Unbiased Estimators and Their Efficiency

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Questions and Answers

What defines the most efficient estimator among unbiased estimators?

  • It is always the sample median.
  • It has the largest sample size.
  • It depends on the choice of biased estimators.
  • It has the smallest variance. (correct)

How is relative efficiency of two unbiased estimators defined?

  • It is the ratio of their variances. (correct)
  • It is the average of their variances.
  • It is the difference of their variances.
  • It is the sum of their variances.

Which unbiased estimator is more efficient based on the given variances: $Var(x̄) = \sigma^2/n$ and $Var(x.5) = \frac{\pi^2 \sigma^2}{n}$?

  • Neither can be determined.
  • Both have equal efficiency.
  • Sample mean is more efficient. (correct)
  • Sample median is more efficient.

If $Var(\hat{\theta_1}) < Var(\hat{\theta_2})$, how does this affect their relative efficiency?

<p>The relative efficiency is greater than 1. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which condition is necessary for the sample mean to be considered more efficient than the sample median?

<p>The variance of the sample mean must be less. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the symbol $µN$ represent in the given definitions?

<p>The average of $xNi$ values (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the role of $SN$ in the context provided?

<p>It measures the spread of the $xNi$ values (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the limit as $N$ tends towards infinity, what behavior does $mN$ demonstrate?

<p>It approaches the maximum value of $xNi$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Condition (4) in the definitions implies which of the following conditions must hold?

<p>$n$ and $N$ must both tend towards infinity (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What expression is defined for $x̄$ in the context?

<p>$x̄ = ∑_{i=1}^{n} R_i xNi$ (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The notation $mN = ext{max}(xNi - µN)²$ represents what?

<p>The largest squared deviation from the mean (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What implication does the expression $Nn =: α²[0, 1]$ have?

<p>Indicates a relationship for variance scaling (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What transformation is applied to $xNi$ in the scaling process?

<p>$xNi / SN$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to the sampling distribution of the sample mean as the sample size increases?

<p>It approaches a normal distribution. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the variance of the sampling distribution of x̄ when the sample size is n?

<p>$\frac{\sigma^2}{n}$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an example where the population mean is µ = 8 and σ = 3 with a sample size of 36, what is the standard deviation of the sampling distribution?

<p>$\frac{3}{\sqrt{36}}$ (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability that the sample mean is between 7.8 and 8.2 for the given parameters?

<p>0.3108 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Who contributed significantly to the history of the Central Limit Theorem?

<p>Jarl W. Lindeberg and Paul P. Lévy (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a population is not normally distributed, under what condition can the Central Limit Theorem still be applied?

<p>n &gt; 25 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does CLT stand for in the context of sampling distributions?

<p>Central Limit Theorem (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of the Central Limit Theorem in statistics?

<p>To show that the sampling distribution of the sample mean approaches a normal distribution. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the condition $ rac{mN}{n} eq 0$ signify when $\alpha = 0$?

<p>It shows that the sample size is effective. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is true when $eta eq 1$?

<p>The ratio $N - n o rac{1}{1 - eta}$. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What happens to $S_N$ as $N o ext{infinity}$ under condition (4)?

<p>$S_N$ converges to a positive number. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of sampling distributions, what does $X hickapprox ext{Binomial}(n, p)$ represent?

<p>The sum of multiple Bernoulli trials. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for the variance of the sample proportion $ar{p}$ derived from a Bernoulli distribution?

<p>$ rac{p(1-p)}{n}$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does $E[ar{p}] = p$ indicate about the estimator $ar{p}$?

<p>It is an unbiased estimator of population proportion. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the implication of $ ext{Var}(X_i) = p(1-p)$ for a Bernoulli distributed variable?

<p>The variance is independent of sample size. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does $ar{x} o rac{ar{p}}{n}$ imply as $n$ increases?

<p>The average becomes more accurate. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the expected value of the sample variance $E[s^2]$ if the population variance is $σ^2$ and the sample size is $n$?

