Shriram Finance Apr-24

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Questions and Answers

What was India's annual retail inflation rate in March compared to February?

  • Increased to 5.09%
  • Remained unchanged at 5.09%
  • Decreased to 3.80%
  • Decreased to 4.85% (correct)

What is the projected GDP growth rate for India in FY '25 according to RBI?

  • 8.0%
  • 7.0% (correct)
  • 5.5%
  • 6.0%

What percentage of long period average rainfall has the Indian IMD predicted for the monsoon in 2024?

  • 110%
  • 106% (correct)
  • 100%
  • 102%

What effect did monsoon predictions have on agricultural credit growth?

<p>Increased by 20% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which aspect of consumer sentiment improved according to the RBI's survey?

<p>Consumer confidence for the year ahead improved. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What has contributed to the pickup in rural demand since Q2 FY '24?

<p>Strong agricultural output (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How has the RBI responded to retail inflation rates in relation to the repo rate?

<p>Unchanged at 6.5% for seven meetings (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the total amount written off for bad debts during the quarter?

<p>Rs. 1,266 crores (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What has been the trend in capacity utilization levels recently?

<p>Flat lined around 75% (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What percentage increase in used vehicle prices was observed in the last financial year?

<p>25% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the projected growth rate for the CV (Commercial Vehicle) portfolio over the next few years?

<p>12% to 15% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the margin that Umesh G. Revankar aims to maintain?

<p>9% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What primary factor is expected to slow credit demand in the first quarter?

<p>Government election duties (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to the information, why is the supply of used vehicles currently restricted?

<p>Low sales of new vehicles in previous years (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much growth did the CV segment actually achieve in the financial year?

<p>14.6% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What has been the asset under management (AUM) growth delivered this year?

<p>21% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of products does Umesh G. Revankar intend to focus on for growth?

<p>High-yielding, granular products (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When are the new vehicles expected to be available in the market, impacting the supply of used vehicles?

<p>4 to 5 years from now (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much AUM growth is considered aspirational for the company?

<p>15% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the percentage increase in GST collection for March '24 compared to the previous year?

<p>11.5% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What factor is contributing to the strong prices of used vehicles?

<p>Higher prices of new vehicles (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the anticipated effect of CAPEX-driven growth on the economy according to Umesh G. Revankar?

<p>It will slow down due to election activities. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How many commercial vehicles were sold in Q4 FY '24?

<p>2.68 lakh (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is implied about the growth of the CV portfolio in the immediate future?

<p>Steady growth is expected (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What strategy does Umesh G. Revankar prefer over focusing solely on top line growth?

<p>Focusing on granular, smaller loans (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the growth percentage for passenger vehicle sales in Q4 FY '24?

<p>11.50% (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which vehicle category saw a growth of 24.9% in Q4 FY '24?

<p>Two-wheelers (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is suggested as a reason for the company not aiming for 20% AUM growth?

<p>Uncertainty during election periods (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the total number of two-wheelers sold for the full year?

<p>179.74 lakh (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In Q4 FY '24, what was the sales figure for three-wheelers?

<p>1.65 lakh (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the growth rate for tractor sales in Q4 FY '24?

<p>9.12% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For the full year, what was the total number of M&HCV units sold?

<p>3.73 lakh (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the reason for the interest cost remaining constant?

<p>Incremental borrowing rates only apply to new loans, not the existing book. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the increase in deposit rates for the majority of the portfolio?

<p>Between 5 to 10 basis points. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which market does the company not foresee returning to for further raises?

<p>Offshore market. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much did the company increase its deposit rate in one particular bucket?

<p>20 basis points. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the likely impact of BS-VI vehicles on pricing in the future?

<p>They are expected to cause an increase in pricing. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the company's current guidance for the pricing outlook?

<p>11% to 12%. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What segment is Umesh expected to provide insights about?

<p>Commercial vehicles (CV). (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What condition needs to be met for a significant increase in borrowing costs?

<p>A large increase in the deposit portfolio. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the percentage increase in Construction Equipment sales for the full year compared to the previous year?

<p>23.77% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the net interest income reported in Q4 FY '24?

<p>Rs. 5,336.06 crores (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the percentage growth of disbursement year-on-year in Q4 FY '24?

<p>26.64% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much did the profit after tax (PAT) grow in Q4 FY '24 compared to Q4 FY '23?

<p>48.73% (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the AUM as of 31st March 2024 compared to the previous year?

<p>Rs. 2,24,861.98 crores (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 FY '24?

<p>Rs. 51.79 (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How much was the quarter-on-quarter growth in net interest income in Q4 FY '24?

<p>4.75% (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What was the total disbursement amount in quarter 4 FY '24?

