Deductive Reasoning and Decision Making Quiz

Choose a study mode

Play Quiz
Study Flashcards
Spaced Repetition
Chat to Lesson

Podcast

Play an AI-generated podcast conversation about this lesson

Questions and Answers

What is the primary function of deductive reasoning?

  • To derive a specific conclusion from assumed true premises. (correct)
  • To analyze emotional influences on problem-solving.
  • To generate multiple possible outcomes from a set of scenarios.
  • To evaluate the importance of heuristics in decision making.

What type of reasoning is characterized by starting with general principles to reach specific conclusions?

  • Deductive Reasoning (correct)
  • Analogical Reasoning
  • Inductive Reasoning
  • Abductive Reasoning

Which of the following is NOT a heuristic mentioned in decision making?

  • Anchoring Heuristic
  • Framing Heuristic (correct)
  • Representativeness Heuristic
  • Availability Heuristic

What is the framing effect in the context of decision making?

<p>The influence of how information is presented on decision outcomes. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement best describes the role of heuristics in decision making?

<p>Heuristics simplify the decision-making process by using mental shortcuts. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What psychological phenomenon occurs when people overestimate the accuracy of their decisions?

<p>Overconfidence Bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a characteristic of hindsight bias?

<p>The belief that past events were more predictable than they actually were. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which heuristic relies on immediate examples that come to mind?

<p>Availability Heuristic (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the phrase 'it’s a good bet' imply in logical reasoning?

<p>It suggests a high probability of correctness. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the key difference between decision-making tasks and propositional reasoning tasks?

<p>Propositional reasoning requires using 'always' for valid conclusions. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following methods is commonly associated with scientific reasoning?

<p>Denying the consequent. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do people commonly solve reasoning tasks successfully, despite cognitive biases?

<p>By applying dual-process theory. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which transformation of logical reasoning is represented by 'denying the antecedent'?

<p>Assuming the hypothesis must be false. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What conclusion is typically invalid in propositional reasoning?

<p>If A, then B; not A; therefore not B. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which statement is true regarding the reasoning process discussed?

<p>Cognitive errors can often be traced to heuristics. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What error can occur when using the heuristic 'it’s a good bet' in logical reasoning?

<p>Assuming the argument is always valid. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is one benefit of recognizing the limitations of decision-making heuristics?

<p>It enhances decision-making effectiveness. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which social science fields contribute to decision-making research?

<p>Psychology and economics (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What aspect does decision-making research typically focus on?

<p>Concrete, realistic scenarios (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does decision-making research assist individuals?

<p>By helping develop strategies for better decisions (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following areas is NOT specifically mentioned as related to decision-making research?

<p>Engineering (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The interdisciplinary nature of decision-making includes which of the following fields?

<p>Psychology and philosophy (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which approach is highlighted as a specific area of decision-making?

<p>Critical thinking (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of scenarios does decision-making research prefer to examine?

<p>Realistic and concrete situations (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the recognition heuristic suggest when comparing two options?

<p>Recognition of one option indicates it has a higher frequency. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the anchoring and adjustment heuristic, what is established first?

<p>An initial approximation known as an anchor. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What common mistake can occur when using the anchoring and adjustment heuristic?

<p>Failing to adjust adequately for delays or changes. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why might a person incorrectly estimate travel time using the anchoring heuristic?

<p>They might not factor in potential delays. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes the recognition heuristic in relation to population size estimation?

<p>It is based solely on the familiarity of the cities mentioned. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a primary condition necessary for the recognition heuristic to operate effectively?

<p>Only one option should be recognized while the other is not. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is true about the anchoring effect?

<p>The initial anchor significantly influences final judgments. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the conjunction fallacy?

<p>Estimating that the conjunction of two events is more probable than either event occurring separately. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which process is NOT associated with the use of the anchoring and adjustment heuristic?

<p>Selecting new anchors based on personal preference. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do people commit the conjunction fallacy according to Tversky and Kahneman?

<p>They tend to use the representativeness heuristic. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the example involving murders, what does the conjunction rule illustrate?

<p>The number of murders in a specific city cannot exceed those in a larger region. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which situation exemplifies the conjunction fallacy as mentioned in the content?

<p>Assuming the likelihood of a bank teller being a feminist is higher than that of just being a bank teller. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What characteristic of the conjunction fallacy makes it particularly interesting to psychologists?

