Podcast
Questions and Answers
What is the definition of change blindness?
What is the definition of change blindness?
Tendency not to notice major changes in a scene when the scene is briefly obscured.
Which processing involves the brain making an incorrect inference from perceptual data?
Which processing involves the brain making an incorrect inference from perceptual data?
Flat Earth theory proposes that we live on a round Earth surrounded by a giant ice wall.
Flat Earth theory proposes that we live on a round Earth surrounded by a giant ice wall.
False
A proposition is also known as a ________.
A proposition is also known as a ________.
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Match the following words with their category: therefore, because, conclusion, premise
Match the following words with their category: therefore, because, conclusion, premise
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What is an argument in logic?
What is an argument in logic?
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What are the two main kinds of persuasive arguments discussed in the content?
What are the two main kinds of persuasive arguments discussed in the content?
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What is the form of induction used most often by scientists according to the content?
What is the form of induction used most often by scientists according to the content?
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According to the content, it is impossible to prove with 100% certainty that _ is true.
According to the content, it is impossible to prove with 100% certainty that _ is true.
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Falsifiability is a criterion of adequacy discussed in the content.
Falsifiability is a criterion of adequacy discussed in the content.
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Match the decision theory with its description:
Match the decision theory with its description:
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What does deductive validity mean?
What does deductive validity mean?
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An argument that is deductively valid always has a true conclusion.
An argument that is deductively valid always has a true conclusion.
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What is soundness in an argument?
What is soundness in an argument?
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Inductive logic is concerned with rules for testing the ______ of arguments.
Inductive logic is concerned with rules for testing the ______ of arguments.
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Match the type of induction with its definition:
Match the type of induction with its definition:
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Why is inference to the best explanation important in science?
Why is inference to the best explanation important in science?
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Define risk aversion.
Define risk aversion.
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Which concept is NOT the same as loss aversion?
Which concept is NOT the same as loss aversion?
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The endowment effect refers to the phenomenon where an item appears more valuable once it is owned.
The endowment effect refers to the phenomenon where an item appears more valuable once it is owned.
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Match the following biases with their descriptions:
Match the following biases with their descriptions:
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What is the adaptation level?
What is the adaptation level?
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Which of the following laws states that everything is identical to itself?
Which of the following laws states that everything is identical to itself?
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True contradictions exist.
True contradictions exist.
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If a proposition is true in some possible worlds and false in others, it is ________.
If a proposition is true in some possible worlds and false in others, it is ________.
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What is the term for a faulty form of argument?
What is the term for a faulty form of argument?
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Match the following laws of thought with their descriptions:
Match the following laws of thought with their descriptions:
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What are some common types of scientific misconduct?
What are some common types of scientific misconduct?
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What is the fallacy where an argument attacks a person's character instead of trying to disprove the statement?
What is the fallacy where an argument attacks a person's character instead of trying to disprove the statement?
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The fallacy of appeal to popularity involves attempting to prove a conclusion based on the grounds of popular belief.
The fallacy of appeal to popularity involves attempting to prove a conclusion based on the grounds of popular belief.
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What does the fallacy of equivocation involve?
What does the fallacy of equivocation involve?
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The main preconditions for evolution by natural selection include variation of characteristics, ____, competition, and survival of the fittest.
The main preconditions for evolution by natural selection include variation of characteristics, ____, competition, and survival of the fittest.
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Match the following concepts with their descriptions:
Match the following concepts with their descriptions:
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What is the purpose of cold reading?
What is the purpose of cold reading?
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What is the aim of a psychic when using confirmation bias in cold reading?
What is the aim of a psychic when using confirmation bias in cold reading?
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Shotgunning in cold reading involves bombarding the sitter with lots of information, relying on the client to remember the __________ only.
Shotgunning in cold reading involves bombarding the sitter with lots of information, relying on the client to remember the __________ only.
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The intentional stance is useful for predicting the behavior of systems with beliefs and desires.
The intentional stance is useful for predicting the behavior of systems with beliefs and desires.
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Match the following strategies with their descriptions:
Match the following strategies with their descriptions:
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What is agenticity?
What is agenticity?
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What is the term for the tendency to find meaningful patterns in meaningless noise?
What is the term for the tendency to find meaningful patterns in meaningless noise?
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What is the term for seeing a pattern that involves the actions of an intentional agent where no such pattern or agent exists?
What is the term for seeing a pattern that involves the actions of an intentional agent where no such pattern or agent exists?
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What term is used for perceiving a significant pattern in vague or random stimuli?
What term is used for perceiving a significant pattern in vague or random stimuli?
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What is the main characteristic of an unjustified conspiracy theory?
What is the main characteristic of an unjustified conspiracy theory?
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What is the term for the tendency to think that big events must have big causes, not chance?
What is the term for the tendency to think that big events must have big causes, not chance?
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Study Notes
Blindness
- Change blindness: tendency not to notice major changes in a scene when the scene is briefly obscured
- Inattentional blindness: tendency not to notice features of a scene if attention is focused elsewhere
- Our senses and memories are not always trustworthy and reliable; they can be influenced by expectations and imagination
Our Senses and Memories
- Our senses are fallible and can produce misleading information
- Our conscious experiences are a product of brain processes that operate in the background without awareness or oversight
- Perception is heavily influenced by expectation and imagination
Flat Earth Theory
- The theory suggests that we live on top of a coin-shaped Earth surrounded by a giant ice wall
- The sun and moon are believed to be relatively close to the Earth and move above it, causing day and night
Bottom-up vs Top-down Processing in Perception
- Bottom-up processing: interpretation emerges from sensory data; mistakes in this process can lead to illusions
- Top-down processing: knowledge or expectations influence perception; mistakes in this process can also lead to illusions
- Top-down illusions occur when a higher-level concept influences the interpretation of lower-level sensory data
Memory
- Memory is not always trustworthy and can be influenced by imagination and expectation
- We tend to perceive what we want to see, which is influenced by context
- Memory is malleable and false memories can be easily implanted
Week 2: Propositions and Arguments
Propositions
- A statement that makes a definite factual claim, which can be either true or false
- Examples: "The sun never sets on the British Empire" or "The moon is made of avocado paste"
Imperatives, Questions, and Exclamations
- Imperatives, questions, and exclamations are not statements and are neither true nor false
- Examples: "Hop ship and then jump" or "What do you have on your face?"