<p>Rs. 39,326.86 crores (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Inflation

The rate at which the general price level of goods and services in an economy rises over a period of time.

Retail Inflation

A measure of the average change in prices paid by urban consumers for a basket of consumer goods and services.

Wholesale Inflation

A gauge of price changes in the wholesale market, reflecting the prices of raw materials and intermediate goods.

Repo Rate

The interest rate at which the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) lends money to commercial banks.

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Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

The total value of goods and services produced in a country over a specific period of time.

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Long Period Average (LPA) Rainfall

The amount of rainfall expected in a year, based on historical data.

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Rural Demand

The demand for goods and services in the rural areas of a country.

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Capacity Utilization Level

The measure of how much of a company's or country's productive capacity is being used.

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GST Collection in March 2024

The Goods and Services Tax (GST) collection in March 2024 was ₹1.78 lakh crore, representing an 11.5% increase compared to the same period in the previous year.

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Total GST Collection in FY ‘24

The total GST collected for the entire financial year 2023-24 (FY ‘24) was ₹20.1 lakh crore, marking an 11.7% increase over the previous year.

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Commercial Vehicle Sales in Q4 FY ‘24

Commercial vehicle sales in Q4 FY ‘24 totaled 2.68 lakh units, slightly lower than the 2.79 lakh units sold in the previous year’s Q4. This decline was anticipated due to the upcoming national elections, where economic activity generally slows down.

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Commercial Vehicle Sales in FY ‘24

The total commercial vehicle sales for the whole financial year FY ‘24 reached 9.68 lakh units, nearly the same as the 9.62 lakh units sold in the previous year.

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M&HCV Sales in Q4 FY ‘24

The sales of Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles (M&HCVs) in Q4 FY ‘24 fell to 1.10 lakh units, down from 1.18 lakh units in the previous year’s Q4.

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LCV Sales in Q4 FY ‘24

The sales of Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs) in Q4 FY ‘24 stood at 1.58 lakh units, a slight decrease from the 1.61 lakh units sold in the previous year’s Q4.

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Passenger Vehicle Sales in Q4 FY ‘24

Passenger vehicle sales in Q4 FY ‘24 registered strong growth of 11.50%, reaching 11.36 lakh units compared to 10.18 lakh units in the same period of the previous year.

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Two-wheeler Sales in Q4 FY ‘24

Two-wheeler sales in Q4 FY ‘24 witnessed a significant growth of 24.9%, with 45.04 lakh units being sold as against 36.05 lakh units sold in Q4 FY ‘23.

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Net Interest Income

The amount of money earned from interest income after deducting interest expense.

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Net Interest Margin (NIM)

The ratio of net interest income to average earning assets. It measures the profitability of a financial institution's lending operations.

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AUM (Assets Under Management)

The total value of all assets under management by a financial institution.

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Profit After Tax (PAT)

Profit after tax is the net income of a company after deducting all expenses, including taxes. It is a measure of the company's profitability.

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Earnings Per Share (EPS)

Earnings per share (EPS) is a measure of a company's profitability that shows how much profit is generated for each share of stock outstanding. It is calculated by dividing net income by the number of outstanding shares of stock.

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Disbursement

Disbursement in finance refers to the payment of money by a financial institution to a borrower.

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Disbursement Growth

The growth in disbursement indicates an increase in the amount of money being loaned out by a financial institution.

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AUM Growth

AUM growth indicates that a financial institution is expanding its assets under management.

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Interest Cost

The cost of borrowing money, typically expressed as a percentage of the principal amount.

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Borrowings

Short-term loans that a company takes out from banks or other financial institutions.

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Deposit Rate

The interest rate that a financial institution charges its depositors for keeping their money with them.

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External Commercial Borrowing (ECB)

A loan that a company receives from an international financial institution.

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Domestic Currency

The currency of the country in which a company operates.

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BS-VI Vehicle

A type of vehicle that meets stricter emission standards.

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Financial Guidance

The prediction of a company's future performance and its potential impact on its financial condition.

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Maintaining a 9% Margin

Maintaining a specific profit margin on each loan, often calculated as a percentage of the loan amount.

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High-Yielding Products

A strategy focused on offering small loans with higher interest rates, aiming to maximize profits.

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Cross-Selling

A strategy of increasing the number of products sold to existing customers, like encouraging a loan customer to also take out an insurance policy.

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Granular Loans

A strategy focused on individual, small loans rather than large loans, aiming for consistency and stability.

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Election Period Slowdown

The period just before elections, which can often slow down economic activity as businesses wait to see the outcome.

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CAPEX-Driven Growth

Spending on new equipment, factories, and infrastructure, often driven by government investment.

