Spreadsheet Models & Decision Analysis
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Questions and Answers

Which guideline emphasizes the importance of organizing data before building the model?

  • Utilize text boxes for documentation
  • Do not embed numeric constraints in formulas
  • Organize the data, then build the model around the data (correct)
  • Use colors for better readability
  • What is a key limitation when solving linear programming problems graphically?

  • It is only feasible with two decision variables (correct)
  • It can only solve problems with one decision variable
  • It cannot address real-world problems
  • It is limited to linear equations only
  • Why should numeric constraints not be embedded in formulas according to spreadsheet design guidelines?

  • Formulas will perform better without them
  • It complicates the model and makes debugging difficult (correct)
  • They decrease the visual appeal of the spreadsheet
  • It is unnecessary if data is organized well
  • What best describes the importance of using color, shading, and borders in spreadsheets?

    <p>They help distinguish changeable parameters from other model elements</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What relationship should be maintained according to the design guidelines?

    <p>Logically related elements should be physically related</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why should long and complex calculations be divided into several cells in a spreadsheet?

    <p>It reduces errors and simplifies maintenance.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What characterizes prescriptive spreadsheet models?

    <p>They focus on maximizing or minimizing objectives.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which tool in Excel is used for optimization in prescriptive models?

    <p>Solver</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following is NOT a feature of optimization problems?

    <p>Descriptive functions</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the main purpose of using Monte Carlo simulation in spreadsheet modeling?

    <p>To replace static inputs with random values.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following describes decision variables in optimization models?

    <p>They are the variable factors influenced by the decisions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In relaying choices for decision-making, what is a key benefit of what-if models?

    <p>They help analyze multiple alternatives.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which aspect of decision-making do optimization problems generally involve?

    <p>Maximizing or minimizing limited resources.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which component is essential in the structure of decisions made by a manager?

    <p>An aim that the manager wants to achieve</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What describes decision making under risk?

    <p>The decision maker knows the probabilities of the various outcomes</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the first step in the six steps of decision making?

    <p>Clearly define the problem at hand</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which criterion is categorized as an optimistic approach in decision making under uncertainty?

    <p>Maximax</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the decision-making process, what happens after an alternative is chosen?

    <p>Events occur that are beyond the manager's control</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary focus of linear programming (LP) problems in resource allocation?

    <p>Optimally allocating limited resources</p> Signup and view all the answers

    When faced with an order that cannot be completely filled by its own production capacity, what must a company decide?

    <p>Which items to produce and which to subcontract</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the goal in an investment problem within finance?

    <p>Maximizing return while adhering to cash flow and risk constraints</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In the transportation problem, what is the primary objective?

    <p>Minimizing the cost of distribution</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What type of problems does the blending problem typically involve?

    <p>Determining an optimal mix of ingredients or materials</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a characteristic of mixed integer-linear programming (MILP) in the context of blending problems?

    <p>It involves blending several resources or materials</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is a fundamental assumption of the transportation problem?

    <p>Demand requirements and supply limitations must be considered</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following best describes the application of linear programming in logistics?

    <p>It is used to effectively manage and allocate transport costs</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the primary objective of the transportation problem?

    <p>Minimize the cost of distributing a product</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In which type of problem does the amount of flow exiting an arc differ from the amount entering the arc?

    <p>Generalized network flow problem</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What kind of problems do maximum flow problems typically address?

    <p>Determining maximum capacity in a network</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which statement accurately describes the minimal spanning tree problem?

    <p>It minimizes the lengths of the edges of the tree.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Integer linear programming problems result when decision variables are restricted to which type of values?

    <p>Integer values only</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What does an integrality condition ensure in linear programming?

    <p>Certain variables must be integer values</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which of the following describes the objective of the maximal flow problem?

    <p>To determine the maximum material flow in a network</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How is the minimal spanning tree problem generally solved?

    <p>Through manual algorithms</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What distinguishes integer variables from continuous variables in a problem?

    <p>Integer variables can only take whole numbers.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the principal outcome when the integrality conditions are dropped in the LP relaxation of an ILP?

    <p>The feasible region changes significantly.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    When comparing ILP and its LP relaxation solutions, which statement is true?

    <p>The objective value for ILP can be worse than LP relaxation.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Why is rounding not a reliable method for obtaining feasible solutions?

    <p>The rounded solution may be feasible but suboptimal.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the purpose of a suboptimality tolerance factor in ILP packages?

    <p>To allow stopping once a sufficiently good integer solution is found.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What process does the branch and bound algorithm follow to solve ILP problems?

    <p>It requires solving multiple LP problems termed 'candidate problems'.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens when the objective value for LP relaxation is $64,306 and an integer solution is found at $61,090?

    <p>This integer solution is within acceptable tolerance of the optimal.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    When might integer solutions not be guaranteed from the LP relaxation of an ILP?

