Three light bulbs are selected at random from 20 bulbs of which 5 are defective. What is the probability that (i) none of the bulbs are defective and (ii) exactly one is defective?
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Understand the Problem
The question asks us to calculate probabilities related to selecting light bulbs from a set containing both defective and non-defective bulbs. Specifically, we need to find:
- The probability that none of the 3 selected bulbs are defective.
- The probability that exactly 1 of the 3 selected bulbs is defective.
Answer
(i) $\frac{91}{228}$ (ii) $\frac{105}{228}$
Answer for screen readers
(i) The probability that none of the bulbs is defective is $ \frac{91}{228} $. (ii) The probability that exactly one bulb is defective is $ \frac{105}{228} $.
Steps to Solve
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Calculate the total number of ways to choose 3 bulbs out of 20
Since the order of selection doesn't matter, we use combinations. The total number of ways to choose 3 bulbs out of 20 is given by $ {20 \choose 3} $. $$ {20 \choose 3} = \frac{20!}{3!(20-3)!} = \frac{20!}{3!17!} = \frac{20 \times 19 \times 18}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 10 \times 19 \times 6 = 1140 $$
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Calculate the number of ways to choose 3 non-defective bulbs
There are $20 - 5 = 15$ non-defective bulbs. The number of ways to choose 3 non-defective bulbs from these 15 is given by $ {15 \choose 3} $. $$ {15 \choose 3} = \frac{15!}{3!(15-3)!} = \frac{15!}{3!12!} = \frac{15 \times 14 \times 13}{3 \times 2 \times 1} = 5 \times 7 \times 13 = 455 $$
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Calculate the probability of selecting 3 non-defective bulbs
The probability of selecting 3 non-defective bulbs is the number of ways to choose 3 non-defective bulbs divided by the total number of ways to choose 3 bulbs. $$ P(\text{none defective}) = \frac{{15 \choose 3}}{{20 \choose 3}} = \frac{455}{1140} = \frac{91}{228} $$
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Calculate the number of ways to choose exactly 1 defective bulb and 2 non-defective bulbs
We need to choose 1 defective bulb out of 5 and 2 non-defective bulbs out of 15. The number of ways to do this is given by $ {5 \choose 1} \times {15 \choose 2} $. $$ {5 \choose 1} = \frac{5!}{1!(5-1)!} = \frac{5!}{1!4!} = 5 $$ $$ {15 \choose 2} = \frac{15!}{2!(15-2)!} = \frac{15!}{2!13!} = \frac{15 \times 14}{2 \times 1} = 15 \times 7 = 105 $$ So, the number of ways to choose 1 defective and 2 non-defective bulbs is $ 5 \times 105 = 525 $.
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Calculate the probability of selecting exactly 1 defective bulb
The probability of selecting exactly 1 defective bulb is the number of ways to choose 1 defective bulb and 2 non-defective bulbs divided by the total number of ways to choose 3 bulbs. $$ P(\text{exactly one defective}) = \frac{{5 \choose 1} \times {15 \choose 2}}{{20 \choose 3}} = \frac{525}{1140} = \frac{105}{228} $$
(i) The probability that none of the bulbs is defective is $ \frac{91}{228} $. (ii) The probability that exactly one bulb is defective is $ \frac{105}{228} $.
More Information
These probabilities could be useful for quality control or predicting the likelihood of finding defective items in a sample.
Tips
A common mistake is to calculate permutations instead of combinations, or to incorrectly calculate the binomial coefficients. Another common mistake is to forget to simplify the fractions to their lowest terms.
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