Economic Judgments and Heuristics
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Questions and Answers

What psychological phenomenon describes the greater impact of losses compared to gains in decision-making?

  • Anchoring effect
  • Loss aversion (correct)
  • Endowment effect
  • Confirmation bias

Which heuristic involves relying on specific instances or examples when making a judgement?

  • Sunk cost fallacy
  • Anchoring
  • Availability heuristic (correct)
  • Representative heuristic

What term describes the phenomenon where individuals assign greater value to items merely because they own them?

  • Confirmation bias
  • Psychological ownership
  • Cognitive dissonance
  • Endowment effect (correct)

Which technique is frequently used to enhance psychological ownership through interaction with a product?

<p>Free trials (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What strategy can lead people to make decisions based on prior investments rather than current value?

<p>Sunk cost fallacy (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What principle explains why losing is perceived as more impactful than gaining?

<p>Loss aversion (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much would need to be offered to entice most people to take a gamble under loss aversion principles?

<p>225 € (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is NOT a component of systematic thinking when making economic judgments?

<p>Using emotions as the primary guide (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Prospect Theory, what is the most likely reaction to a scenario of losing 10 €?

<p>You would experience more discontent from potential losses than joy from potential gains. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of economic judgments, which term relates to the use of simplified strategies to make decisions?

<p>Heuristics (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which scenario best reflects a gain reference point in an economic decision?

<p>You receive 20 € if heads is flipped and lose nothing if tails is flipped. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does maximizing utility involve in economic decision-making?

<p>Selecting options that provide the most benefit to the decision-maker. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does risk aversion imply in the context of gains?

<p>Individuals prefer certain outcomes over probabilistic ones. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary focus of the availability heuristic?

<p>The ease with which information is recalled affects decision-making. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what situation does loss aversion typically occur?

<p>When individuals are faced with certain losses. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does anchoring affect decision-making?

<p>It biases judgments based on initial value exposure. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement best describes heuristics?

<p>They are cognitive shortcuts that often lead to biases. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What can be a consequence of using heuristics in decision-making?

<p>Individuals are likely to reach biased conclusions. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What effect does the framing of information have on decision-making?

<p>It alters the perception of risks and benefits. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which feature is likely to make information more accessible in decision-making?

<p>Information that is extreme or negative. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the relationship between biases and heuristics?

<p>Biases arise from the inappropriate application of heuristics. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What concept describes when initial values unreasonably affect judgments?

<p>Anchoring effect (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Anchoring Effect

Our tendency to overemphasize initial information, or an 'anchor,' when making decisions, even if it's irrelevant.

Loss Aversion

Loss aversion is the tendency to feel the pain of losing something more strongly than the pleasure of gaining something of equal value.

Endowment Effect

The Endowment Effect is the tendency to place a higher value on something we own or have access to, simply because it's ours. We feel a sense of ownership.

Availability Heuristic

A cognitive bias where people tend to make decisions based on the information that is most readily available in their minds, rather than considering all possibilities.

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Representative Heuristic

A type of mental shortcut used when making judgments about people or situations. We tend to categorize things based on how similar they are to our existing mental prototypes or stereotypes.

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Reference Point

The point from which we perceive gains and losses. We anchor on this point and then evaluate outcomes relative to it.

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Prospect Theory

A theory that suggests people make decisions based on subjective perceptions of value rather than purely rational calculations, particularly influenced by emotions and heuristics.

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Heuristics

Simple rules or mental shortcuts that people use to make decisions quickly, even if they may lead to biases.

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Cognitive Biases

Systematic errors in thinking that occur due to the use of heuristics, leading to irrational or inaccurate judgements.

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Behavioral Economics

The study of how people make decisions involving risks and uncertainty, considering both rational and irrational factors.

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Anchoring

A mental shortcut where an initial piece of information, or anchor, influences subsequent judgments, even if the anchor is irrelevant.

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Representativeness Heuristic

The tendency to judge the probability of an event based on how similar it is to an existing prototype or stereotype, without considering base rates.

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Framing Effect

The tendency to perceive a situation as more favorable or unfavorable based on how it is framed, even if the underlying information is the same.

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Availability Bias

A cognitive bias where people overestimate the likelihood of an event based on its salience or vividness, ignoring other relevant information.

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Correlation vs. Causation

The tendency to misinterpret correlation as causation, assuming that because two events happen together, one must cause the other.

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Ignoring Base Rates

Overlooking the base rate of an event, meaning the overall frequency of the event in a population, when making judgments about the probability of an individual case.

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Study Notes

Learning Outcomes

  • After the session, learners will be able to understand how people make economic judgments.
  • Learners will be able to identify heuristics.
  • Learners will be able to spot the use of techniques based on heuristics and economic judgments.

Session Content

  • How do people process information and make economic judgments?
    • Prospect theory
    • Heuristics and biases
    • Break
    • Application observing a real case

Economic Judgments

  • Use reason and apply logic.
  • Maximize utility.
  • Employ systematic thinking.
  • Apply logical rules.
  • Understand inferences.
  • Testing this idea:
    • Choose one of the options:
      • Prefer not to play
      • Toss a coin; heads you win 100€, tails you lose 100€.

Prospect Theory (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979)

  • Loss aversion:
    • Asymmetric perception of gains and losses.
    • Gaining is liked but losing is disliked more.
    • Losing is approximately 2.25 times stronger than gaining.
    • Loss aversion example:
      • Choose one:
        • Prefer not to play
        • Toss a coin for a gain of 100€ or a loss of 100€
        • To get most to play, the offer needed exceeds 225€ if the person wins.
  • Gains or losses reference points
    • Gain example:
      • Choice 1: You are given 10€.
      • Choice 2: Coin toss for 20€ gain or 0€.
    • Loss example:
      • Choice 1: You give 10€.
      • Choice 2: Coin toss for 20€ loss or 0€.
    • Gain = Risk aversion.
    • Loss = Risk seeking.

Efficient Information Processors

  • Heuristics:
    • Mental shortcuts or rules of thumb.
    • Used for quick decisions.
  • Biases:
    • Judgments that do not follow logic.
    • Often arise due to use of heuristics.
    • Use of heuristics will lead to either most logical conclusion or a bias.

Availability Heuristic

  • Decisions are based on information.
  • Information's activation varies.
  • Decisions depend on ease of access to information.
  • Factors affecting ease of access: recentness, frequency, extremity, negativity

Anchoring

  • An initial value forms a reference point.
  • Judgment of product value is influenced by the anchor.
  • Anchoring occurs even when the anchor is irrelevant to the judgment.
  • Example: experiment, rigged wheel (10 or 65), what is the proportion of African countries in the UN?

Additional Information

  • The session will include various images and texts.
  • Participants will vote on the correct answer.
  • Availability and anchoring are recurring themes.
  • Endowment and marketing discussions will follow.

Endowment Effect

  • An increased likelihood of object retention.
  • Characterized by loss aversion and psychological ownership.

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Description

Explore how people process information and make economic judgments through the lens of heuristics and biases. This quiz will help you understand key concepts from prospect theory and the psychological factors influencing decision-making. Gain insights into loss aversion and decision preferences in economics.

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