<p>$σ^2$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why do we lose one degree of freedom when calculating sample variance?

<p>Because of the extra term $n(\bar{x} - \mu)^2$. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the standard deviation of the freezers is specified as no more than 4 degrees, what is the population variance?

<p>16 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What distribution does the sum of squared z-scores follow with $n$ degrees of freedom?

<p>$χ^2$ Distribution (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the equation $E[\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \bar{x})^2]$, what does the term $(x_i - \bar{x})$ represent?

<p>The deviation of each sample from the sample mean. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the notation $E[\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \mu)^2]$ indicate in the context of expected values?

<p>Expected sum of population deviations. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How do you compute the total sum of squares $\sum_{i=1}^{n}(x_i - \mu)^2$ in a sampling distribution?

<p>By subtracting the population mean from each sample and squaring it. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What correction is made in the computation of the sample variance when the population mean is unknown?

<p>Use the sample mean instead of the population mean. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the value of K for the sample variance if the population standard deviation is 4 and the probability of exceeding this limit is less than 0.05?

<p>27.25 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the sample variance, s², is greater than which value, would there be strong evidence to suggest that the population variance exceeds 16?

<p>27.52 (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of sampling does the unbiased estimator for Var(x̄) = s²/n pertain to?

<p>Random sampling with replacement (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In random sampling without replacement, what is the expected value of the sample variance, E(s²)?

<p>N/(N-1)σ² (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the unbiased estimator for Var(x̄) impacted in sampling without replacement compared to with replacement?

<p>It factors in the population size to reduce variance. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the critical value of χ² used to find K when n = 14?

<p>22.36 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If the population standard deviation increases, what is the effect on the upper limit K for the sample variance if maintaining a probability of exceeding this limit less than 0.05?

<p>K increases. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following expressions represents the unbiased estimator of variance for sampling without replacement?

<p>s² N/(N - n) (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Sampling Distribution of the Mean

The distribution of sample means from repeated samples drawn from a population.

Central Limit Theorem (CLT)

As the sample size increases, the sampling distribution of the sample mean approaches a normal distribution, regardless of the shape of the original population.

Standard Error of the Mean

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean.

Z-score

A standardized score used to compare data points from different distributions.

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Probability of Sample Mean

The probability of observing a sample mean within a specific range, assuming the central limit theorem holds.

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CLT for Finite Populations

The central limit theorem also applies to finite populations, with a correction factor to account for the sampling without replacement.

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Expected Value of Sampling Distribution

The expected value (mean) of the sampling distribution is equal to the population mean.

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Standard Deviation of Sampling Distribution

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution is equal to the population standard deviation divided by the square root of the sample size.

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Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportions

The distribution of sample proportions from repeated samples drawn from a population.

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Sample Proportion (p̂)

The sample proportion (p̂) is the number of successes (X) in a sample divided by the sample size (n).

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Expected Value of Sample Proportion

The expected value (mean) of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion is equal to the population proportion (p).

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Standard Error of Sample Proportion

The standard deviation of the sampling distribution of the sample proportion (p̂) is calculated as the square root of [p(1-p)/n], where p is the population proportion and n is the sample size.

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Central Limit Theorem for Sample Proportions

As the sample size increases, the sampling distribution of the sample proportion approaches a normal distribution, regardless of the shape of the population distribution.

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Confidence Interval for Sample Proportions

Used to estimate the population proportion when the distribution of the sample proportion is approximately normal.

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Hypothesis Testing for Proportions

A hypothesis test for proportions compares the sample proportion to a hypothesized population proportion.

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One-Tailed Hypothesis Test for Proportions

A one-tailed hypothesis test for proportions tests whether the sample proportion is significantly greater than or less than the hypothesized population proportion.

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Sample Mean (x̄)

The average of the sample values, calculated by summing all the sample values and dividing by the sample size.

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Sample Variance (SN2)

The measure of how spread out the sample values are. Calculated by taking the average of the squared differences between each sample value and the sample mean.

