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Questions and Answers
What is the term that describes a single unified treatment of all major risks faced by an organization?
What is the term that describes a single unified treatment of all major risks faced by an organization?
How can an organization reduce its overall risk by managing individual risks?
How can an organization reduce its overall risk by managing individual risks?
What is the main output of the risk identification process?
What is the main output of the risk identification process?
What is the primary purpose of a Risk Register?
What is the primary purpose of a Risk Register?
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Which of the following is NOT typically included in a Risk Register?
Which of the following is NOT typically included in a Risk Register?
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Why is the time value of money important in Risk Management?
Why is the time value of money important in Risk Management?
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The statement "Time is money" is related to Risk Management because:
The statement "Time is money" is related to Risk Management because:
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Which of the following is NOT a common method used to manage financial risks?
Which of the following is NOT a common method used to manage financial risks?
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What is the primary goal of implementing risk responses?
What is the primary goal of implementing risk responses?
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How is consequence typically measured in risk management?
How is consequence typically measured in risk management?
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What is the purpose of a Risk Management Information System (RMIS)?
What is the purpose of a Risk Management Information System (RMIS)?
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Which of the following is NOT a typical element of risk management?
Which of the following is NOT a typical element of risk management?
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When a risk cannot be avoided, what are the other possible strategies?
When a risk cannot be avoided, what are the other possible strategies?
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How does the process of securing additional funding for a project often involve?
How does the process of securing additional funding for a project often involve?
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What is the primary objective of annual project funding in most organizations?
What is the primary objective of annual project funding in most organizations?
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Projects are typically funded annually based on what?
Projects are typically funded annually based on what?
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What is the process of converting present value to future value called?
What is the process of converting present value to future value called?
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Which analytical approach includes acting upon insights gained from data analysis?
Which analytical approach includes acting upon insights gained from data analysis?
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Which equation correctly represents the calculation of Expected Monetary Value (EMV)?
Which equation correctly represents the calculation of Expected Monetary Value (EMV)?
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What does Return on Investment (ROI) measure?
What does Return on Investment (ROI) measure?
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Which term refers to the sum of present values of future cash flows minus the cost of the project?
Which term refers to the sum of present values of future cash flows minus the cost of the project?
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What is the formula for calculating risk?
What is the formula for calculating risk?
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In which scenario would predictive analytics be used?
In which scenario would predictive analytics be used?
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What role does data play in decision-making?
What role does data play in decision-making?
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What type of risk does Strategic Risk pertain to?
What type of risk does Strategic Risk pertain to?
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What is Financial Risk primarily associated with?
What is Financial Risk primarily associated with?
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What does the analysis of Probability and Impact help organizations achieve?
What does the analysis of Probability and Impact help organizations achieve?
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Which type of risk involves uncertainties stemming from day-to-day business operations?
Which type of risk involves uncertainties stemming from day-to-day business operations?
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In risk management, what is a Management Reserve used for?
In risk management, what is a Management Reserve used for?
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What is the purpose of a Contingency Reserve in risk management?
What is the purpose of a Contingency Reserve in risk management?
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What should be considered when determining risk tolerance for a project?
What should be considered when determining risk tolerance for a project?
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Why is it important for project managers to consider financial contingencies?
Why is it important for project managers to consider financial contingencies?
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What is the primary purpose of contingency reserves in a project budget?
What is the primary purpose of contingency reserves in a project budget?
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Which of the following is NOT a constraint typically faced in project management?
Which of the following is NOT a constraint typically faced in project management?
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What must project managers be prepared to do regarding unforeseen issues during a project?
What must project managers be prepared to do regarding unforeseen issues during a project?
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In the context of project risk, management reserves are primarily intended for what purpose?
In the context of project risk, management reserves are primarily intended for what purpose?
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What can be a consequence of inadequate risk planning in large complex projects?
What can be a consequence of inadequate risk planning in large complex projects?
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Which of the following types of projects is NOT considered complex?
Which of the following types of projects is NOT considered complex?
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What is a key challenge common in all types of projects due to constraints?
What is a key challenge common in all types of projects due to constraints?
