A cereal manufacturer is concerned that the boxes of cereal not be underfilled or overfilled. Each box of cereal is supposed to contain 13 ounces of cereal. A random sample of 31 b... A cereal manufacturer is concerned that the boxes of cereal not be underfilled or overfilled. Each box of cereal is supposed to contain 13 ounces of cereal. A random sample of 31 boxes is tested. The average weight is 12.58 ounces and the standard deviation is 0.25 ounces. Calculate a confidence interval to test the hypothesis that the cereal weight is different from 13 ounces at α = 0.10 and interpret.

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Understand the Problem

The question is asking to calculate a confidence interval for the average weight of cereal boxes to determine if it significantly differs from the expected 13 ounces, using given data about a sample of boxes.

Answer

The confidence interval for the average weight is approximately \( (12.504, 12.656) \).
Answer for screen readers

The confidence interval is approximately ( (12.504, 12.656) ).

Steps to Solve

  1. Determine the sample statistics

We have a sample of ( n = 31 ) boxes with a sample mean ( \bar{x} = 12.58 ) ounces and a sample standard deviation ( s = 0.25 ) ounces.

  1. Calculate the standard error

The standard error (SE) of the mean is calculated using the formula:

$$ SE = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} $$

Substituting the values:

$$ SE = \frac{0.25}{\sqrt{31}} \approx 0.045 $$

  1. Find the critical value

For a confidence level of ( 1 - \alpha = 0.90 ) (since ( \alpha = 0.10 )), we use a t-distribution because the sample size is less than 30. The degrees of freedom (df) is ( n - 1 = 31 - 1 = 30 ).

Using a t-table or calculator, find the critical t-value for ( df = 30 ) at ( \alpha/2 = 0.05 ):

$$ t_{0.05, 30} \approx 1.697 $$

  1. Calculate the confidence interval

The confidence interval is given by:

$$ \bar{x} \pm t \times SE $$

Calculating this:

$$ 12.58 \pm 1.697 \times 0.045 $$

Calculating the margin of error:

$$ ME \approx 0.076 $$

So the confidence interval is:

$$ (12.58 - 0.076, 12.58 + 0.076) \approx (12.504, 12.656) $$

  1. Interpret the results

The confidence interval ( (12.504, 12.656) ) means we are 90% confident that the true average weight of the cereal boxes is between 12.504 ounces and 12.656 ounces. Since this interval does not include 13 ounces, we can conclude that there is significant evidence to suggest that the cereal weight is different from 13 ounces.

The confidence interval is approximately ( (12.504, 12.656) ).

More Information

This confidence interval indicates that we can be 90% confident that the true average weight of the cereal boxes is between 12.504 ounces and 12.656 ounces. This implies that the boxes are likely underfilled, given that 13 ounces is not within this range.

Tips

  1. Forgetting to use the t-distribution for smaller sample sizes.
  2. Miscalculating the standard error or margin of error.
  3. Confusing the confidence interval with a hypothesis test.

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