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Maximum Squared Difference (mN)

The largest squared difference between a sample value and the sample mean. Represents the maximum variability of the data.

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Condition (4)

A requirement for the distribution of sample means to approach normality as the sample size increases. Specifically, it states that the maximum squared difference (mN) must become negligible compared to the sample variance (SN2) as the sample size (N) grows infinitely large.

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Sampling Fraction

The relative size of the sample (n) compared to the population size (N). Expressed as the fraction n/N.

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Upper Limit for Sample Variance (K)

The limiting value of the sample variance (K) that ensures the probability of observing a sample variance exceeding this value is less than 0.05.

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Sampling Distribution of Sample Variance

The distribution of sample variances from repeated samples drawn from a population.

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Distribution of Sample Variance

The chi-square distribution with (n-1) degrees of freedom, where 'n' is the sample size.

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Expected Value of Sample Variance

The expected value of the sample variance is equal to the population variance, but only in the case of random sampling with replacement.

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Unbiased Estimator of Population Variance

An unbiased estimator of the population variance is found by dividing the sample variance by a correction factor that accounts for sampling without replacement.

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Unbiased Estimator of Population Variance (Without Replacement)

The formula used to estimate the population variance when sampling without replacement.

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Estimating Variance of Sample Mean

The use of the sample variance to estimate the variance of the sample mean.

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Estimating Variance of Sample Mean (Without Replacement)

The formula used to estimate the variance of the sample mean when sampling without replacement.

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Most Efficient Estimator

An unbiased estimator with the smallest variance. It is preferred among other unbiased estimators due to its accuracy and efficiency.

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Minimum Variance Unbiased Estimator (MVUE)

The unbiased estimator with the smallest variance. It's the most desirable estimator because it achieves the best balance between accuracy and precision.

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Relative Efficiency

A measure of how much one unbiased estimator performs better than another. It is calculated as the ratio of the variances of the two estimators.

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Sample Mean vs. Sample Median Efficiency

The sample mean is more efficient than the sample median for estimating the population mean in a normal distribution. This means it's less variable and provides a more precise estimate.

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Variance and Efficiency

The efficiency of an estimator depends on its variance, with lower variance indicating higher efficiency.

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Expected Value of Sample Variance (s²)

The expected value of the sample variance (s²), calculated from a sample of size n, is equal to the population variance (σ²) multiplied by (n-1)/n.

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Sum of Squared Deviations from Sample Mean

The sum of squared deviations of sample data points from their sample mean. It measures the spread of the data around the average.

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Proof of Expected Value (s²)

The mathematical proof demonstrates that the expected value of the sum of squared deviations from the sample mean is equal to (n-1) times the population variance.

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Degrees of Freedom (df)

When calculating the sample variance, we subtract 1 from the sample size (n) in the denominator. This is because we lose one degree of freedom when using the sample mean to estimate the population mean.

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s² Measures Dispersion

The expected value of the sample variance (s²) is a measure of the average dispersion of the data around the mean in repeated samples.

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Chi-Square (χ²) Distribution

The chi-square distribution is used to analyze the variance of a population based on sample variances. The distribution is right-skewed and has a single parameter, degrees of freedom (df).

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Population Standard Deviation (σ)

The standard deviation of a population is a key factor in determining the expected value of the sample variance. A larger population standard deviation leads to a larger expected value for s².

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Study Notes

Lecture 5: Sampling Distribution Theory (Chapter 6)

  • The lecture covers sampling distribution theory, focusing on sampling from a population, sampling distributions of sample means, sample proportions, and sample variances, along with properties of point estimators.

Plan of This Lecture

  • Sampling from a Population
  • Sampling Distributions of Sample Means
  • Sampling Distributions of Sample Proportions
  • Sampling Distributions of Sample Variances
  • Properties of Point Estimators (Section 7.1)

Review of Descriptive and Inferential Statistics

  • Descriptive statistics involves collecting, presenting, and describing data.
  • Inferential statistics involves drawing conclusions and making decisions about a population based on sample data.
  • Estimation is used to estimate population parameters using sample data. Examples include estimating the population mean weight.
  • Hypothesis testing uses sample evidence to test claims about population parameters. An example is testing if the population mean weight is 120 pounds.

