Chicago School of Economics
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Questions and Answers

What primary shift in economic focus occurred in the United States during the 1970s and early 1980s, challenging Keynesian economics?

  • A growing emphasis on controlling inflation, influenced by thinkers like Fisher and Friedman. (correct)
  • Increased government spending on social programs to combat poverty.
  • A renewed focus on maintaining low unemployment through fiscal policy.
  • Deregulation of industries to stimulate economic growth and competition.

What was a central argument made by the new classical economists regarding the relationship between inflation and unemployment?

  • There is a stable, long-term trade-off where lower unemployment requires accepting higher inflation.
  • A temporary trade-off exists only in the short run, and that in the long run, there's no trade-off. (correct)
  • Wage and price controls are necessary to manage both inflation and unemployment simultaneously.
  • Fiscal policy is ineffective in managing either inflation or unemployment.

Which of the following concepts, heavily discussed in contemporary economics textbooks, is associated with the new classical macroeconomic perspective?

  • The multiplier effect of government spending.
  • A natural rate of unemployment. (correct)
  • The liquidity trap.
  • The paradox of thrift.

Chicago School theories, such as human capital and job search, are most likely to be found in which field of economics?

<p>Contemporary labor economics. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which economist connected with the Chicago School is renowned for his work on the theory of the consumption function?

<p>Milton Friedman. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Milton Friedman's academic career was primarily associated with which university?

<p>University of Chicago. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When did Milton Friedman serve as the president of the American Economic Association?

<p>1967 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In which year did Milton Friedman receive the Nobel Prize in Economics?

<p>1976 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the Chicago School of Economics, what is the primary driver of changes in nominal gross domestic product?

<p>Direct changes in the money stock. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the Chicago School's perspective on the effectiveness of fiscal policy?

<p>Fiscal policy is ineffective unless accompanied by changes in the money supply. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the Chicago School's stance on the cause of inflation?

<p>Inflation is fundamentally a monetary phenomenon. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following reflects the Chicago School's view on government intervention in the economy?

<p>Government intervention is inherently inefficient and often serves the interests of specific groups rather than the public. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the Chicago School, how do observed prices and wages generally relate to their long-run competitive levels?

<p>Observed prices and wages in general tend to be good approximations of their long-run competitive ones. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the Chicago School, how can externalities best be minimized?

<p>By establishing clear property rights and encouraging private negotiations. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does the Chicago School view institutional arrangements like seniority pay and union contracts?

<p>As arrangements that usually exist because the parties involved see them as being efficient. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the content, who benefits from the Chicago School's views on economic policy?

<p>Society at large through maximum economic freedom and individual well-being. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the concept of the long-run Phillips curve, what is the consequence of monetary authorities persistently trying to maintain unemployment below the natural rate?

<p>An upward spiral of inflation with no lasting reduction in unemployment. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why does the short-run Phillips curve shift upward when individuals adjust their inflation expectations?

<p>Because higher expected inflation gets factored into wage demands, increasing labor costs. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of the Phillips curve, what is the initial impact of an unexpected increase in the money supply on firms?

<p>Increased product prices relative to labor costs. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Following an increase in inflation expectations, what adjustments occur in labor contracts and how do these adjustments affect firms' employment decisions?

<p>Contracts are renegotiated with higher nominal wages, leading firms to decrease employment. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the vertical long-run Phillips curve imply for the ability of monetary policy to manage unemployment?

<p>Monetary policy can only affect inflation in the long run, not unemployment. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Assume the economy is at its natural rate of unemployment with stable inflation. If the monetary authority implements expansionary policy, what sequence of events is most likely to occur?

<p>Unemployment falls, inflation rises, and the short-run Phillips curve shifts upward. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary factor that causes the economy to move from one point on a short-run Phillips curve to a point on a different short-run Phillips curve?

<p>Changes in expected rates of inflation. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If policymakers attempt to exploit a perceived short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment, what is the most likely long-term outcome for the economy?

<p>Higher inflation and unemployment returning to its natural rate. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do individuals adjust their expectations about future inflation under the adaptive expectations theory?

<p>By determining expectations based on past and present inflation, adjusting as new events occur. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Robert Lucas, how do market participants utilize information to predict future price level changes?

<p>They reflect on past errors, use all available information, and eliminate regularities in prediction errors. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the immediate impact of expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, according to the rational expectations framework?

