Probability Events and Calculations

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Questions and Answers

What defines a simple event in probability?

  • An event that can result in multiple outcomes at once.
  • An event that includes outcomes from more than one trial.
  • An event that has only one possible outcome. (correct)
  • An event that involves no randomness.

Which of the following statements about the probability of an event is true?

  • Probability can be any negative number.
  • Probability is always between 0 and 1, inclusive. (correct)
  • Probability must be greater than 1.
  • Probability values are always zero.

If a roulette wheel has 18 red numbers, 18 black numbers, and 2 green numbers, what is the probability that the ball will land on a black number?

  • $\frac{1}{2}$
  • $\frac{18}{38}$ (correct)
  • $\frac{20}{38}$
  • $\frac{18}{20}$

Which of the following is an example of a compound event?

<p>Flipping three coins and getting one heads and two tails. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the outcome when randomly selecting a letter from the English alphabet?

<p>The outcome can be any of the 26 letters. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In probability, what does a probability value of 0 indicate?

<p>The event is impossible. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

When calculating the probability of an event with equally likely outcomes, what is the formula used?

<p>Total favorable outcomes divided by the total number of outcomes. (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What type of event is described as the complement of another event?

<p>An event that consists of all outcomes not associated with the original event. (B)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability of randomly selecting an ace from a standard deck of cards?

<p>$\frac{1}{52}$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If Kelsey has 12 shirts, what is the probability she chooses a specific shirt?

<p>$\frac{1}{12}$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the probability of choosing a vowel when randomly picking a letter from the English alphabet?

<p>$\frac{5}{26}$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

If two dice are rolled, what is the probability that the first die shows a 1 and the second die shows a 4, 5, or 6?

<p>$\frac{1}{36}$ (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

What is the relationship between complementary events in terms of probability?

<p>The sum of their probabilities is exactly 1. (A)</p> Signup and view all the answers

In a bag with 5 blue marbles and 2 red marbles, what is the probability of choosing two blue marbles in succession without replacement?

<p>$\frac{5}{14} \times \frac{4}{13}$ (C)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Which of the following scenarios represents a compound event?

<p>Choosing a shirt and then selecting a pair of pants. (D)</p> Signup and view all the answers

Flashcards

Trial

A single instance of a repeatable experiment, like flipping a coin or rolling a die.

Outcome

The result of a single trial, e.g., getting heads on a coin flip or rolling a 5 on a dice.

Event

A collection of one or more outcomes from a trial. For example, getting two heads in a row when flipping two coins is an event.

Simple Event

A simple event is an event that has one outcome, though typically more than one possible outcome. For example, choosing a specific card from a deck is a simple event.

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Probability of an Event

The probability of an event is the chance or likelihood of it occurring.

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Calculating Probability

The probability of an event is calculated by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes.

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Probability Range

The probability of an event is a number between 0 and 1, where 0 means the event is impossible and 1 means the event is certain.

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Impossible and Certain Events

A probability of 0 means the event is impossible, while a probability of 1 means the event is certain.

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Compound Event

An event that has more than one possible outcome. For example, rolling two dice, picking lottery numbers, or choosing two marbles from a bag.

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Probability of a Compound Event

The probability of a compound event is found by multiplying the probabilities of each individual outcome together.

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Complementary Events

Two events are complementary if they are mutually exclusive (can't happen at the same time) and one of them must occur.

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Probability of a Complementary Event

The sum of the probabilities of two complementary events always equals 1.

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Probability of Independent Events

If two events are independent, their probabilities are multiplied together to find the probability of both events occurring. For example, rolling a die and flipping a coin are independent events.

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Study Notes

Probability Events

  • Trial: A single instance of a repeatable experiment.
  • Outcome: The result of a trial.
  • Event: The outcome of one or more trials.
  • Simple Event: An event with one outcome. Examples include drawing a specific card, selecting a particular shirt, or picking a specific letter.
  • Compound Event: An event with more than one outcome. Examples include rolling two dice, choosing lottery numbers, selecting marbles from a bag.

Probability Calculation

  • Probability formula: Probability = (Favorable outcomes) / (Total possible outcomes)
  • Probability is always a number between 0 and 1 (inclusive).
    • Probability of 0: Impossible event
    • Probability of 1: Certain event
  • To calculate the probability of a compound event, multiply the probabilities of individual outcomes.
    • Example: Probability of two outcomes A and B both occurring is: P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)

Simple Event Probability Examples

  • Probability of an ace in a 52-card deck: 4/52 = 1/13
  • Probability of selecting a particular shirt from 12 shirts: 1/12
  • Probability of selecting a vowel from the English alphabet: 5/26

Compound Event Probability Examples

  • Probability of rolling a 1 and a 4, 5, or 6 on two dice: (1/6) * (3/6) = 1/12
  • Probability of a specific 5-digit lottery number: (1/10) * (1/10) * (1/10) * (1/10) * (1/10) = 1/100,000
  • Probability of choosing two blue marbles in a row (without replacement): (Update calculation: depends on initial number of marbles remaining in the bag after each pick)

Complementary Events

  • Complementary events are mutually exclusive events where one must occur.
  • Probability of either complementary event = 1.
  • Example: Flipping a coin (heads/tails), choosing a consonant/vowel, or picking a black/red card.
  • Probability of a complementary event equals 1 minus the probability of the other event
  • Example: If P(A) = 0.25, then P(not A) = 1 – 0.25 = 0.75.

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