<p>It shows a disconnect between intuition and statistical reasoning. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What did Keith Stanovich's research indicate about SAT scores and conjunction fallacy?

<p>Students with high SAT scores are more prone to making the conjunction fallacy. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the representativeness heuristic lead individuals to do in the context of probability?

<p>Neglect mathematical calculations in favor of intuition. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a common consequence of the conjunction fallacy demonstrated in real-world scenarios?

<p>Misjudgment of probabilities in everyday decision-making. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the hindsight bias reflect about our perception of past events?

<p>Our overconfidence in predicting outcomes that have already occurred. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What did Linda Carli's study demonstrate regarding people's memory recall?

<p>Memory recall was influenced by the story's ending. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In Carli's study, what kind of errors did participants commit during the memory test?

<p>Participants recalled details consistent with the ending they read. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the primary variable that differed between the two versions of Barbara's story?

<p>The final outcome of the relationship between Barbara and Jack. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What social phenomenon is suggested by the study's implication of 'blaming the victim'?

<p>The tendency to assume victims are responsible for their tragedies. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does hindsight bias affect our understanding of past relationships, according to the material?

<p>It causes us to view past relationships as predictable based on current knowledge. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the reaction of participants who read the ending where Jack raped Barbara?

<p>They felt they could have predicted the outcome. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes how hindsight bias can alter our perception of events?

<p>It leads us to believe outcomes were obvious after they have occurred. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Deductive Reasoning

A type of reasoning that starts with assumed true statements (premises) and judges if a conclusion logically follows from them, based on logic principles.

Conditional Reasoning

A specific type of deductive reasoning focusing on 'if-then' statements.

Decision Making

The process of evaluating information and choosing from several options.

Heuristics

Mental shortcuts or rules of thumb that simplify complex decisions, often leading to quick but potentially flawed solutions.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Representativeness Heuristic

A mental shortcut where decisions are based on how similar something is to a prototype.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Availability Heuristic

A mental shortcut where decisions are based on how easily examples come to mind.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Anchoring and Adjustment Heuristic

A mental shortcut where decisions are influenced by an initial piece of information (the 'anchor').

Signup and view all the flashcards

Framing Effect

How the way information is presented (framed) affects decision-making.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Propositional Reasoning

A type of logical reasoning that involves evaluating the truth of statements based on their logical connections.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Valid Conclusion

A conclusion that is logically derived from the given premises, meaning it must be true if the premises are true.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Invalid Conclusion

A conclusion that does not logically follow from the given premises, even if the premises are true.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Affirming the Antecedent

A valid argument form in propositional reasoning where if the first part of an 'if-then' statement is true, then the second part must also be true.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Affirming the Consequent

An invalid argument form where if the second part of an 'if-then' statement is true, it does not necessarily mean the first part is also true.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Denying the Antecedent

An invalid argument form where if the first part of an 'if-then' statement is false, it doesn't necessarily mean the second part is also false.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Denying the Consequent

A valid argument form where if the second part of an 'if-then' statement is false, then the first part must also be false.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Dual-Process Theory

A theory explaining cognitive processes as having two systems, one for fast, intuitive, and often automatic thinking, and another for slow, deliberate, and conscious thinking.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Recognition Heuristic

A mental shortcut where you make decisions based on whether you recognize one item out of two. You assume the recognized item is more frequent or important.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Anchor

The initial value or information that we use as a starting point in the anchoring and adjustment heuristic.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Adjustment

The process of modifying the anchor value based on additional information, aiming for a more accurate estimate.

Signup and view all the flashcards

How does the recognition heuristic work?

It helps us decide between two options by assuming that the one we recognize is more frequent or important.

Signup and view all the flashcards

What can go wrong with the recognition heuristic?

It can lead to inaccurate judgments if the recognized item is not actually more frequent or important.

Signup and view all the flashcards

What is the anchoring and adjustment heuristic used for?

It helps us make estimations by modifying an initial value based on new information.

Signup and view all the flashcards

How can anchoring affect decisions?