<p>An immediate increase in inflation expectations and adjustments in resource and financial markets. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do resource and financial markets react to predicted inflation under rational expectations?

<p>Workers receive higher nominal wages, sellers receive higher prices, and lenders receive higher nominal interest rates. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the rational expectations perspective, what is the effect of expansionary fiscal and monetary policy?

<p>Ineffective due to the immediate adjustment of inflation expectations. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of Friedman's Phillips Curve, how does the economy move when expansionary policies are implemented, assuming rational expectations?

<p>The economy moves directly to a higher inflation rate along the long-run Phillips Curve. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key difference between adaptive and rational expectations?

<p>Adaptive expectations assume people never learn from their mistakes, while rational expectations assume they do. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How might an economy with rational expectations respond to a surprise announcement of a new, credible anti-inflation policy?

<p>Inflation expectations would immediately decrease, leading to a rapid decline in actual inflation. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Lucas's aggregate supply analysis, what is the primary impact of an anticipated increase in aggregate demand on real output in the long run?

<p>Real output remains unchanged, with only inflation occurring. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How did Gary Becker broaden the scope of economic analysis?

<p>By applying economic principles to traditional sociological, political, and anthropological domains. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do firms respond to an anticipated inflationary outcome caused by the Federal Reserve according to the new classical macroeconomics?

<p>Firms recognize that their increased prices are part of general inflation and their profits remain unchanged. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the significance of the long-run aggregate supply curve in Lucas's analysis when increases in aggregate demand are anticipated?

<p>It is the only relevant aggregate supply curve as the economy moves directly to long-run equilibrium. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What concept did Gary Becker introduce in his book Human Capital (1964)?

<p>The modern, generalized theory of investment in human capital. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a key characteristic of the economy according to Lucas's new classical macroeconomics?

<p>It is self-correcting, similar to the views of classical economists. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What immediate effect does the Fed's publicly announced action have on firms that anticipate inflation?

<p>Firms anticipate the action and see that higher prices are part of the general inflation. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of Lucas’s Aggregate Supply Analysis and an anticipated increase in aggregate demand, which of the following simultaneous shifts occur?

<p>Short-run aggregate supply curve shifts leftward, and aggregate demand increases rightward. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the theory of investment in human capital, what is the primary factor influencing an individual's decision to invest in a college education?

<p>The expected return on investment, which compares the present value of increased earnings with the costs of college. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What are the two types of costs associated with attending college?

<p>Direct costs, such as tuition and books, and indirect costs, such as foregone earnings. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of human capital theory, what does 'foregone earnings' refer to when considering the costs of attending college?

<p>The potential income an individual could have earned if they had worked instead of attending college. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Becker, what is the key difference between general and specific training?

<p>General training increases productivity in multiple employment settings, while specific training enhances productivity only within the firm providing it. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How would an individual determine if investing in a college education is worthwhile based on human capital theory?

<p>By calculating the net present value of the increased earnings resulting from a college degree and comparing it to the present value of the costs. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the net present value of attending college is negative, according to human capital theory, what decision would a rational individual make?

<p>Forgo college and enter the workforce directly. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Suppose a company invests heavily in specific training for its employees. What is the likely outcome if these employees leave the company?

<p>The employees will likely experience a decrease in their marginal productivity, as their skills are less valuable to other firms. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following scenarios best illustrates an investment in general training?

<p>A manufacturing firm pays for its workers to attend a workshop on improving teamwork and communication skills. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Money Stock Changes

Changes in the money supply directly affect nominal GDP.

Fiscal Policy Ineffectiveness

Fiscal policy needs money supply changes to be effective, especially with rational expectations.

Cost-Push Inflation

The theory claiming inflation is caused by rising costs is invalid; inflation is a monetary phenomenon.

Limited Government Efficiency

Government is less efficient than private sectors for achieving objectives.

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Observed Prices and Wages

Actual prices and wages generally match long-run competitive prices, reflecting opportunity costs.

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Monopoly Persistence

Monopoly prices last only where government restricts competition; innovation can disrupt them.

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Chicago School Benefits

The Chicago School advocates for less government interference, benefiting overall economic freedom and well-being.

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Property Rights and Externalities

Clear property rights minimize externalities, leading to efficient negotiations.

