Stock Valuation

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Questions and Answers

In the one-period valuation model, how do changes in the expected sales price and dividends impact the current value of a stock?

  • The current value depends only on the actual value of the dividends and expected sales price received in one year.
  • The current value depends upon the present value of both the dividends and the expected sales price. (correct)
  • The current value depends only on the present value of future dividends.
  • The current value depends only on the future value of dividends and the actual sales price.

According to the one-period valuation model, what is the effect of an increase in the required rate of return on equity investments on the current stock price?

  • It reduces the expected sales price of the stock.
  • It increases the current price of the stock.
  • It increases the expected sales price of the stock.
  • It reduces the current price of the stock. (correct)

Using the one-period valuation model, what is the current price of a stock with a year-end dividend of $0.11, an expected sales price of $110, and a required rate of return of 10%?

  • $121.12.
  • $110.11.
  • $100.10. (correct)
  • $100.11

With the Gordon growth formula, what is the current stock price if D1 is $2.00, ke is 12% (0.12), and g is 10% (0.10)?

<p>$100. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What key assumption does the Gordon Growth Model make about the rate at which dividends will grow?

<p>Dividends will grow at a constant rate. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is an asset's price determined in asset markets?

<p>Set by the buyer willing to pay the highest price. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which factor would most likely lead to a decrease in a stock's price?

<p>An expected decrease in the level of future dividends. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What financial variable changes when there is a change in the perceived risk of a stock?

<p>The required rate of return. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How does monetary expansion generally affect stock prices, with all other factors held constant?

<p>Increases stock prices due to a decrease in the required rate of return and an increase in the dividend growth rate. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the economic term for the view that expectations evolve gradually over time based on past information?

<p>Adaptive expectations. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the most significant criticism of the adaptive expectations theory?

<p>This view ignores that people use more information than just past data to form their expectations. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the context of economics, what characterizes expectation formation when a forecast incorporates all available information?

<p>Rational. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If information isn't available when an optimal forecast is made, how are these expectations classified under rational expectations theory?

<p>Still considered to be formed rationally. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to rational expectations theory, what are the properties of forecast errors on average?

<p>Zero; cannot be predicted ahead of time. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the efficient markets hypothesis, what best describes the current price of a financial security?

<p>Fully reflects all available relevant information. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does the efficient markets hypothesis suggest will happen if an unexploited profit opportunity arises in an efficient market?

<p>It will be quickly eliminated. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In what scenario is a company's stock price decline after announcing favorable earnings consistent with the efficient markets hypothesis?

<p>Consistent with the efficient markets hypothesis if the earnings were not as high as anticipated. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the efficient markets hypothesis, what investment strategy is generally most beneficial for investors?

<p>Do better on average if they adopt a 'buy and hold' strategy. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the recommended method for small investors to implement a 'buy and hold' investment strategy?

<p>Buy no-load mutual funds with low management fees. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In an efficient market, if all prices correctly reflect market fundamentals, which statement is FALSE?

<p>A stock that has done poorly in the past is more likely to do well in the future. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

One-Period Valuation Model

The value of a share of stock today, based on the present value of future dividends and the expected sales price.

Required Return on Equity

The rate of return required by an investor to compensate for the risk of investing in a stock.

Gordon Growth Formula

A formula that calculates the intrinsic value of a stock based on future dividends that grow at a constant rate.

Asset Pricing in Markets

The price of an asset is determined by the buyer willing to pay the highest price.

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Impact of Decreased Dividends

A reduction of future dividends will lead to a decrease in stock price.

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Risk and Required Rate of Return

Changes in perceived risk directly impact the required rate of return for a stock.

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Adaptive Expectations

Expectations that change slowly over time in response to new information.

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Rational Expectations

A forecast made using all available information.

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Rational Expectations Errors

Forecast errors will, on average, be zero and cannot be predicted ahead of time.

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Efficient Markets Hypothesis

The current price of a financial security fully reflects all available relevant information.

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Market Efficiency Dynamics

An unexploited profit opportunity will be quickly eliminated.

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Buy and Hold Strategy

Investors do better on average if they adopt a 'buy and hold' strategy.

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Efficient Market Investment

One investment is as good as any other because the securities' prices are correct.

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Market Sentiment

Factors other than market fundamentals affect asset prices.

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Loss Aversion

People are more unhappy when they suffer losses than they are happy when they achieve gains.

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Overconfidence Bias

People tend to be overconfident in their own judgments.

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Uncertainty and Equity Returns

Increased uncertainty raises the required return on investment in equity.

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Study Notes

  • In the one-period valuation model, a stock's value today is the present value of both dividends and expected sales price.
  • In the one-period valuation model, an increase in the required return on equity investments decreases the current stock price.
  • Using the one-period valuation model, with a year-end dividend of $0.11, an expected sales price of $110, and a required return rate of 10%, the current stock price would be $100.10.
  • Using the Gordon growth formula, if D1 is $2.00, ke is 12% (0.12), and g is 10% (0.10), the current stock price is $100.
  • The Gordon Growth Model assumes dividends grow at a constant rate.
  • In asset markets, an asset's price is set by the buyer willing to pay the highest price.
  • An expected decrease in future dividends may lead to a stock's price decrease.
  • A change in the perceived risk of a stock changes the required rate of return.
  • Monetary expansion increases stock prices due to a decrease in the required return rate and an increase in the dividend growth rate, everything else held constant.
  • Adaptive expectations suggest expectations change slowly over time in response to new information.
  • A major criticism of adaptive expectations is that it ignores that people use more information than just past data to form their expectations.
  • If a forecast is made using all available information, then expectations are rational.
  • If additional information is not used when forming an optimal forecast because it is not available at that time, then expectations are still considered to be formed rationally.
  • When using rational expectations, forecast errors will, on average, be zero and cannot be predicted ahead of time.
  • If someone doesn't use all available information when forming expectations, their prediction is not rational.
  • According to the efficient markets hypothesis, the current price of a financial security fully reflects all available relevant information.
  • According to the efficient markets hypothesis, if an unexploited profit opportunity arises in an efficient market it will be quickly eliminated.
  • The efficient markets hypothesis suggests that if earnings were not as high as anticipated, the price of a company's stock falls after the announcement of favorable earnings.
  • The efficient markets hypothesis indicates that investors do better on average if they adopt a "buy and hold" strategy.
  • For small investors, the best way to pursue a "buy and hold" strategy is to buy no-load mutual funds with low management fees.
  • It is false that a stock that has done poorly in the past is more likely to do well in the future, because if in an efficient market all prices are correct and reflect market fundamentals one investment is as good as any other because the securities' prices are correct.
  • Stock market crashes lead us to believe that factors other than market fundamentals have an effect on asset prices.
  • Loss aversion means people are more unhappy when they suffer losses than they are happy when they achieve gains.
  • Psychologists have found that people tend to be overconfident in their own judgments.
  • Increased uncertainty resulting from the global financial crisis raised the required return on investment in equity.

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