Security Prices and Portfolio Analysis

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Questions and Answers

The total expense ratio (TER) for mutual funds expresses the total costs of running a fund as a percentage of the fund´s liabilities.

False (B)

Strategic asset allocation involves continuously adjusting the weights of different asset classes based on market conditions.

False (B)

Beta-Hedging with index futures can completely eliminate systematic risk, provided CAPM is a good model and its parameters are accurate.

True (A)

The Fama and French Three-Factor Model extends the CAPM by incorporating the size and the price-to-earnings ratio of stocks.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Active portfolio management aims to replicate a benchmark index's performance as closely as feasible.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Increasing correlation among normally distributed assets in a portfolio leads to a reduction in the portfolio's standard deviation.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If you hold a short position in a futures contract on a stock index, your margin account balance increases when the index goes up.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The capital market line represents the tangent line between the risk-free rate of return and the efficient frontier.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

According to Markowitz portfolio theory, a good portfolio is a collection of individually good assets.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When entering into a forward contract, the buyer of the contract (long position) has to deposit money in a margin account while this is not necessary for the seller of the contract (short position).

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The real risk-free rate is published on a regular basis (in Austria: monthly) in newspapers and online-databases.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Mutual fund fees: While the front-end load fee has to be paid only when mutual funds are purchased, management fees repeatedly have to be paid on an annual basis.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The strong form of the efficient market hypothesis contends that only insiders can systematically earn abnormal returns.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Diversification with foreign securities can help to reduce portfolio risk.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

The nominal value of a share typically corresponds to the market price of the share.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

While price indices ignore dividend payments and the value of pre-emptive rights, these are incorporated in total return indices.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Technical analysts believe that security prices adjust rapidly.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

For a two-stock portfolio, the correlation coefficient of returns is equal to the covariance.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

One assumption of the classic Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is that investors cannot borrow or lend at the risk-free rate.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Large-cap stocks are stocks with a high book-value, which is the shareholders ‘ equity in the balance sheet.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Newly issued securities are sold in secondary markets, while existing securities are traded in primary markets.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Tactical asset allocation is a long-term method of investing where fixed asset weights are considered.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If a prolonged downward trend sees a black candle followed by a white candle that surrounds the black candle, this is called a bearish engulfing and it signals a downward trend.

<p>False (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), portfolios on the security market line (SML) are combinations of the risk-free asset and a market portfolio.

<p>True (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Is a good portfolio just a collection of good assets?

A portfolio that combines individually good assets does not guarantee overall portfolio performance. Portfolio efficiency can be achieved by considering correlations and diversification.

Do forward contract buyers need to deposit margin?

A forward contract buyer (long position) needs to deposit margin as they are obligated to fulfill the contract. The seller (short position) doesn't have to deposit margin because they are not obligated to purchase the asset.

Is the real risk-free rate published?

The real risk-free rate is not actively published but is a theoretical concept calculated by using market data like government bonds. It represents the expected return on a risk-free investment without inflation.

Mutual fund fees: How often are they charged?

Front-end load fees are paid only once upfront when buying mutual funds, whereas management fees are charged annually as a percentage of the fund's assets.

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Does the strong form EMH assume insiders can earn abnormal returns?

Strong form efficiency assumes even insider information cannot predict future returns. It implies that markets reflect all information including private knowledge.

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Can diversification with foreign securities reduce portfolio risk?

Investing in foreign securities can lower overall portfolio risk by diversifying across different markets and reducing dependence on a single country's economic conditions.

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Are share price, nominal value, & book value the same?

The nominal value of a share is often different from its market price. The book value, representing equity on the balance sheet, also doesn't directly correlate to market capitalization.

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How do pure auction markets operate?

Pure auction markets operate with buyers and sellers submitting bids and asks for a specific stock. The matching of these orders occurs at a central location.

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Technical Analysis and Price Adjustment

Technical analysts believe that security prices adjust quickly to reflect new information, contradicting the idea of slow adjustment.

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Correlation Coefficient vs. Covariance

The correlation coefficient is not simply the square root of covariance. They are related but different concepts. The correlation coefficient is a standardized measure of the linear relationship between returns, while covariance is a raw measure of how the returns of two assets move together.

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CAPM Assumption: Risk-Free Rate

One of the assumptions of the standard CAPM is that investors can borrow or lend at the risk-free rate, enabling them to adjust their portfolio's risk level without limitations.

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Large-cap Stocks and Book Value

Large-cap stocks are stocks of companies with large market capitalization, not necessarily high book value. Market capitalization reflects the total value of a company's outstanding shares

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Primary vs. Secondary Markets

Primary markets issue new securities (like IPOs), while secondary markets exchange existing securities already issued by companies.

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Tactical Asset Allocation

Tactical asset allocation involves short-term adjustments to asset weights, deviating from the long-term strategic asset allocation in response to market conditions and opportunities.

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Bearish Engulfing Pattern

A bearish engulfing pattern is characterized by a black candle followed by a white candle that completely engulfs the black candle, signaling a potential trend reversal.

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CAPM and Security Market Line (SML)

The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) states that portfolios on the Security Market Line (SML) are combinations of the risk-free asset and the market portfolio (M). All efficient portfolios lie on the SML.

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What is the total expense ratio (TER) of a mutual fund?

The total expense ratio (TER) is a percentage representing the total costs associated with managing a mutual fund. These costs include administrative expenses, marketing fees, and fund manager compensation.