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Why is it essential for projects to evolve from agreed-upon estimates?
Why is it essential for projects to evolve from agreed-upon estimates?
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What does the term 'risk' refer to in project management?
What does the term 'risk' refer to in project management?
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What is contained in a risk register?
What is contained in a risk register?
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Which of the following best describes overall project risk?
Which of the following best describes overall project risk?
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Why should project managers consider the cost of risk mitigation?
Why should project managers consider the cost of risk mitigation?
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Which of the following is NOT a step in the project risk management process?
Which of the following is NOT a step in the project risk management process?
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What are risk triggers in project management?
What are risk triggers in project management?
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What is the primary distinction between pure risk and speculative risk?
What is the primary distinction between pure risk and speculative risk?
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What roles must project managers navigate in relation to risk management?
What roles must project managers navigate in relation to risk management?
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Flashcards
Risk
Risk
An uncertain event or condition affecting project objectives positively or negatively.
Risk Register
Risk Register
A project document listing results of a risk assessment in table or spreadsheet format.
Risk Event
Risk Event
A specific uncertain event that may impact the project positively or negatively.
Overall Project Risk
Overall Project Risk
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Project Risk Management Process
Project Risk Management Process
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Trigger Event
Trigger Event
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Pure Risk
Pure Risk
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Speculative Risk
Speculative Risk
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Enterprise Risk Management
Enterprise Risk Management
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Risk Identification Process
Risk Identification Process
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Risk Register Items
Risk Register Items
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Probability in Risk Management
Probability in Risk Management
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Time Value of Money
Time Value of Money
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Hedging Techniques
Hedging Techniques
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Risk Control Decisions
Risk Control Decisions
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Strategic Risk
Strategic Risk
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Operational Risk
Operational Risk
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Financial Risk
Financial Risk
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IT Risk
IT Risk
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Probability and Impact
Probability and Impact
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Contingency Reserve
Contingency Reserve
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Management Reserve
Management Reserve
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Risk Financing
Risk Financing
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Consequence
Consequence
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Risk Management Information System (RMIS)
Risk Management Information System (RMIS)
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Risk Response Strategies
Risk Response Strategies
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Risk Tolerance
Risk Tolerance
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Risk Appetite
Risk Appetite
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Project Funding Approval
Project Funding Approval
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Annual Project Planning
Annual Project Planning
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Return on Investment (ROI)
Return on Investment (ROI)
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Project Budget
Project Budget
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Project Complexity
Project Complexity
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Constraints in Projects
Constraints in Projects
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Risk Planning in Projects
Risk Planning in Projects
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Project Manager's Role
Project Manager's Role
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PC Net Project Case
PC Net Project Case
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Present Value
Present Value
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Future Value
Future Value
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Compounding
Compounding
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Discounting
Discounting
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Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
Expected Monetary Value (EMV)
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Net Present Value (NPV)
Net Present Value (NPV)
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Risk Calculation
Risk Calculation
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Study Notes
Project Management II - Week 3
- Course: BUSN 10279
- Instructor: Sandra Napoleone
- Topics covered include risk management, overall project risk, project risk management process, trigger events, risk classification, probability and impact, risk register, and enterprise risk management.
- Today's Agenda: Review of risk management, risk after class assignment, and individual risk assignments.
Risk Definitions
- Risk: An uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on one or more project objectives.
- Risk Register: A project document that records the results of a risk assessment, displayed in a table or spreadsheet format.
- Risk Event: A specific, uncertain event that may impact a project, either positively or negatively.
Overall Project Risk
- Overall project risk is the effect of uncertainty on the project as a whole.
- It results from various sources, including individual risks and the exposure to positive and negative project outcomes.
- Overall risk is often a function of complexity, ambiguity, and volatility.
- Risk responses should be considered for the overall project, not just a specific event.
- If overall risk is too high, the organization may choose to cancel the project or mitigate the risk. Always consider the cost of mitigation.
Project Risk Management Process
- Planning risk management
- Identification of risks
- Analysis of risks
- Responses to risk
- Monitoring and controlling risks
Trigger Event
- A trigger event is an event that causes or will cause the risk to happen.
