a Strong Systematic Review?
- Clear question
- Comprehensive search
- Assessment of study quality
N of 1 Study
- Strengths: Look at real-world use of an intervention, allows for individualization, and compare naturopathic and conventional treatments
- Limitations: Doesn't work if the condition is curable or self-limiting, findings may not be generalizable, ethics, and high cost
Preclinical Studies
- Strengths: Allow for creativity and innovation, study possible adverse events or interactions, and high level of control
- Limitations: May not be clinically applicable to humans, highly controlled, and one isolated part of the story
Considerations
- Is pre-clinical evidence sufficient to guide clinical recommendations?
- Assessing risk of bias in individual studies and the body of evidence as a whole
GRADE Framework
- Imprecision: Are the results due to chance? Focus on 95% confidence interval
- Inconsistency: Many similar studies showing a consistent effect increase certainty
- Indirectness: Certainty is downrated when the intervention of interest is not studied in the population of interest and reporting the outcome of interest
- Publication Bias: Is this really all of the research evidence that exists?
What Makes Evidence More Certain?
- Large magnitude of effect
- Dose-response gradient
- All residual confounding would increase our confidence in an effect
- Ex. A very large observational or non-randomized study without other limitations
Compliance
- Should be assessed using simple methods like diary, pill count, phone calls, and questioning, or biological methods like blood/urine levels (although costly)
Withdrawals
- Important to account for missing data, with two approaches:
- Per-protocol analysis: only analyzes people in the intervention group who completed the study
- Intention to treat analysis: analyzes everyone in the group they were randomized to, even if they didn't complete or ended up in the other group
Risk of Per-Protocol Analysis
- Can lead to biased results due to systematic factors impacting who drops out (e.g., side effects, acceptability, impact on outcome)
Intention to Treat Analysis
- Techniques: last observation carried forward, statistical approaches
- Best way to minimize bias from dropouts
- Cautious, under-estimates effect (vs. per-protocol analysis, which over-estimates effect)
RCT Limitations
- Difficult to recall bias
- Only assessing one outcome
- Participants may not be representative of the population
Cross-Sectional Studies
- Compare current disease status and current exposure
- Strengths: can study rare outcomes, faster, no recall bias
- Weaknesses: assignment to comparison group is not random, no assessment of temporality, only assessing one outcome
Observational Studies
- Strengths: can study any question, less expensive or faster than intervention studies
- Limitations: not randomly assigned to exposure groups, investigate correlation, not causation
Appraising Quality of Observational Studies
- Recruitment: do participants reflect the population of interest? (selection bias)
- Assessment of exposure: accurate? (measurement or classification bias)
- Consideration of confounding factors?
Systematic Reviews
- Explicit and rigorous methods to identify, critically appraise, and synthesize evidence
- Informed consent, consider alternatives, monitor patient response and safety, alter treatment if needed
Grading the Evidence
- GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations) framework
- Transparent framework for developing and presenting summaries of evidence
- Systematic approach to clinical decision making
How GRADE Works
- Clinical question (PICO format)
- Systematic review provides an estimate of the effect size of an outcome
- Author rates the quality of the evidence and strength of recommendations
GRADE Certainty Rating
- Certainty: whether an estimate of association or effect is correct or true
- Five levels of certainty: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high
What Makes Evidence Less Certain?
- Risk of bias
- Imprecision
- Inconsistency
- Indirectness
- Publication bias
What Makes Evidence More Certain?