Arguments
- A list of declarative statements, one of which is the conclusion, and the others are premises
- The conclusion states the point being argued for, and the premises state the reasons offered in support of the conclusion
Logic
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Logic can't tell us if the premise of an argument is true or false; we need to go out into the world and look
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Logic can tell us whether the argument's premises provide evidential support for its conclusion
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A sound argument is deductively valid and has true premises; a cogent argument is inductively strong and has true premises### Types of Induction
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Enumerative induction: inferring a general regularity or pattern based on the observation of many particular instances
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Statistical induction: using statistical methods to make predictions about a population based on a sample of data
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Inference to the best explanation: working out which hypothesis provides the best explanation of a phenomenon, then concluding that this hypothesis is correct
Importance of Inference to the Best Explanation
- It is impossible to prove with 100% certainty that a theory is true, so scientists use inference to the best explanation
- This method is used in science because of the underdetermination of theory by evidence
Criteria of Adequacy
- Falsification resistance: scientists should try to falsify their hypotheses
- Simplicity: simpler hypotheses with fewer assumptions are more likely to be true
- Scope: hypotheses that explain a wide range of phenomena are more likely to be true
- Conservatism: hypotheses that are consistent with established theories are more likely to be true
- Fruitfulness: hypotheses that lead to new discoveries are more likely to be true
Decision Theory
- Expected value theory: make the choice with the highest expected value
- Expected utility theory (Prospect theory): consider the utility of an outcome, not just its monetary value
- Loss aversion: people tend to prefer avoiding losses over making gains
- Framing effect: the way information is presented affects our decisions
- Endowment effect: people tend to value things more highly once they own them
- Sunk cost fallacy: following through on a course of action because of resources already invested
- Ilea effect: liking things more if we've expended effort to create them
- Status quo bias: preferring the current state of affairs over change
Summary of Prospect Theory
- Gains and losses are relativized to a reference point
- Adaptation level: the reference point usually being the status quo
- Compartmentalizing: having different adaptation levels for different mental accounts
- Diminishing marginal utility: gains and losses have decreasing marginal utility
Biases
- Overconfidence bias: being too confident in our abilities
- Planning fallacy: underestimating the time or resources required to complete a task
- Skeptic: someone who vigorously applies scientific methods and good reasoning to get to the truth
- Pseudoskeptic: someone who calls themselves a skeptic but is actually a dogmatist
- Confirmation bias: seeking out information that confirms our beliefs and ignoring contradictory information
- Echo chambers: environments where we only encounter information that reinforces our beliefs
- Filter bubbles: personalized information environments that exclude information that contradicts our beliefs
Solipsism
- Epistemological solipsism: only one's own mental states are certain to exist
- Metaphysical solipsism: believing in the non-existence of the external world and other people### Logic and Reasoning
- The law of noncontradiction states that true contradictions do not exist, and no propositions can be both true and false.
- The law of the excluded middle states that a proposition is either true or false.
- The law of identity states that everything is identical to itself.
Propositions and Necessity
- A proposition is a statement that is either true or false.
- If a proposition is true in every possible world, it is a necessary truth.
- If a proposition is false in every possible world, it is a necessary falsehood.
- If a proposition is true in some possible worlds and false in others, it is contingent.
- A proposition is logically possible if it is either contingent or necessarily true.
Scientific Models
- Scientific models are developed to explain phenomena and make predictions.
- Good theories tell a story that is true and describe the world accurately.
- Theories are judged based on their ability to explain observations and make accurate predictions.
- Experiments must be replicable, and results must be objective and not subjective.
- Peer review is an essential step in the scientific process.
Fallacies
- Fallacies are faulty forms of argumentation.
- Deductive fallacies include modus ponens, modus tollens, affirming the consequent, and denying the antecedent.
- Inductive fallacies include unrepresentative samples, hasty generalization, and faulty analogy.
- Fallacies of irrelevance include ad hominem, appeal to popularity, appeal to force, and appeal to authority.
- Fallacies of ambiguity include equivocation and amphiboly.
- Fallacies of unwarranted assumption include division, begging the question, false dilemma, and slippery slope.
Evolution and Memes
- The preconditions for evolution by natural selection are variation, heredity, and competition.
- Memes are ideas, beliefs, or behaviors that can be transmitted and evolved.
- Memeplexes are collections of memes that work together to replicate.
- A mind virus is a harmful meme or memeplex that influences a person's behavior.
Critical Thinking
- Critical thinkers recognize that most people hold false beliefs and are susceptible to mind viruses.
- Critical thinkers need to be aware of their own biases and guard against false beliefs.
- Critical thinking involves recognizing and avoiding fallacies in reasoning.
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Description
Test your understanding of change blindness, a phenomenon where people fail to notice significant changes in a scene when it is briefly obstructed. Assess your knowledge of this cognitive bias and its implications.