It can lead to biased judgments if we don't adjust the anchor value adequately based on all available information.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Decision-Making Heuristics

Mental shortcuts or rules of thumb that simplify complex decisions, often relying on experience and intuition.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Limitations of Heuristics

While heuristics can be helpful, they can also lead to biased or inaccurate decisions, as they may oversimplify complex situations.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Effective Decision-Making

Becoming a better decision-maker involves recognizing the limitations of heuristics and developing strategies to mitigate their potential biases.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Interdisciplinary Field

Decision-making research involves insights from various disciplines, including psychology, economics, politics, and sociology.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Real-World Applications

Decision-making research focuses on practical scenarios, guiding strategies for better choices in everyday situations.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Decision-Making Research Resources

Many resources exist to support decision-making, including books, articles, and studies covering diverse aspects of the field.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Concrete Situations

Decision-making research often uses realistic scenarios rather than abstract theoretical examples.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Conjunction Fallacy

The tendency to judge the probability of the conjunction of two events as being greater than the probability of either event alone, even though this is mathematically impossible.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Linda Problem

A classic example of the conjunction fallacy, where people are asked to judge the probability of a woman named Linda being a bank teller or a feminist, and most incorrectly choose the conjunction 'bank teller and feminist'.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Conjunction Rule

A basic principle of probability stating that the probability of the conjunction of two events cannot be greater than the probability of either event alone.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Why is the Conjunction Fallacy Interesting?

The conjunction fallacy highlights the fact that people can ignore basic principles of probability and make illogical judgments, even when presented with clear evidence.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Are smarter students more likely to commit the Conjunction Fallacy?

Research suggests that even college students with high SAT scores may be more susceptible to the conjunction fallacy than students with lower SAT scores.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Impact of the Conjunction Fallacy

This fallacy demonstrates the potential for faulty reasoning in everyday decision-making, affecting our judgments on everything from hiring decisions to risk assessments.

Signup and view all the flashcards

How to avoid the Conjunction Fallacy

Focus on the actual probabilities involved, rather than relying on intuition. Break down the problem into its components and consider the individual likelihoods of each event.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Hindsight Bias

The tendency to overestimate our ability to predict an event after it has occurred, believing we 'knew it all along'.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Reconstructing the Past

Our tendency to change our memories of past events to align with our current knowledge and beliefs.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Blame the Victim

The tendency to hold victims responsible for events that happened to them, particularly in tragic situations.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Carli's Study (1999)

A study demonstrating the hindsight bias, where participants read a story with two different endings and recalled details consistent with the ending they read, even when the details were made up.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Systemic Errors

Consistent mistakes in memory or judgment that are influenced by a particular bias.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Consistent Information Recall

The tendency to remember information that aligns with our current beliefs or expectations, even if the information isn't accurate.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Stereotyped Version

A common, oversimplified image of a person or event, based on assumptions rather than reality.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Memory Test

A test designed to assess a person's ability to recall past events or information.

Signup and view all the flashcards

Study Notes

Deductive Reasoning and Decision Making

  • Deductive reasoning and decision-making are interconnected cognitive processes, both involving mental transformation of information beyond the given.
  • Deductive reasoning begins with premises and examines logical conclusions.
  • Decision-making involves evaluating options and selecting alternatives.
  • Conditional reasoning (propositional reasoning) examines relationships between conditions.
  • A typical conditional reasoning task follows an "if...then..." structure.
  • A syllogism consists of two statements (premises) and a conclusion using terms like "all," "none," "some."
  • Hindsight bias involves overconfidence in the ability to predict past events.
  • Belief bias involves judgment based on prior beliefs, not logical analysis.
  • Confirmation bias involves searching for information confirming existing beliefs.
  • Availability heuristic estimates frequency based on ease of recalling examples.
  • Recency and familiarity influence availability estimates.
  • Representativeness heuristic judges likelihood based on similarity to a category.
  • Base rate neglect ignores the overall frequency of an item when evaluating a particular case.
  • Conjunction fallacy incorrectly judges the likelihood of a more specific event to be higher than a more general event.
  • Anchoring and adjustment heuristic uses a starting point (anchor) and adjusts based on additional information.
  • Overconfidence involves inflated confidence in one's decisions.
  • Planning fallacy underestimates the time needed for a project.
  • Framing effect influences decisions based on how questions are worded or presented (e.g., life saved vs. life lost scenario).
  • Maximizers tend to seek the best possible option, while satisficers settle for good enough options.
  • Decision-making errors can be influenced by many factors (e.g., prior beliefs, emotional state, cognitive biases).
  • The Recognition heuristic involves selecting the recognized option when comparing two options.

Studying That Suits You

Use AI to generate personalized quizzes and flashcards to suit your learning preferences.

Quiz Team

More Like This

Use Quizgecko on...
Browser
Browser