- Large magnitude of effect
- Dose-response gradient
- All residual confounding would increase confidence in an effect
- Large observational or non-randomized studies without other limitations
GRADE: 2 Parts
- Certainty of Evidence
- Recommendation Strength
- Consider evidence, benefits/harms, equity, resources, feasibility, acceptability
Selection Bias
- Sample confounding factors: age, gender, family history, comorbidities, BMI, socioeconomic status, marital status, education, exercise, diet, and other known or unknown factors
- Blinding: removes expectation bias; types of blinding include single blinding (participants), double blinding (person delivering the intervention), and triple blinding (person assessing the outcome)
- Clearly defined population: participants are a sample of a larger population; inclusion and exclusion criteria help define the population; consider generalizability (e.g., more or less ill, different ethnicity or geographic location)
Bias in Measurement of Outcomes
- Reporting of results: includes power calculation, reporting of planned measurements, and consideration of missing data and p-values
- Systematic review: a scientific investigation with pre-planned methodology to minimize bias; allows for the creation of a larger sample size and captures the big picture of evidence on a topic
- Limitations of systematic review: only as good as the available studies; can't replace good clinical reasoning
N of 1 Study
- Strengths: looks at real-world use of an intervention; allows for individualization and comparison of naturopathic and conventional treatments
- Limitations: doesn't work if the condition is curable or self-limiting; findings may not be generalizable; high cost and ethical concerns
Preclinical Study
- Strengths: allows for creativity and innovation; investigates mechanism of action; studies possible adverse events or interactions
- Limitations: may not be clinically applicable to humans; highly controlled; only one isolated part of the story
Grading the Evidence
- GRADE: a transparent framework for developing and presenting summaries of evidence; systematic approach to clinical decision making
- Grading of evidence: considers certainty of effect, imprecision, inconsistency, indirectness, and publication bias
- Recommendation strength: considers evidence, benefits/harms, equity, resources, feasibility, and acceptability
Certainty of Evidence
- Risk of bias: bias in individual studies; many tools for assessing risk of bias
- Imprecision: are the results due to chance? Focuses on 95% confidence interval
- Inconsistency: compares results of individual studies; looks at forest plots and statistical heterogeneity
- Indirectness: considers if the intervention was studied in the population of interest and reported the outcome of interest
- Publication bias: considers if all relevant studies were included; uses visual and statistical methods for assessment
What Makes Evidence More Certain?
- Large magnitude of effect
- Dose-response gradient
- All residual confounding would increase confidence in an effect
- Ex. A very large observational or non-randomized study without other limitations
GRADE: 2 Parts
- Certainty of evidence: how likely is it that something works?
- Recommendation strength: should it be recommended for use? Consider evidence, benefits/harms, equity, resources, feasibility, and acceptability
Statistics
- Define terms: sample, population, incidence, prevalence, and power
Population vs Sample
- Population: entire group of interest
- Sample: subset of population for study
Prevalence and Incidence
- Prevalence: total number of cases suffering from a disorder (e.g. 26,630 HIV-positive persons in Ontario in 2008)
- Incidence: number of new cases suffering from a disorder (e.g. 1,620 new HIV infections in Ontario in 2008, ~0.0001 or 1 in 10,000)
Hypothesis Testing
- Process of deciding whether study findings reflect chance or real effect
- Involves:
- Difference in group means (averages)
- Difference in likelihood of an outcome
- Statistical significance (real differences or chance?)
Statistical Significance: P-Value
- P-value: probability of difference being due to chance
- Generally, 0.05 is the cut-off (5% likelihood)
- If p > 0.05, not significant; if p < 0.05, significant
Statistical Significance: CI
- 95% Confidence Interval (CI): range of values within which the true result is likely to lie
- If CI intervals overlap, non-significant difference; if they don't, significantly different
Relative Risk
- Probability of a bad outcome in the intervention group divided by probability of a bad outcome in the control group
- RR = 1: no difference; RR > 1: increased risk; RR < 1: decreased risk
Relative Risk Reduction
- How much did the treatment reduce the risk of the bad outcome?
- RRR = 1 - relative risk
Absolute vs Relative Risk Reduction
- Absolute RR: absolute amount the intervention decreased the risk
- ARR = risk of outcome with placebo - risk with mediation
- ARR and RRR can be misleading when outcomes occur infrequently
Odds Ratio
- Measures the relationship between an exposure and an outcome
- Often used in observational studies
- OR = 1: exposure does not affect the likelihood of the outcome; OR > 1: exposure associated with increased likelihood of the outcome
Outcomes
- Clinical outcomes: actual events or conditions (e.g. stroke, suicide, hip fracture)
- Surrogate outcomes: indicators of disease progression, not clinical events (e.g. biomarkers, LDL-Cholesterol, Columbia Suicide Severity Scale)
- Surrogate outcomes must be validated to ensure they predict the true outcome
Clinical Significance
- Does the intervention have a genuine, measurable effect?
- Related to extent of change and whether it makes a real difference in patients' lives
- No broadly accepted standard for clinical significance
Power
- Ability of a study to detect a real difference between two groups
- Depends on sample size, ability to detect differences, and extent of change
Studying That Suits You
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Description
This quiz covers the characteristics of cross-sectional studies and observational studies in epidemiology, including their strengths and limitations.