Epidemiology: Confounding Variables and Study Design

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39 Questions

What is a stronger design in studying the relationship between exposure and outcome?

Cohort study

What suggests a causal relationship between exposure and outcome?

A dose-response gradient

What is the purpose of examining the confidence interval around the estimate of risk?

To estimate the strength of the association

What does the upper boundary of the confidence interval indicate in a negative study?

The largest possible adverse effect

What is the first question to ask in critical appraisal of a cohort study?

Did the trial address a clearly focused question?

What is important to ensure in comparing the control and exposed groups in a cohort study?

Similarity in relevant factors at the start of the study

What is the minimum follow-up percentage required in a cohort study?

80%

What is a limitation of case-control studies?

It can establish cause-and-effect relationships

Why are case-control studies used for rare outcomes?

Because they can estimate the risk of a rare outcome

What is a potential bias in case-control studies?

All of the above

What is the purpose of blinding participants and interviewers in case-control studies?

To reduce bias

What can clinicians infer from the results of observational studies, including case-control studies?

Associations between exposure and outcome, but not causal relationships

What is a challenge in case-control studies?

Ensuring comparability of exposed and non-exposed groups

Why may exposed patients be more likely to recall exposure than control group members?

Both a and b

What is important to ensure in case-control studies to increase confidence in the findings?

Unbiased exposure status

What is an advantage of systematic reviews?

They provide more reliable and accurate conclusions

What is an important step in evaluating a systematic review?

Determining if the question and methods were clearly stated

Why are quantitative systematic reviews (meta-analyses) useful?

They increase the precision of the overall result

What should be assessed when evaluating the methodological quality of primary studies?

The methodological quality of the study

Why is it important to establish generalizability of findings in systematic reviews?

To establish consistency of results across different populations

What should be adequately explained in a systematic review?

The differences in individual study results

Why is a thorough search of databases and other sources important in a systematic review?

To locate all relevant studies

What should be assessed when evaluating the conclusions of a systematic review?

Whether the conclusions are supported by the data

What is the primary justification for conducting a case control study?

To examine rare outcomes

What is a key characteristic of a systematic review?

It contains a statement of objectives, materials, and methods

What is the purpose of a critical appraisal checklist?

To evaluate the quality of a study

What is a 'population-based' case control study?

A study that is stronger and more representative of the population

What is the purpose of evaluating the precision of the estimate of the exposure effect?

To determine the confidence limits of the effect

Why is it important to evaluate the relevance of the study results?

To determine if the study is applicable to your population

What is a key difference between a case control study and a cohort study?

The direction of the study

What is the purpose of matching cases and controls in a case control study?

To ensure similarity between the two groups

What is important to consider when evaluating the applicability of guideline recommendations to your practice?

The generalizability of study results to your patients

What should guidelines take into account when considering the needs of patients?

The needs and priorities of patients

What is an important aspect of internal validity in guidelines?

The relevance of the management options and outcomes

Why is it important to consider the magnitude of the effect in guidelines?

To determine the strength of the recommendations

What should guidelines include to ensure their successful implementation?

Recommendations for their own dissemination, implementation, and regular review

What is important to consider when evaluating the relevance of guidelines to your practice?

The relevance of the guidelines to your practice setting

What is an important aspect of evaluating the clinical relevance of guidelines?

The relevance of the management options and outcomes

Why is it important to consider the perspective of the practicing doctor, nurse, midwife, and so on when developing guidelines?

To ensure the guidelines are clinically relevant and comprehensive

Study Notes

Assessing Rare Outcomes

  • Case-control studies are used to investigate rare outcomes or those that take a long time to develop
  • Important prognostic factors that investigators are not aware of or have not measured may be unbalanced between groups and responsible for differences in outcome

Limitations of Case-Control Studies

  • Susceptible to spurious associations and confounding variables
  • Choice of controls may inadvertently create spurious associations
  • Clinicians can only draw limited strength inferences from the results of observational studies, even after adjusting for known determinants of outcome

Bias in Case-Control Studies

  • Recall bias: cases may be more likely to recall exposure than controls due to increased motivation or probing by interviewers
  • Interviewer bias: interviewers may inadvertently probe cases more than controls
  • Blinding participants and interviewers to the study hypothesis can minimize bias

Evaluating Study Results

  • Confidence intervals provide a range of values within which the true effect is likely to lie
  • Statistical significance: a positive study indicates an association between exposure and outcome, while a negative study suggests no association
  • Dose-response gradient: an increase in risk with increasing exposure or duration supports a causal relationship between exposure and outcome

Critical Appraisal Checklist for Cohort Studies

  • A. Validity and bias:
    • Did the study address a clearly focused question (PEO)?
    • Was the study prospective or retrospective?
    • Were the two groups similar in relevant factors at the start of the study?
    • Were all participants properly accounted for, and was follow-up > 80%?
  • B. Results:
    • How large was the effect of the exposure?
    • How precise was the estimate of the exposure effect?
  • C. Relevance:
    • Were the study participants sufficiently different from the target population?

Critical Appraisal Checklist for Case-Control Studies

  • A. Validity and bias:
    • Did the study address a clearly focused question (PEO)?
    • Were the authors interested in rare or uncommon outcomes?
    • Was the study population-based or not?
    • Were the two groups similar in other important factors at the start of the study?
    • Were there four or fewer controls matched to each case?
  • B. Results:
    • How large was the effect of the exposure?
    • How precise was the estimate of the exposure effect?
  • C. Relevance:
    • Were the study participants sufficiently different from the target population?

Systematic Reviews

  • A systematic review is an overview of primary studies that contains a statement of objectives, materials, and methods, and is conducted according to explicit and reproducible methodology
  • Advantages of systematic reviews:
    • Explicit methods limit bias in identifying and rejecting studies
    • Conclusions are more reliable and accurate
    • Large amounts of information can be quickly read and compared
    • Quantitative systematic reviews increase the precision of the overall result

Evaluating Systematic Reviews

  • Can you find an important clinical question that the review addressed?
  • Was a thorough search done of the appropriate database(s) and other potentially important sources?
  • Was methodological quality assessed and the trials weighted accordingly?
  • Were the question and methods clearly stated and comprehensive search methods used?
  • Were the differences in individual study results adequately explained, and were the results of the primary studies combined appropriately?

Practice Guidelines

  • Questions to ask about a set of guidelines:
    • Are the guidelines clinically relevant, comprehensive, and flexible?
    • Do the guidelines take into account what is acceptable to, affordable by, and practically possible for patients?
    • Did the guidelines include recommendations for their own dissemination, implementation, and regular review?

Checklist for Practice Guidelines

  • A. Internal validity:
    • Were the management options and outcomes clearly specified?
    • Was all evidence relevant to each arm of the evidence model sought?
    • Were systematic and explicit methods used to identify, select, and combine evidence?
    • Were all clinically relevant outcomes evaluated?
    • Is the guideline up to date?
  • B. Magnitude of the effect:
    • How strong are the recommendations?
    • What is the impact of uncertainty in the evidence on outcomes?
  • C. Applicability:
    • Are the guideline recommendations targeting my practice?
    • Is my patient the intended target for this guideline?

This quiz assesses understanding of confounding variables and their impact on study outcomes, including the limitations of statistical techniques in adjusting for differences.

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