- Examples of risk triggers: Environment (physical), geography(location), resources (people, finances, systems).
Risk Classification
- Pure risk: A situation where the only possible outcomes are loss or no loss (e.g., earthquake). It's beyond human control.
- Speculative risk: A situation where either profit or loss is possible (e.g., financial investments). It's taken voluntarily.
- Strategic risk: Uncertainty regarding the firm's financial goals and objectives.
- Operational risk: Risk stemming from daily business operations.
- Financial risk: Uncertainty of loss from adverse changes in commodity prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates, and the value of money.
- IT risk: Risk related to all things system related, software, hardware, connections, and apps.
Probability and Impact
- This analysis quantifies risks and determines likelihood and impact.
- Analysis tools vary depending on the organization, risk tolerance, project complexity, and type.
- Each risk requires prioritization and analysis to focus efforts effectively.
- A risk assessment matrix is used to determine the level of risk (e.g., low, high).
Risk Management and Contingency/Management Reserves
- Project managers must consider contingencies.
- Contingency Reserve: Funds set aside for identified risks that may occur during the project. It covers unplanned costs related to scope and time changes.
- Management Reserve: Funds to cover unexpected events like unplanned scope changes or changes needed by stakeholders. This normally requires management approval.
Enterprise Risk Management
- Consolidating and viewing major risks into a single program to offset risks
- Risks may not be perfectly correlated, allowing the offset of one risk against another.
- The treatment of financial risks may require complex hedging techniques (financial derivatives, futures contracts, financial instruments).
- Risk management can be handled internally or externally.
Risk Register Exercise
- Items that should be included in a risk register are:
- Item #
- Risk Description
- Priority
- Probability
- Impact
- Threat Level
- Owner
Risk Register Example (Additional notes on the example provided in the slides)
- The example includes columns for risk event, consequence, probability, impact, risk level, modification plan, risk owner, and residual risk for each identified project risk.
Project Funding/Approval
- Senior leadership determines project funding annually, prioritizing those that deliver value to the organization and its stakeholders.
- Project teams should know the organization’s funding processes.
Risk Management and Finances (Additional notes on this section)
- Risk managers analyze the big picture using the time value of money, considering cash flows over time within a project's life cycle.
- The time value of money must be considered in decisions involving cash flows over time.
- The present value must be converted to a future value through compounding, and the future value to a present value through discounting.
- Making informed decisions requires data, information, money, and authority.
- Applied analytics uses data to improve projects and businesses by acting on the insights derived from the analysis.
- Predictive analytics uses data to generate information to help with making better decisions and predictions. (e.g., credit scoring).
- Expected Monetary Value (EMV): Method of quantifying expected losses or gains from a project. EMV = Probability x Impact.
- Return on Investment (ROI): Measures financial return compared to the cost of the project. ROI = Net Return on Investment x 100% / Cost of Investment.
- Net Present Value (NPV): Sum of the present values of future cash flows minus the cost of the project.
Risk Calculation
- Risk = Probability x Consequence
- Probability refers to the likelihood (chance) of a risk event occurring.
- Consequence is the severity of the risk event if it occurs.
Project Complexity
- Projects are complex, regardless of industry, type, or size.
- Constraints (scope, time, cost, competing priorities, risk, quality) contribute to complexity.
- In large, complex projects, not all potential risks can be anticipated or foreseen.
- Project managers must have a suitable response strategy and be able to improvise.
PCNet Assignment
- This is a complex case study of a project requiring a risk management analysis.
- The assignment involves understanding the steps the project uses to manage risks.
Gore Mutual Assignment (Individual Risk Assessment)
- This assignment requires analysis of the Gore Mutual case study.
- Due on January 31st.
- Availability of the case study starts on January 23rd.
Next Class
- Upcoming topics and deadlines are outlined.
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Description
This quiz covers essential concepts in risk management as part of BUSN 10279. Key topics include the definition of risk, the risk management process, and the creation of a risk register. Prepare to dive deep into individual risk assignments and overall project risk.