Cognitive Biases: Common Errors in Thinking

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Questions and Answers

What is the tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms one's existing beliefs or hypotheses?

  • Hindsight Bias
  • Confirmation Bias (correct)
  • Anchoring Bias
  • Availability Heuristic

What is the tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information encountered when making decisions or judgments?

  • Availability Heuristic
  • Hindsight Bias
  • Anchoring Bias (correct)
  • Dunning-Kruger Effect

What is the tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that it was predictable and that one would have predicted it?

  • Confirmation Bias
  • Anchoring Bias
  • Dunning-Kruger Effect
  • Hindsight Bias (correct)

What is the tendency to overestimate the importance or likelihood of information that is readily available?

<p>Availability Heuristic (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the tendency of people who are incompetent in a particular domain to overestimate their own abilities and performance?

<p>Dunning-Kruger Effect (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias involves ignoring or dismissing contradictory information?

<p>Confirmation Bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the result of the tendency to overestimate the degree to which an event was predictable?

<p>Overconfidence (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which bias involves judging the likelihood of an event based on how easily examples come to mind?

<p>Availability Heuristic (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the result of the tendency of people who are incompetent in a particular domain to overestimate their own abilities and performance?

<p>Overconfidence (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary consequence of confirmation bias?

<p>Selective memory and biased information processing (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which cognitive bias is most likely to occur when an individual is inexperienced in a particular domain?

<p>Dunning-Kruger effect (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary driving factor behind the availability heuristic?

<p>The ease of recalling examples (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which cognitive bias is most closely related to the concept of 'cherry-picking' data?

<p>Confirmation bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary consequence of the anchoring bias?

<p>Over-reliance on the initial piece of information (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which cognitive bias is most closely related to the statement 'I knew it all along'?

<p>Hindsight bias (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary driving factor behind the Dunning-Kruger effect?

<p>Lack of experience in a particular domain (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which cognitive bias is most closely related to the concept of 'selective memory'?

<p>Confirmation bias (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary consequence of the availability heuristic?

<p>Overestimation of the importance or frequency of information (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which cognitive bias is most closely related to the concept of 'initial value'?

<p>Anchoring bias (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

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Study Notes

Cognitive Biases

Cognitive biases are systematic errors in thinking and decision-making that affect individuals' perceptions, judgments, and behaviors.

Confirmation Bias

  • The tendency to seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms one's existing beliefs or hypotheses
  • Ignoring or dismissing contradictory information
  • Can lead to:
    • Selective perception
    • Closed-mindedness
    • Polarization

Anchoring Bias

  • The tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information encountered when making decisions or judgments
  • Anchors can be arbitrary or irrelevant
  • Can lead to:
    • Inaccurate estimates
    • Poor decision-making
    • Inconsistencies

Hindsight Bias

  • The tendency to believe, after an event has occurred, that it was predictable and that one would have predicted it
  • Overestimation of the degree to which an event was predictable
  • Can lead to:
    • Overconfidence
    • Lack of learning from experience
    • Unrealistic expectations

Availability Heuristic

  • The tendency to overestimate the importance or likelihood of information that is readily available
  • Judging the likelihood of an event based on how easily examples come to mind
  • Can lead to:
    • Overestimation of risks
    • Misjudging probabilities
    • Biased decision-making

Dunning-Kruger Effect

  • The tendency of people who are incompetent in a particular domain to overestimate their own abilities and performance
  • Lack of self-awareness and knowledge in a specific area
  • Can lead to:
    • Overconfidence
    • Poor decision-making
    • Inadequate performance

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