Personal Career and Financial Security Ch 29
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Questions and Answers

In which year did the loss of value in savings peak significantly after World War II due to lifted price controls?

  • 1947
  • 1946 (correct)
  • 1945
  • 1944
  • What was the loss in value of savings in the year 1941?

  • Over 12%
  • Over 15%
  • Over 9% (correct)
  • Over 5%
  • What was the reduction in value of a $1 million retirement fund during the First World War?

  • $750,000
  • $600,000
  • $659,000 (correct)
  • $800,000
  • What does the author suggest about negative real interest rates over time?

    <p>They could lead to significant savings loss.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How are savers affected by income taxes according to the author?

    <p>They are assessed on the advertised interest rate.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What consequence did previous wars have on retired individuals' savings?

    <p>They often had to return to work.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What historical trend does the author imply regarding wars and savings for millions?

    <p>The longer a war lasts, the more likely savings will diminish.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What happens to real interest rates during periods of war?

    <p>They can turn negative.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    How does inflation function during wartime according to the passage?

    <p>It acts like a hidden tax.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Which war saw the worst annual impact on real interest rates in 1917?

    <p>World War I</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What short-term investment instrument was used for research on real interest rates?

    <p>U.S. Treasury Bills</p> Signup and view all the answers

    During which war did real interest rates remain negative for the longest duration?

    <p>Vietnam War</p> Signup and view all the answers

    In what year did the Korean War see the worst real interest rate loss?

    <p>1950</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What is the effect of an increase in the supply of dollars during war?

    <p>It decreases the dollar's value, causing prices to rise.</p> Signup and view all the answers

    What was the magnitude of the real interest rate decline in 1974 during the Vietnam War?

    <p>5%</p> Signup and view all the answers

    Study Notes

    Negative Real Interest Rates During War

    • Wars can lead to negative real interest rates, eroding savings' buying power due to inflation.
    • Inflation is a hidden tax as the government prints money to fund war, causing each dollar to lose value.
    • This loss is reflected in rising prices, effectively taking a portion of savings' value.

    Historical Impact of Wars on Real Interest Rates

    • Examining past major U.S. wars (World War I, World War II, Korean War, Vietnam War), short-term interest rates and Consumer Price Index (CPI) changes were analyzed to assess real interest rates.
    • Short-term U.S. Treasury Bill rates are safer during inflation than longer-term options.
    • In all four wars studied, real interest rates went negative.

    Specific War-time Examples

    • Korean War (1950): Real interest rates reached a negative 4.5%, representing a 4.5% loss in savings' buying power in one year.
    • World War I (1917): The government would have consumed 16% of savings in the worst year. A $1 million retirement fund in 1917 would have been down to $659,000 after 3 years due to severe price rises compared to interest rates.
    • World War II (1941 & 1946): Loss of over 9% and 17% of savings, respectively. The worst impact occurred in 1946, after price controls were lifted.
    • Vietnam War (1974): Negative interest rates lasted for seven years, with a 5% loss in savings' value in its worst year.

    Implications for Savers

    • Extended periods of negative real interest rates can significantly diminish savings.
    • Income taxes compound the effect, as taxes are levied on the advertised rate, not the real rate.
    • Historical data suggest a high chance of millions losing savings during prolonged wars.
    • Speaking with people who experienced previous wars can provide insights on the detrimental effect of inflation on long-term savings plans.

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    Description

    Explore the impact of major U.S. wars on real interest rates. This quiz examines historical data from conflicts such as World War I, World War II, the Korean War, and the Vietnam War, highlighting the erosion of savings' value due to inflation. Understand how wartime policies lead to negative real interest rates.

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