Suppose that the number of patients admitted into a hospital emergency room during a certain hour of the day has a Poisson distribution with mean 3. Find the probability that durin... Suppose that the number of patients admitted into a hospital emergency room during a certain hour of the day has a Poisson distribution with mean 3. Find the probability that during that hour there will be exactly two emergency patients. Assume that e^(-3) = 0.05.

Understand the Problem
The question asks to calculate the probability of exactly two patients being admitted to a hospital emergency room during a certain hour, given that the number of patients follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 3, and provided that e^(-3) = 0.05. This requires applying the Poisson probability formula.
Answer
$0.225$
Answer for screen readers
$0.225$
Steps to Solve
-
Recall the Poisson Probability Formula
The Poisson probability formula is given by:
$P(x) = \frac{\lambda^x e^{-\lambda}}{x!}$
where:
- $P(x)$ is the probability of $x$ events occurring.
- $\lambda$ is the average rate of events (in this case, the mean number of patients admitted).
- $e$ is the base of the natural logarithm (approximately 2.71828).
- $x!$ is the factorial of $x$.
-
Identify Given Values
From the problem statement, we have:
- $\lambda = 3$ (the mean number of patients)
- $x = 2$ (we want to find the probability of exactly 2 patients)
- $e^{-3} = 0.05$ (given)
-
Apply the Formula
Plug the values into the Poisson formula:
$P(2) = \frac{3^2 \cdot e^{-3}}{2!}$
-
Calculate the Probability
Substitute the given value of $e^{-3}$ and simplify:
$P(2) = \frac{3^2 \cdot 0.05}{2!}$
$P(2) = \frac{9 \cdot 0.05}{2}$
$P(2) = \frac{0.45}{2}$
$P(2) = 0.225$
$0.225$
More Information
The Poisson distribution is commonly used to model the number of events occurring within a fixed interval of time or space, especially when the events occur independently and with a constant average rate.
Tips
A common mistake is misremembering or misapplying the Poisson formula. Ensure you correctly substitute the values for lambda, $x$, and $e^{-\lambda}$, another common mistake is not calculating the factorial properly.
AI-generated content may contain errors. Please verify critical information