Decision-Making Process Overview
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Questions and Answers

What is the main characteristic of programmed decisions?

  • They require complete uncertainty in decision-making.
  • They involve unique, nonrecurring situations.
  • They always lead to successful outcomes.
  • They have established rules or guidelines for repetitive situations. (correct)

Which decision-making condition describes situations where managers know their goals but lack complete information about alternatives?

  • Risk
  • Uncertainty (correct)
  • Certainty
  • Ambiguity

What should be done if the decision criteria are not equally important?

  • Conduct a procedure-based analysis.
  • Ignore the criteria.
  • Allocate weights to the criteria. (correct)
  • Develop a decision-making policy.

What type of decision-making error involves focusing on past expenditures instead of future outcomes?

<p>Sunk cost error (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which type of situation do managers face ambiguity in their decision-making process?

<p>When the goal is unclear, alternatives are difficult to define, and outcomes are unknown. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following best describes nonprogrammed decisions?

<p>They are unique decisions requiring custom-made solutions. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How can organizations with high design maturity benefit in decision-making?

<p>They have greater clarity around decision rights. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of decision is represented by a guideline forbidding discrimination?

<p>Policy (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Programmed Decision

A decision that has been made so many times in the past, and as a result, managers have developed rules or guidelines to be applied when certain situations inevitably occur.

Procedure (Programmed decision)

A series of sequential steps used to respond to a well-structured problem.

Rule (Programmed decision)

An explicit statement that tells managers what can or cannot be done.

Policy (Programmed decision)

A guideline for making decisions.

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Nonprogrammed Decision

A unique and nonrecurring decision that involves custom-made solutions. It's used to respond to unusual or novel opportunities or threats when there are no ready-made decision rules that managers can apply.

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Certainty (Decision Condition)

A decision situation where all the information the decision-maker needs is fully available.

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Risk (Decision Condition)

A decision situation with clear-cut goals, where enough information is available to estimate the probability of a successful outcome versus failure.

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Uncertainty (Decision Condition)

A decision situation where managers know the goals they wish to achieve, but information about alternatives and future events is incomplete.

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Study Notes

Decision-Making Process

  • Steps: Identify problem, define decision criteria, weigh criteria importance, develop alternatives, analyze alternatives, select alternative, implement, evaluate effectiveness.

Programmed Decisions

  • Definition: Repetitive decisions with established rules/guidelines for specific situations.

  • Types:

    • Procedure: Sequential steps for structured problems (e.g., ordering supplies).
    • Rule: Explicit statements dictating actions (e.g., late arrival policy).
    • Policy: Guidelines for decision-making (e.g., anti-discrimination policy).

Nonprogrammed Decisions

  • Definition: Unique, nonrecurring decisions requiring custom solutions—responding to novel opportunities/threats.

  • Examples: Adopting new technology, acquiring firms, improving brand image.

Decision-Making Conditions

  • Certainty: Complete information available.

  • Risk: Clear goals, probability estimates available for success/failure.

  • Uncertainty: Clear goals, incomplete information about alternatives/future events.

  • Ambiguity: Unclear goals, problem definition, information about outcomes is unavailable.

Importance of Correct Decisions

  • Organizations with mature design have clearer decision rights than those with less mature designs.

Common Decision Biases/Errors

  • Sunk Cost Error: Focusing on past expenditures instead of future outcomes.

  • Self-Serving Bias: Attributing success to oneself and blaming failure on external factors.

  • Overconfidence Bias: Overestimating abilities and performance.

  • Immediate Gratification Bias: Choosing immediate rewards over long-term gains.

  • Anchoring Effect: Overreliance on initial information.

  • Confirmation Bias: Seeking information supporting existing choices, discounting contradictory information.

  • Hindsight Bias: Believing an outcome was foreseeable after it occurred.

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Description

Explore the essential steps in the decision-making process, including identifying problems and weighing alternatives. Understand the distinctions between programmed and nonprogrammed decisions, along with examples and types of each. This quiz will help reinforce your knowledge in effective decision-making strategies.

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