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Bottom Line Growth (Profits) vs. Top Line Growth (Assets)

The primary aim of the company is to increase profits even if it means slowing down the overall growth in assets.

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What is Incremental Provisioning?

The amount of money a company sets aside to cover potential losses from borrowers who may not repay their loans. Higher provisioning indicates a greater risk of bad debts.

In this case, Shriram Finance set aside Rs. 456 crore in incremental provisioning to prepare for potential loan defaults.

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What are Written-off debts?

The practice of writing off bad debts occurs when a lender determines that a borrower is unlikely to repay a loan. This amount is removed from the company's assets. In this instance, Shriram Finance wrote off Rs. 805 crore in bad debts.

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Why are Used Vehicle Prices Rising?

Used vehicle prices are going up due to a shortage of new vehicle sales in the past and a continued strong demand for used vehicles. This increase in used vehicle prices is a positive factor for Shriram Finance's commercial vehicle (CV) portfolio.

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What is the Expected Growth of Shriram Finance's CV Portfolio?

Shriram Finance anticipates its commercial vehicle (CV) portfolio growing at a steady pace of 12% to 15% in the coming years. This growth is supported by the strong demand for used vehicles and the expected influx of newer vehicles into the used market in the future.

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What is the Current State of Used Vehicle Supply?

The supply of used vehicles is currently limited because of reduced new vehicle sales in the past (2019-2022). This shortage will take approximately 2 to 3 years to be rectified as newer vehicles age and enter the used vehicle market.

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What is the Outlook for Used Vehicle Supply?

Shriram Finance sees a future with an abundance of used vehicles in the next 4 to 5 years, due to the expected increase in new vehicle sales over the past two years (2022-2023). This will create a larger pool of used vehicles for Shriram Finance to finance.

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What is the Expectation for Used Vehicle Demand?

The demand for used commercial vehicles is expected to stay strong, driving an increase in the size of Shriram Finance's commercial vehicle financing business. The steady growth of the used vehicle market is expected to continue for several years.

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How Will Shriram Finance's Business Grow?

Due to the projected strong demand and increasing supply of used commercial vehicles, Shriram Finance expects its commercial vehicle portfolio to grow at a steady pace. This consistent expansion will be fueled by the availability and demand for used vehicles in the market.

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Study Notes

Shriram Finance Limited Q4 FY '24 Earnings Conference Call

  • Date: April 26, 2024
  • Key Figures:
    • Indian GDP expanded 8.4% in Q3 2024
    • FY25 GDP growth forecast revised to 7.6%
    • Retail inflation: 4.85% in March 2024; 5.09% in February 2024
    • GST collection for March 2024: Rs. 1.78 lakh crores (11.5% annual growth)
    • Total commercial vehicle sales in Q4 FY24: 2.68 lakh units (vs. 2.79 lakh in Q4 FY23)
    • Total commercial vehicle sales for FY24: 9.68 lakh units (compared to 9.62 lakh in FY23)
    • Passenger vehicle growth: 11.50% in Q4 FY24; 8.40% for full year 2024 (42.19 lakh units vs. 38.90 lakh last year)
    • Two-wheeler growth: 24.9% in Q4 FY24; 13.30% for full year 2024 (179,740 lakh vs. 158,630 last year)
    • Three-wheeler growth: 7.30% in Q4 Fy'24 (1.65 vs 1.54 lakhs units) ; 41.50% for FY24 (6.92 lakh units against 4.89 last year)
    • Construction equipment growth : 20.35% in Q4 FY24 (38079 units vs 31,640 units); 23.77% for full year 2024 (123,443 units vs. 99,735 units)

Management Team

  • Umesh G. Revankar - Executive Vice Chairman
  • Y. S. Chakravarti - Managing Director & CEO
  • Parag Sharma - Joint Managing Director & CFO
  • S. Sunder - Joint Managing Director
  • Ravi Subramanian - MD & CEO, Shriram Housing
  • G.S. Agarwal - CFO, Shriram Housing
  • Sanjay Kumar Mundra - Investor Relation Head

Key Discussion Points

  • Economic Outlook: The Indian economy is robust, with high GDP growth and healthy consumer sentiment.
  • Rural Economy: The rural economy is showing an uptick, with a normal monsoon predicted and improved agricultural credit growth.
  • Auto Industry: The commercial vehicle sector is performing well, but with anticipation of a slowdown. Overall, the auto sector registered positive growth.
  • GST Collection: GST collections are strong, growing at 11.5% year-over-year.
  • Asset Quality: Asset quality is improving.
  • Liquidity: Liquidity is being maintained by managing debt through both onshore and offshore channels.
  • Profitability: Strong profitability growth through credit expansion.

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