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What is strategic asset allocation?

Strategic asset allocation is a long-term investment strategy where the proportions of different asset classes (like stocks, bonds, and real estate) within a portfolio are predetermined and maintained over time. It focuses on long-term goals rather than trying to time market fluctuations.

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What is beta-hedging with index futures?

Beta-hedging with index futures aims to eliminate market risk (systemic risk) by using index futures contracts. The idea is to match the portfolio's beta (market sensitivity) with the beta of the index futures.

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What is the Fama-French three-factor model?

The Fama-French three-factor model is a financial model that expands on the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) by adding two additional factors to explain stock returns: size (market capitalization) and value (book-to-market ratio).

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What is the goal of active portfolio management?

Active portfolio management aims to outperform a benchmark index by using strategies like market timing, stock selection, or sector rotation. The goal is to generate higher returns than the benchmark by taking calculated risks.

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What happens to portfolio standard deviation when correlation between assets increases?

Increasing the correlation among normally distributed assets in a portfolio leads to a higher portfolio standard deviation. This is because highly correlated assets tend to move together, increasing the overall volatility of the portfolio.

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What is Tobin separation?

Tobin separation states that when a risk-free asset is added to the Markowitz portfolio theory, investors will optimally allocate their funds between the risk-free asset and a market portfolio, which is a diversified portfolio of all risky assets.

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What is Jensen's alpha?

Jensen's alpha is a measure of a portfolio's performance that adjusts for risk. It calculates the difference between the actual return of a portfolio and its expected return based on a given risk model, often the CAPM. A positive alpha signifies outperformance relative to the model.

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Study Notes

Security Prices and Portfolio Analysis

  • Technical analysts believe security prices don't adjust rapidly.
  • For a two-stock portfolio, the correlation coefficient of returns equals the square root of the covariance.
  • A key assumption of the CAPM is that investors can borrow or lend at the risk-free rate.
  • Large-cap stocks have high book value.
  • Newly issued securities trade in primary markets; existing securities trade in secondary markets.
  • Tactical asset allocation modifies asset allocation, deviating from strategic asset allocation.
  • A bearish engulfing pattern signals a downward trend.
  • Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) portfolios on the security market line (SML) are combinations of risk-free assets and the market portfolio.
  • Dividend payout ratio = dividend per share / market price per share.
  • Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) is an extension of CAPM, with 27 factors.

Investment Decisions and Portfolios

  • Investors prefer future consumption, compensated for inflation, time, and risk.
  • Only stocks bought on or before the ex-dividend day receive the next dividend.
  • Equally weighted indices give each stock the same weight, regardless of market value.
  • Completeness funds complement active funds that don't cover the complete market.
  • Markowitz Portfolio Theory suggests investing in the stock with the highest expected return for a given level of risk; this is incorrect.
  • A good portfolio consists of individually good assets (according to portfolio theory).
  • Buying a forward contract requires a margin deposit by the buyer, not the seller.
  • Real risk-free rates are not routinely published in a central location.
  • Mutual funds' management fees are paid regularly (annually).

Efficient Market Hypothesis and Portfolio Concepts

  • The strong form of the efficient market hypothesis states only insiders can earn abnormal returns.
  • Diversification with foreign securities can reduce portfolio risk.
  • Nominal and book values of shares don't equal market capitalization.
  • Pure auction markets use centralized bid and ask prices for stocks.
  • Price indices ignore dividends and pre-emptive rights, but total return indices incorporate them.
  • Active equity portfolio management isn't a long-term buy-and-hold strategy.
  • Efficient capital markets adjust prices immediately to reflect new information.
  • A 50-day moving average line crossing the 200-day line from below is a bullish signal (technical analysis).
  • A 50-day moving average crossing the 200-day line from below is a bearish signal (technical analysis).
  • The CAPM's market portfolio includes all risky assets.

Financial Analysis and Models

  • Technicians analyze financial statements for "breakouts."
  • Total expense ratio (TER) for mutual funds represents total fund operating costs.
  • Strategic asset allocation fixes asset class weights for the long term.
  • Hedging with index futures eliminates systematic risk by assuming CAPM parameters are correct.
  • Fama French Three-Factor Model extends CAPM by including size and book-to-market ratios.
  • Active portfolio management seeks to closely match a benchmark index return.
  • Increasing correlations in a portfolio increase standard deviation.
  • A short index future position requires a margin reduction when the index rises.
  • Capital market line's tangent reflects the highest risk-adjusted return among portfolios.
  • Iceberg orders execute when a designated stock price is met.

Portfolio Management and Investing

  • Passive portfolio management samples index securities with weights reflecting index weights; this is incorrect.
  • A doji pattern signifies a pause in trend, not a reversal.
  • Tobin separation indicates all investors invest in risk-free assets or the market portfolio.
  • Jensen's alpha measures risk and return alternatives rather than fitting CAPM.
  • Business risk (calculated using the standard deviation of gross profit).
  • High book-to-market stocks outperform low book-to-market ones, challenging the CAPM.
  • All markets facilitate the trading of goods/services.
  • Markowitz model assumes investors only consider expected return and risk.
  • Income bonds aren't as safe as debentures because income bonds typically pay interest at higher rates.
  • Clients and managers should reach agreement on a benchmark portfolio to ensure client satisfaction, but not that it is absolutely essential.
  • Most experts recommend at least five years' living expenses in cash.

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