Sampling from a Population

  • Statistical analysis requires a proper sample from a population.
  • A population includes all items of interest.
  • A simple random sample involves randomly choosing n objects from a population, with each object having an equal chance of being selected.
  • Random sampling with replacement involves drawing an item from the population and placing it back before the next draw.
  • Random sampling without replacement involves drawing an item, not returning it to the population, and then drawing the next item.

Population and Simple Random Sample

  • Statistical analysis requires a sample representative of a population.
  • A population comprises all items of interest.
  • A large population can be treated as infinite for sampling purposes.
  • Random processes may underpin population generation.

Sampling Distributions

  • Random samples' randomness stems from random drawing and sampling without knowing beforehand all items in the sample.
  • The population mean (μ) is calculated using the expected value of the population variable (X).
  • The population variance (σ²) is calculated using the formula E[(x-μ)²]
  • The sample standard deviation (s) is calculated using the square root of s².

Development of a Sampling Distribution

  • An example illustrates how a sampling distribution is developed. This example uses a finite population (N = 4) and a random variable (X) that represents the age of individuals, where the ages are 18, 20, 22, and 24 years old.

Sampling Distribution of All Sample Means

  • Listing all possible samples of a given size (n=2) provides a sampling distribution.

Comparing the Population with its Sampling Distribution

  • The population data and its sampling distribution demonstrate that the sampling distribution mean is the same as the population mean, but the sampling distribution's standard deviation is smaller. (smaller standard error)

Sampling Distributions of Sample Means

  • The mean of a sampling distribution of sample means accurately reflects the population mean, regardless of the specific population's distribution.
  • Mean (x) is calculated, as the sum of individual means divided by the number of samples.

Variance of Sample Means

  • Sample variance (s²) is calculated considering both sampling with and without replacement.
  • Variance (x) decreases with larger sample sizes (n).

Rigorous Analysis for Random Sampling Without Replacement

  • Rigorous analysis involves formulas for population variance, incorporating the idea of sample covariance.

Finite Population Correction Factor

  • The finite population correction factor (N-n/N) is negligible when the population size is large compared to the sample size.

Sampling Distribution of Sample Means

  • If a population follows a normal distribution, the sample means will also follow a normal distribution.

Central Limit Theorem

  • The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) states that the sampling distribution of the sample means approaches a normal distribution as the sample size (n) increases, regardless of the population's distribution shape.

History of LLN and CLT

  • Details regarding the origins of the laws are provided, along with important contributors' names and affiliations.

Example Applying CLT

  • A practical calculation illustrating how the CLT can be used to calculate probabilities based on sample means in a large population.

CLT for Random Sampling Without Replacement

Discussion of CLT

Sampling Distribution of Sample Proportions

  • Sample proportions follow a binomial distribution.
  • As sample sizes increase, the sampling distribution of proportions approaches a normal distribution.

Example Applying Sampling Distributions of Sample Proportions

  • Calculating probabilities associated with sample proportions using the normal approximation.

Sampling Distributions of Sample Variances

  • Sample variances are essential for understanding how data vary around the sample mean.

Sampling Distribution of the Sample Variance

  • Sample variance (s²) is a natural estimate for population variance (σ²).
  • Sample variance's expected value (E[s²]) equals the population variance (σ²) for normally distributed populations.

x² Distribution

  • The x² distribution arises from independent standard normal random variables.
  • Its values are always positive.

Mean and Variance of the Sample Variance

Further Results

  • The expected value (E[s²]) and variance of s² are presented, along with conditions for unbiasedness.

Summary

  • The summary provides a table summarizing estimators for the mean (x ), proportion (p), and variance (s²) with considerations of sample size (n), population size (N), and whether sampling is with replacement or not.

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