Portfolio Analysis Quiz - BU5526
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Questions and Answers

If you invest £100 in a security and receive a dividend of £3 in year 1 and sell the security for £108 in year 1, what is your total return?

  • 8%
  • 10%
  • 11% (correct)
  • 3%

What is the 3-year holding period return if the annual returns are 5%, 12%, and -3%?

  • 14.24% (correct)
  • 13.57%
  • 16.40%
  • 11.88%

Which of these statements is TRUE about the geometric mean return?

  • It is not affected by outliers in the data.
  • It is used to calculate the average rate of return for a single period.
  • It is a better measure of long-term investment performance than the arithmetic mean return. (correct)
  • It is always higher than the arithmetic mean return.

If the arithmetic mean return over three years is 10%, and the annual returns are 8%, 12%, and x%, what is x?

<p>14% (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is an accurate description of the dividend yield?

<p>The return that an investor receives from the dividends paid out by a security. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the difference between equally and unequally weighted means?

<p>Equally weighted means give equal importance to all values, while unequally weighted means prioritize certain values. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for the equally-weighted arithmetic mean?

<p>𝑋ത = (𝑋1 + 𝑋2 + ⋯ + 𝑋𝑁−1 + 𝑋𝑁 )/𝑁 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for the equally-weighted geometric mean?

<p>${𝑋ሜ 𝐺 = 𝑁√(𝑋1 × 𝑋2 × ⋯ × 𝑋𝑁−1 × 𝑋𝑁)}$ (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the primary limitation of using only the mean to describe a population?

<p>The mean does not take into account the variation or spread of the data within the population. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the purpose of using variance in statistics?

<p>Variance is used to assess the variability or spread of a dataset around its mean. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why are Edinburgh and Montreal's mean temperatures potentially misleading in comparing their climates?

<p>The mean temperature does not account for seasonal variations in temperature. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a potential consequence of using a single mean to represent a population?

<p>All of the above. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the geometrical mean of the following numbers: 2, 4, and 8?

<p>5.04 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the difference between arithmetical and geometrical means?

<p>Arithmetical mean is used to calculate the average of a set of numbers, while geometrical mean is used to calculate the average of a set of ratios. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following statements is TRUE about equally and unequally weighted means?

<p>Equally weighted means are used when all observations have the same importance, while unequally weighted means are used when different observations have different importance. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the unequally weighted mean of the following values: 10, 20, and 30, with weights of 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5 respectively?

<p>21.0 (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the content above, the example of a GPA calculation uses an unequally weighted mean. Why are different weights used for the MCQ and essay?

<p>Different weights are used because the essay contributes more to the final grade than the MCQ. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the GPA of a student who scores 14/22 on the MCQ and 18/22 on the essay, if the MCQ contributes 30% to the grade and the essay 70%?

<p>16.8/22 (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the key difference between equally weighted and unequally weighted means, and why would someone use an unequally weighted average?

<p>Equally weighted means treat all observations equally, while unequally weighted means assign different importance to observations depending on their contribution to the overall result. Someone would use an unequally weighted average when certain observations are more important than others. (E)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the mean temperature for Edinburgh based on the provided data?

<p>12.83°C (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does variance measure in the context of the temperature data?

<p>The average of differences from the mean. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Why can't we just use the differences from the mean to calculate variance?

<p>They often result in zero. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What adjustment is made when calculating variance from a sample instead of the entire population?

<p>Remove one degree of freedom. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In the variance formula, what does the term $N$ represent?

<p>The total number of observations. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which temperature range shows higher variation based on the context provided?

<p>Montréal temperatures. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What mathematical process is used in calculating variance to prevent positive and negative differences from cancelling out?

<p>Squaring the differences. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the mean temperature for Montréal as derived from the data?

<p>11.42°C (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula for variance when dealing with a sample?

<p>$ rac{1}{N-1} imes ext{sum of squared differences}$ (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is a critical reason for calculating variance in temperature data?

<p>To understand the dispersion of temperatures. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation of temperatures in Edinburgh?

<p>4.51°C (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the formula used to calculate variance?

<p>𝜎𝑋 = 1/(𝑁−1) * ∑(𝑋𝑛 − 𝜇𝑋)² (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the standard deviation, in the context of describing temperature differences, a measure of?

<p>The spread of temperatures around the average (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What does a positive skewness value indicate for a dataset?

<p>More positive values in the data (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What concept is used to describe the frequency of extreme values in a dataset?

<p>Kurtosis (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of these is NOT a concept used to describe a population?

<p>Standard Deviation (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

How is the standard deviation calculated?

<p>By finding the square root of the variance (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the most likely reason that the variance of temperatures in Montréal is much higher than in Edinburgh?

<p>Edinburgh has a more consistent temperature throughout the year. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following is a measure of dispersion in a dataset?

<p>Standard Deviation (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the relationship between variance and standard deviation?

<p>Standard deviation is the square root of the variance. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Geometric Mean

The central tendency measure calculated by multiplying numbers and taking the Nth root.

Arithmetic Mean

The average found by adding numbers and dividing by the count.

Equally Weighted Mean

A mean calculated where all observations have the same importance.

Unequally Weighted Mean

A mean where different observations have varying levels of importance.

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N-th Root

The operation where a number is taken to the power of 1/N.

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Contextual Use of Means

The decision of using arithmetic or geometric mean based on the scenario.

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Importance of Weights

The significance of each observation when calculating means.

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Time-Series Data

Data points collected or recorded at specific time intervals.

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Mean Temperature

The average of temperature readings over a specified time period.

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Variance

A measure of how far each number in a set is from the mean.

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Calculation of Variance

Average of squared differences from the mean.