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Chicago School of Economics

A school of thought focusing on free-market principles and limited government intervention.

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Keynesianism

An economic theory that emphasizes government spending to stimulate demand and reduce unemployment.

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Inflation vs. Unemployment

The shift in economic focus during the 1970s from unemployment concerns to inflation concerns.

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The natural rate of unemployment

The level of unemployment that exists when the economy is in long-term equilibrium.

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Rational Expectations

The theory that individuals form expectations about the future based on available information.

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Friedman’s Consumption Function

A theory proposed by Milton Friedman describing how current consumption is determined by expected future income.

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Long-run Phillips Curve

A concept showing no trade-off between inflation and unemployment in the long run.

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Human Capital Theory

The idea that individuals' skills and knowledge enhance their productivity and economic value.

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Natural Rate of Unemployment

The level of unemployment that exists when the economy is at full capacity without inflation acceleration.

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Short-Run Phillips Curve

A downward sloping curve that shows an inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment in the short run.

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Inflation Adjustment

The process where expectations of inflation rise, leading to changes in wages and employment.

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Real Wage Rates

The purchasing power of wages after adjusting for inflation.

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Temporary Employment Gains

Short-lived increases in employment due to monetary policy changes.

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SPRC

Short-Run Phillips Curve, which shows the trade-off between inflation and unemployment temporarily.

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Expectations of Inflation

The belief about future inflation rates, influencing wage contracts and employment.

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Inflation and Firm Pricing

Firms realize higher prices are due to anticipated inflation and unchanged profits.

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Leftward Shift in Short-Run Supply

The short-run aggregate supply curve shifts leftwards when firms face higher costs.

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Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve

Real output remains unchanged at equilibrium while only inflation occurs in the long run.

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Self-Correcting Economy

The economy corrects itself through market forces without external intervention.

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William Arthur Lewis

Economist who contributed to human capital theory and economic dualism.

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Gary Becker's Contribution

Becker's 'Human Capital' theory emphasizes investment in education and skills as economic drivers.

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Theory of Human Capital

Investment in education and training increases individual productivity and earnings.

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Chicago School Economics

Advocates minimal government interference in markets, emphasizing free market principles.

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Adaptive Expectations

The idea that individuals adjust their future expectations based on past and present experiences, updating them as new information arises.

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Inflation-Unemployment Relationship

Friedman's theory suggests a trade-off between inflation rates and unemployment, where expectations impact this balance.

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Lucas Critique

The argument that traditional Phillips Curve analysis fails because economic agents adapt their expectations based on policy changes.

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Expansionary Policies

Government policies aimed at stimulating the economy by increasing spending and lowering interest rates.

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Phillips Curve

A concept showing the inverse relationship between inflation and unemployment, implying a short-term trade-off.

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Immediate Adjustment

The quick response of markets to changes in inflation expectations, impacting wages and prices in real-time.

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Ineffectiveness of Policy

The notion that expansionary fiscal and monetary policies fail to achieve desired economic stimulation due to rational expectations.

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Investment in Human Capital

The concept of investing in education to increase future earnings.

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Direct Costs of College

Expenses like tuition and books incurred while attending college.

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Indirect Costs of College

Forgone earnings during the time spent in college instead of working.

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Net Present Value

The difference between the present value of earnings and the costs associated with college.

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General Training

Training that enhances worker productivity across various jobs.

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Specific Training

Training that increases productivity only within a particular firm.

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Earnings Gap

The difference in earnings between college graduates and high school diploma holders.

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Present Value of Earnings

The current worth of future earnings adjusted for costs.

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Study Notes

The Chicago School (The New Classicism)

  • The modern phase of the Chicago school of economics began in 1946 with Milton Friedman joining the faculty at the University of Chicago.
  • Friedman and George Stigler (who joined in 1948) established the school's unique identity.
  • Prominent economists at Chicago, like Gary Becker and Robert Lucas, continued the tradition.
  • The Chicago school's tenets fit within the broader classical-neoclassical tradition, and it's referred to as the "new classicism".
  • Key figures include Milton Friedman, Robert Lucas, and Gary Becker.