    <p>When dropping integrality conditions.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Spreadsheet Models

    • Spreadsheet models are mathematical and logical models
    • Often referred to as "what-if" models
    • Frequently used business analytics tools
    • Easy-to-use sophisticated mathematical and logical functions
    • Allow for instantaneous recalculation of outputs after input changes
    • Less expensive than specialized software packages
    • Often pre-installed on computers
    • Considered reasonable and user-friendly

    Make-versus-Buy Decision

    • Total manufacturing cost is the sum of fixed and variable costs
    • Fixed costs remain constant regardless of production quantity
    • Variable costs depend on and change with production quantity
    • Make-versus-buy decisions compare in-house manufacturing costs with outsourcing costs

    Influence Diagram for Nowlin Plastics

    • Visual representation of the influence relationships in a model
    • Arrows connect nodes to illustrate influence between them
    • Right diagram depicts manufacturing versus outsourcing costs for bowling plastics
    • Modular approach simplifies modeling

    General Principles of Spreadsheet Model Design and Construction

    • Separate parameters from the model—update parameters without disrupting formulas
    • Document the model with clear labels and formatting
    • Use simple, easily maintained formulas

    Descriptive and Predictive Spreadsheet Models

    • Decision-making is complex due to uncertainty and numerous options
    • Spreadsheet "what-if" models are descriptive models that help deal with uncertainty
    • Predictive models can be built from data in spreadsheets using Excel tools like regression and exponential smoothing

    Prescriptive Spreadsheet Models

    • Simulation and optimization models are prescriptive
    • Monte Carlo simulations use a random value generation for uncertain inputs
    • Optimizing models aim to maximize or minimize an objective with constraints
    • Excel Solver optimizes models by maximizing or minimizing objectives with constraints

    10 Optimization and Linear Programming

    • Decision-making involves optimization
    • Facing decisions with limited resources (e.g., class schedules, land use, worker availability)
    • Optimization models involve inputs, decision variables, objective functions, and constraints
    • Objective functions are maximized or minimized, subject to constraints

    Linear Programming (LP) Problems

    • LP is a type of optimization problem
    • Involves linear functions and constraints
    • Excel spreadsheets can solve LP problems

    Product Mix Problem

    • Multiple products compete for finite resources
    • Companies determine optimal product proportions to maximize revenue and profits

    Spreadsheet Design Guidelines

    • Organize data; build model around data
    • Avoid embedding numeric constraints in formulas
    • Related items should be physically located together
    • Use easy-to-copy formulas
    • Left-to-right, top-to-bottom organization
    • Use visual aids like color, shading, borders, and protection to distinguish parameters.

    Make-Versus-Buy Decision

    • Decisions about allocating scarce resources
    • Spreadsheet models are good for making decisions that maximize efficiency by optimally assigning tasks or resources.

    Investment Problem

    • Manufacturing companies need to plan production and inventory for future periods.
    • Demand forecasts and resource constraints are taken into account to define optimal production and inventory levels for various time periods based on economic considerations.

    Transportation Problem

    • Network flow problems minimize distribution costs
    • Distributing products from sources to destinations.

    Blending Problem

    • Optimal mix of ingredients
    • Finding least costly mixtures of ingredients to produce a desired output (ex: Gasoline, Fertilizers)
    • Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) blending problems

    Production Planning Problem

    • Crucial for manufacturing companies to plan resource allocation (production and inventory).
    • Forecasting demand, considering resources, and determining production schedules.

    11 Sensitivity Analysis

    • Evaluating how changes in input values affect optimal solutions of a model.
    • Understanding the impact of variability of input values on the model's optimal solution.
    • Useful for managing uncertainty in input values, by analyzing the robustness of the models results.

    Network Modeling

    • Network flow problems: finding shortest paths, maximum flow, and other network-related problems.

    12 Network Modeling

    • Network flow problems: finding shortest paths, maximum flow, etc.
    • Analyzing flows and related problems in networks.

    13 Integer Linear Programming (ILP)

    • Linear programming where some or all variables must be whole numbers
    • Integrality conditions: integer constraints in LP models.

    14 Aggregate Planning

    • Planning production and inventory over a specific time horizon.
    • Anticipating and meeting demand while balancing costs.

    15 Simulation

    • Experimentally testing the behavior of real-world systems, typically on a computer
    • Testing strategies and understanding scenarios of variability.

    16 Structuring Decisions

    • Types of decision-making in uncertain environments, including structured and unstructured, with specific examples to each case.

    Decision Making in Uncertainty (Six Steps)

    • Define Problem
    • List Possible Alternatives
    • List possible outcomes or states of nature
    • List the payoff of each combination of alternatives and outcomes
    • Select a decision theory model
    • Apply the model and make the decision

    Decision Making under Risk & Uncertainty

    • Decision-making considerations under both risk and uncertainty.
    • Applying models involving probabilities and outcomes in cases that involve uncertainty.

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    Description

    This quiz explores spreadsheet models, emphasizing their role as 'what-if' tools used in business analytics. Additionally, it covers the make-versus-buy decision process, comparing in-house versus outsourcing costs. Finally, influence diagrams specific to manufacturing contexts are discussed.

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