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Population Variance Formula

σ² = Σ (Xn - μ)² / N, where μ is the mean.

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Sample Variance

Variance calculated from a sample rather than the entire population.

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Degrees of Freedom

The number of values that are free to vary when calculating variance.

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Dispersion

How scattered or spread out the data points are.

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Scattered Data

Data that has values varying significantly from each other.

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Mathematical Expectation

The average of all possible values in a probability distribution.

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Equally Weighted Geometric Mean

A type of geometric mean calculated with equal significance for all data points.

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Unequally Weighted Geometric Mean

A geometric mean where different data points have different weights.

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GPA Calculation

A specific application of the weighted mean in educational grading.

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Limitations of Mean

Mean alone may not accurately represent data, as it doesn't account for variability.

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Population Description

Mean is used to summarize data about a population.

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Comparison of Means

Without variance, mean comparisons can be misleading.

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Holding Period Return

The total return on an investment over a specified time period, accounting for both capital gains and dividends.

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Arithmetic Mean Return

The simple average of all holding period returns, calculated by summing returns and dividing by the number of returns.

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Geometric Mean Return

The average return that accounts for compounding effects over multiple periods, giving a more accurate return measure for investments.

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Capital Gain

The profit earned from the sale of an investment when its price rises above the purchase price.

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Annualized Return

The equivalent return of an investment expressed on an annual basis, useful for comparing different time periods.

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Standard Deviation

The square root of variance that provides a meaningful measure of dispersion.

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Mean

The average value of a data set, calculated by summing values and dividing by the count.

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Skewness

A measure of the asymmetry of the probability distribution of a real-valued random variable.

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Kurtosis

A measure that describes the shape of a probability distribution's tails relative to its overall shape.

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Moments in Statistics

Quantitative measures related to the shape of a set of points.

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Third Moment

Used in calculating skewness, reflecting the asymmetry of the data distribution.

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Positive Skewness

Indicates that more data points are located on the lower side of the average.

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Negative Skewness

Indicates that more data points are found on the higher side of the average.

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Study Notes

Course Information

  • Course code: BU5526
  • Course name: Portfolio Analysis
  • Lecturer(s): Dr Seungho Lee, Dr Pranjal Srivastava
  • Location: Business School, University of Aberdeen
  • Teaching delivery: 10 weeks, including 4 lectures and 3 tutorials per set of lectures, with a quiz to complete. Attendance is compulsory.
  • Main topics: Fundamentals of portfolio theory, Capital Asset Pricing Model, Behavioral Finance, Debt securities, Alternative investments, Derivatives, and Portfolio performance evaluation.
  • Assessments: Two mid-term exams (Week 31 and 39, 2025), a final exam during the exam diet, and tutorials.
  • Resources: Relevant course guide, online tools (MyAberdeen Blackboard, MyTimetable).

Portfolio Management

  • Definition (Financial Times): Managing money for financial institutions or individuals to maximize profit.
  • Definition (Business Dictionary): Prudent administration of investable assets to achieve optimal risk-reward ratios.
  • Participants: Investors, Portfolio Managers (industry title, broad meaning), traders, advisors, loan officers, analysts, etc.

Asset Pricing

  • Definition of an asset: Something belonging to an individual or a business with value or the power to earn money.
  • Main financial assets: Stock, Bonds, Derivates.
  • Asset pricing: Assets are priced by the market.
  • Price discovery: The process for obtaining a fair price for assets, which can vary depending on certain factors like market types, buyer/seller behaviour, etc.
  • Asset pricing concept: Estimating the price of an asset can be done via the current value of its cash flows.

Mathematical Toolkit

  • Three mathematical concepts: Mean, Variance, and Higher moments and distribution.
  • Three financial concepts: Return, Expected returns, Portfolio return and variance.
  • Mean (arithmetic mean): The sum of observations divided by the number of observations (equal weights), or the weighted average of observations, if weights are unequal.
  • Mean (geometric mean): The Nth root of the product of N observations.
  • Variance: The average of the squared differences from the mean.
  • Standard deviation (volatility): The square root of the variance.

Expected Returns

  • Determining expected return from historical data
  • Calculating the expected return through gut feeling or modeling.
  • Historical average: Assumes the same returns as the preceding year.
  • Historical average + variance: Same returns as preceding year, but with the standard deviation considered.

Portfolio Variance

  • Calculating portfolio variance requires analyzing the covariance between assets.
  • Covariance: Measures how two assets move in tandem.
  • Positive covariance: Assets tend to move in the same direction.
  • Negative covariance: Assets tend to move in opposite directions.
  • Correlation: A better interpretation of covariance, ranges from -1 to +1.
  • Correlations and Portfolio risk: Portfolio risk decreases when the correlation between assets is not perfect.

Important Assumptions of Mean-Variance Analysis

  • In finance, the most common approach for describing assets is the mean and variance.
  • This approach assumes that returns are normally distributed.
  • A normal distribution has a mean equal to median, is completely defined by mean and variance, and is symmetric around the mean (68%, 95%, 99% of observations are +/- 1, 2, and 3 standard deviations, respectively).
  • In reality, assets have different characteristics. For example, returns are skewed (not symmetric around the mean) with a large distribution of extreme values (high kurtosis)
  • McMillan, Michael et al., Investments: Principles of Portfolio and Equity Analysis
  • Zvi Bodie, Alex Kane, and Alan J. Marcus, Investments (latest Global edition)

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Description

Test your understanding of Portfolio Analysis concepts with this quiz based on the BU5526 course. Covering fundamentals of portfolio theory, CAPM, behavioral finance, and more, this quiz is essential for your mastery of the subject. Prepare to evaluate investment strategies and portfolio performance.

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