Major Tenets of the Chicago School

  • Optimizing Behavior: People act to maximize their well-being at the decision-making moment. Individuals form larger economic units (families, etc.) for gains from specialization and exchange. Preferences are stable and independent of prices. Rational choices don't always produce expected outcomes. Monetary incentives affect decision-making.
  • Mathematical Orientation: The school heavily relies on mathematical theory, employing both Marshallian partial equilibrium and Walrasian general equilibrium methods. Empirical verification is important, though sometimes delegated.
  • Rejection of Keynesianism: The economy is largely self-regulating, and significant recessions/depressions stem from inappropriate monetary policy, not autonomous spending shifts. Changes in money supply directly affect nominal GDP, not just financial interest rates. Fiscal policy is generally ineffective without changes in money supply, and even then is impacted by rational expectations. The idea that inflation is caused by producers' cost increases is incorrect.
  • Limited Government: Government is inherently inefficient in objectives achievable through private exchange. Government officials have their own optimization objectives (divert funds from the public). Government regulation often benefits the parties who demand it more than the public.
  • Observed Prices and Wages: Observed prices and wages generally approximate their long-run competitive counterparts, reflecting opportunity costs. Discrepancies from competitive pricing (caused by monopolies or monopsonies) usually aren't significantly consequential. Competition prevails over time, even when governments interfere with market entry.

Whom Did the Chicago School Benefit?

  • The Chicago school's proponents persuaded the public and elected officials that a competitive market system benefits society, producing maximum economic freedom and overall well-being.
  • The Chicago perspective, however, also benefits certain corporate interests. It advocates less government regulation and paperwork, which can benefit high-income groups.
  • Agricultural businesses and workers who opposed government price supports and subsidies were often not in favor of the Chicago view.
  • Groups who depend on government employment & support are likely to disagree with the Chicago School.

How Was the Chicago School Valid, Useful, or Correct in its Time?

  • The Keynesian revolution temporarily held back microeconomic advancement. Meanwhile the Chicago school maintained and reinforced the marginalist tradition.
  • The experience of the 1970s (stagflation, etc.), cast doubt on some previously accepted economic theories and led to broader acceptance of the Chicago School.
  • The school's microeconomic analysis led to further insights in macroeconomic areas like unemployment.

Which Tenets of the Chicago School Became Lasting Contributions?

  • Textbooks on economics integrate the school's perspectives on natural rate of unemployment, rational expectations, long-run Phillips curve, and short-run vs. long-run aggregate supply.
  • Chicago School theories related to human capital, household production, job market, and discrimination are frequently discussed in contemporary labor economics.
  • Many of the ideas from the Chicago School have stood the test of time.

Key Figures of the Chicago School

  • Milton Friedman: Leading figure, Nobel Prize winner (1976), contributions include studying consumption function and monetary theory.
  • Robert Lucas Jr.: Nobel Prize winner (1995), focusing on rational expectations and aggregate supply.
  • Gary Becker: Nobel Prize winner (1992), extended economic approaches to sociology, political science, law, biology, and anthropology, leading in theories like the investment of human capital, and theory of family.

Key Theories of the Chicago School

  • Theory of the Consumption Function: Proposed by Friedman; argued that consumption is based on permanent income, not just current income, and does not respond to all income changes but only permanent ones.

  • Monetary Theory: Monetary policies do not automatically stabilize the economy. Time lags happen between the implementation of a monetary policy and the resulting shifts in output and prices.

  • Rational Expectations: Economic agents form expectations based on all available information and predicted outcomes of current stabilization policies;

  • Aggregate Supply Analysis: Explores the relationship between price levels, aggregate supply, and real output in short-run and long-run contexts. Lucas showed aggregate supply shifts vertically in the long run, implying no trade-off between inflation and unemployment.

  • Monetary Rule: The Fed should follow a predetermined rule for its monetary policy response.

  • Allocation of Time Theory: Consumer decisions consider time spent on and the value of time.

  • Theory of Marriage: Partnership arrangements, family formation and child rearing are based on economic self-interest, for example, a man's wage and a woman's productivity.

  • Theory of Fertility (Fertility): The cost of children is considered to determine a household or family's decision to have them, and the relationship between welfare costs and fertility rates.

  • Altruism: This theory explains the behaviour of people who make choices that promote well-being of other family or social members not benefiting themselves directly.

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Explore the Chicago School of Economics, its challenge to Keynesian economics in the 1970s and early 1980s, and the theories of economists such as Milton Friedman. This quiz covers concepts like the relationship between inflation and unemployment along with work on the theory of the consumption function.

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